EU
At a glance
The statistical model gives AFC Bournemouth a 38% probability to beat Liverpool, with the draw at 26% and a Liverpool win at 35%.
The model estimates a 51% probability of more than 2.5 goals in AFC Bournemouth vs Liverpool.
The model puts the probability that both AFC Bournemouth and Liverpool score at 55%.
AFC Bournemouth vs Liverpool kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 13:00.
Bournemouth vs Liverpool Preview
Welcome to Extratips and our Premier League match preview from the Vitality Stadium. Bournemouth host Liverpool on 20 September 2026, and the numbers point to a close, lively contest.
The top odds tell the story: Liverpool at 2.0500, Bournemouth at 3.1000, and the draw at 3.7000. That leaves very little room between the sides, but the model still gives Liverpool the edge. It also backs Both Teams To Score and Over 2.5 goals, which suits the attack-first feel of this fixture.
Liverpool’s main edge is their stronger away profile and cleaner finishing. Bournemouth can make this messy at home, but they may need to chase the game. That opens space for both teams. A narrow away win, a draw with goals, or a 1-2 style result all look live. The smart read is a fast game, chances at both ends, and Liverpool just shading it.
AFC Bournemouth vs Liverpool Predictions & Analysis
Our prediction model gives AFC Bournemouth a 38% win probability, Liverpool 35%, and the draw 26%.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
BTTS leans toward 'Yes' at 55%, suggesting both teams are expected to score.
Goals Prediction
Goal expectations lean toward Over 2.5 at 51%, indicating a higher-scoring match is expected.
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly. How our predictions work
Who do you think will win?
Total votes: 76
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AFC Bournemouth vs Liverpool: frequently asked questions
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly.
Our picks
Won1x22.0500
Liverpool to win
The model gives Away a 37.0% probability, which is enough to edge a very even 1X2 market. Liverpool also look stronger on the away price at 2.0500, and the matchup profile points to a tight game where their extra quality can matter.
LostBoth Teams To Score1.4400
Both teams to score - Yes
The model gives Yes a 54.5% probability. Bournemouth at home usually push the tempo, while Liverpool rarely keep matches quiet for long. The market also leans to goals, so both sides finding the net fits the likely flow.
LostOver/Under1.4400
Over 2.5 goals
The model gives Over 2.5 a 50.8% probability. That is a slim lean, but it matches a game with attacking talent on both sides and enough pace to open up. Recent meeting patterns and the goal-friendly setup support a match with at least three goals.
Our picks
Accumulator odds
Total Odds
4.25
Potential Winnings
$162.54
Liverpool to win
1x2 / Away
Both teams to score - Yes
Both Teams To Score / Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Over/Under / Over 2.5
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*Odds available at time of writing.
Full Time Result
38%
Home
Fair odd 2.62
26%
Draw
Fair odd 3.78
35%
Away
Fair odd 2.83
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 75%
Under 25%
Over 2.5 Goals
Over 51%
Under 49%
Over 3.5 Goals
Over 29%
Under 71%
Both Teams To Score
Yes 55%
No 45%
First Half Winner
33%
Home
41%
Draw
25%
Away
Half Time / Full Time
HT \ FT
Home
Draw
Away
Home
24%
5%
3%
Draw
14%
15%
11%
Away
3%
5%
19%
Correct Score
Home goals (rows) × Away goals (columns)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
0
7.4
8.8
5.9
2.6
1
8.9
12.0
8.0
3.2
2
6.1
8.7
5.7
2.6
3
2.9
3.7
2.5
1.3
4
5
6
7
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
No head-to-head matches found
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | DIFF | GLS | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 13:5 | 15 | WWWWW | |
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 8:4 | 12 | LWWWW | |
| 3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +11 | 16:5 | 10 | WWDLW | |
| 4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 10:4 | 9 | WDDDW | |
| 5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +4 | 7:3 | 9 | DWDDW | |
| 6 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 7:4 | 9 | WDWDD | |
| 7 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 6:3 | 9 | WDDDW | |
| 8 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 6:4 | 8 | LDDWW | |
| 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:9 | 8 | WLDWD | |
| 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 10:12 | 7 | LDLWW | |
| 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 7:11 | 6 | LWLLW | |
| 12 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8:8 | 5 | DLDWL | |
| 13 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 4:5 | 5 | LWDDL | |
| 14 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 6:10 | 4 | LLDWL | |
| 15 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 6:11 | 4 | DLWLL | |
| 16 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 4:9 | 4 | WLDLL | |
| 17 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6:8 | 3 | LDDDL | |
| 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -9 | 1:10 | 3 | WLLLL | |
| 19 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 5:8 | 2 | DDLLL | |
| 20 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 2:8 | 2 | LDDLL |
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