When and where is Arouca vs Moreirense played?

Arouca vs Moreirense kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 17:00 at Estádio Municipal de Arouca in Arouca.

What is the head-to-head record between Arouca and Moreirense?

Arouca and Moreirense have met 9 times in recent seasons: Arouca won 2 of those matches, Moreirense won 5 of those matches and 2 of them ended in a draw.

Arouca vs Moreirense: Result, H2H, Stats & Highlights

At a glance

The statistical model gives Arouca a 44% probability to beat Moreirense, with the draw at 27% and a Moreirense win at 29%.

The model estimates a 50% probability of fewer than 2.5 goals in Arouca vs Moreirense.

The model puts the probability that both Arouca and Moreirense score at 54%.

Arouca vs Moreirense kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 17:00.

Arouca vs Moreirense Preview | Liga Portugal

Welcome to Extratips. Arouca host Moreirense at Estádio Municipal de Arouca in a game that looks finely balanced on paper. The model leans slightly toward the home side, but the margins are small, so this should stay tense from start to finish.

Arouca come in with the best 1X2 chance at 43.4%, while BTTS sits at 54.0% and Under 2.5 edges the goal line at 50.4%. That mix points to a tight contest, with both teams capable of scoring but not likely to run wild. The main story is simple: Arouca’s home edge versus Moreirense’s chance to spoil the party.

With the game expected to stay close, the key battle will be control in midfield and who handles pressure better in the final third. Arouca may have the slight edge, but one big moment could swing it either way.

Potential calls: Home win, BTTS Yes, Under 2.5, Arouca draw no bet, and a narrow 1-0 or 2-1 result.

Arouca vs Moreirense Predictions & Analysis

Our prediction model gives Arouca a 44% win probability, Moreirense 29%, and the draw 27%.

Both Teams to Score Prediction

BTTS leans toward 'Yes' at 54%, suggesting both teams are expected to score.

Goals Prediction

Goal expectations lean toward Under 2.5 at 50%, indicating a lower-scoring affair is expected.

Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly. How our predictions work

Who do you think will win?

Total votes: 99

TV Channels

Arouca vs Moreirense: frequently asked questions

Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly.

Our picks

Won1x2

Arouca to win

The model gives Home a 43.4% probability, the highest of the three 1X2 outcomes. Arouca also has the edge of playing at Estádio Municipal de Arouca, where home comfort can matter in a tight league game. With Moreirense likely to keep things close, the home side still looks the safest pick on the numbers.

LostBoth Teams To Score

Both teams to score: Yes

The model gives Yes a 54.0% probability, so BTTS is slightly favored. That fits a match where both sides can find moments, even if Arouca are the more likely winners. A narrow home win or a 1-1 type game both stay in line with the market and the expected balance.

LostOver/Under

Under 2.5 goals

The model gives Under 2.5 a 50.4% probability, which is just enough to make it the top choice. That points to a game with careful spells, few clean chances, and a scoreline that can stay tight. It also matches the idea of a competitive league meeting where neither side wants to open up early.

Full Time Result

44%

Home

Fair odd 2.29

27%

Draw

Fair odd 3.69

29%

Away

Fair odd 3.41

Over 1.5 Goals

Over 74%

Under 26%

Over 2.5 Goals

Over 50%

Under 50%

Over 3.5 Goals

Over 28%

Under 72%

Both Teams To Score

Yes 54%

No 46%

First Half Winner

27%

Home

49%

Draw

24%

Away

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT

Home

Draw

Away

Home

21%

5%

2%

Draw

16%

20%

12%

Away

3%

5%

16%

Correct Score

Home goals (rows) × Away goals (columns)

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

0

7.8

7.9

4.6

1.8

1

10.2

12.5

7.1

2.7

2

7.4

9.0

5.6

2.3

3

3.6

4.5

2.6

1.1

4

5

6

7

bet365

EU

1

1.75-18.60%

57.14%win

X

3.60+9.09%

27.78%win

2

4.75+43.94%

21.05%win

10Bet

EU

1

1.90-16.67%

52.63%win

X

3.50+7.69%

28.57%win

2

3.90+25.81%

25.64%win

1xbet

EU

1

1.86-19.13%

53.76%win

X

3.61+8.08%

27.7%win

2

4.64+38.10%

21.55%win

888Sport

EU

1

1.85-11.90%

54.05%win

X

3.25+4.84%

30.77%win

2

4.33+23.71%

23.09%win

Betfair

EU

1

1.75-22.22%

57.14%win

X

3.300.00%

30.3%win

2

4.40+37.50%

22.73%win

BetVictor

EU

1

1.75-20.45%

57.14%win

X

3.40+8.63%

29.41%win

2

4.33+38.34%

23.09%win

bwin

EU

1

1.80-18.18%

55.56%win

X

3.50+7.69%

28.57%win

2

4.33+33.23%

23.09%win

Cashpoint

EU

1

1.80-13.46%

55.56%win

X

3.45+6.15%

28.99%win

2

4.55+25.69%

21.98%win

CloudBet

EU

1

1.84-11.54%

54.35%win

X

3.45+7.81%

28.99%win

2

4.60+22.67%

21.74%win

Coral

EU

1

1.91-13.18%

52.36%win

X

3.40+3.03%

29.41%win

2

4.20+27.27%

23.81%win

Dafabet

EU

1

1.88-13.76%

53.19%win

X

3.55+7.58%

28.17%win

2

4.50+30.43%

22.22%win

Interwetten

EU

1

1.85-11.90%

54.05%win

X

3.45+4.55%

28.99%win

2

4.40+22.22%

22.73%win

Ladbrokes

EU

1

1.83-16.82%

54.64%win

X

3.50+6.06%

28.57%win

2

4.40+35.38%

22.73%win

Macauslot

EU

1

1.80-15.49%

55.56%win

X

3.30+5.77%

30.3%win

2

3.80+27.52%

26.32%win

MansionBet

EU

1

2.12+0.47%

47.17%win

X

3.25+1.56%

30.77%win

2

3.35+3.08%

29.85%win

Marathonbet

EU

1

1.79-19.00%

55.87%win

X

3.40+5.59%

29.41%win

2

4.55+40.43%

21.98%win

MelBet

EU

1

1.81-19.20%

55.07%win

X

3.52+9.32%

28.41%win

2

4.54+35.12%

22.03%win

Pinnacle

EU

1

1.85-19.21%

54.05%win

X

3.51+9.69%

28.49%win

2

4.72+41.74%

21.19%win

Sbo

EU

1

1.84-14.42%

54.35%win

X

3.31+8.88%

30.21%win

2

4.15+39.26%

24.1%win

Unibet

EU

1

1.91-9.05%

52.36%win

X

3.50+4.48%

28.57%win

2

3.85+14.93%

25.97%win

WilliamHill

EU

1

1.80-18.18%

55.56%win

X

3.30+6.45%

30.3%win

2

4.40+37.50%

22.73%win

Bookmaker	1	X	2
bet365	1.75 57.14%win	3.60 27.78%win	4.75 21.05%win
10Bet	1.90 52.63%win	3.50 28.57%win	3.90 25.64%win
1xbet	1.86 53.76%win	3.61 27.7%win	4.64 21.55%win
888Sport	1.85 54.05%win	3.25 30.77%win	4.33 23.09%win
Betfair	1.75 57.14%win	3.30 30.3%win	4.40 22.73%win
BetVictor	1.75 57.14%win	3.40 29.41%win	4.33 23.09%win
bwin	1.80 55.56%win	3.50 28.57%win	4.33 23.09%win
Cashpoint	1.80 55.56%win	3.45 28.99%win	4.55 21.98%win
CloudBet	1.84 54.35%win	3.45 28.99%win	4.60 21.74%win
Coral	1.91 52.36%win	3.40 29.41%win	4.20 23.81%win
Dafabet	1.88 53.19%win	3.55 28.17%win	4.50 22.22%win
Interwetten	1.85 54.05%win	3.45 28.99%win	4.40 22.73%win
Ladbrokes	1.83 54.64%win	3.50 28.57%win	4.40 22.73%win
Macauslot	1.80 55.56%win	3.30 30.3%win	3.80 26.32%win
MansionBet	2.12 47.17%win	3.25 30.77%win	3.35 29.85%win
Marathonbet	1.79 55.87%win	3.40 29.41%win	4.55 21.98%win
MelBet	1.81 55.07%win	3.52 28.41%win	4.54 22.03%win
Pinnacle	1.85 54.05%win	3.51 28.49%win	4.72 21.19%win
Sbo	1.84 54.35%win	3.31 30.21%win	4.15 24.1%win
Unibet	1.91 52.36%win	3.50 28.57%win	3.85 25.97%win
WilliamHill	1.80 55.56%win	3.30 30.3%win	4.40 22.73%win

21 Mar 26FT!

Moreirense0

Arouca1

02 Nov 25FT!

Arouca0

Moreirense2

24 Jan 25FT!

Arouca1

Moreirense0

18 Aug 24FT!

Moreirense3

Arouca1

17 Mar 24FT!

Moreirense1

Arouca0

27 Oct 23FT!

Arouca0

Moreirense1

26 Feb 22FT!

Arouca1

Moreirense1

25 Sep 21FT!

Moreirense2

Arouca1

30 Apr 17FT!

Arouca2

Moreirense2

#	Team	P	W	D	L	DIFF	GLS	Pts	Last 5
1	Porto	4	4	0	0	+9	9:0	12	WWWW
2	Sporting CP	4	3	1	0	+7	12:5	10	WWWD
3	Arouca	4	3	0	1	+4	7:3	9	WLWW
4	Santa Clara	4	2	2	0	+2	5:3	8	DWWD
5	Benfica	3	2	1	0	+8	11:3	7	WWD
6	Gil Vicente	3	2	1	0	+3	3:0	7	DWW
7	Marítimo	4	2	1	1	+1	6:5	7	LDWW
8	Estrela Amadora	3	1	2	0	+1	7:6	5	WDD
9	Sporting Braga	2	1	1	0	+1	3:2	4	WD
10	Nacional	4	1	1	2	0	6:6	4	LLWD
11	Moreirense	3	1	1	1	-3	3:6	4	WLD
12	Vitória Guimarães	4	1	0	3	-2	3:5	3	LWLL
13	Rio Ave	4	1	0	3	-5	2:7	3	LWLL
14	Famalicão	4	0	2	2	-2	2:4	2	DLLD
15	Academico Viseu	4	0	2	2	-4	4:8	2	LDLD
16	Alverca	4	0	2	2	-4	4:8	2	DLDL
17	Estoril	4	0	1	3	-5	2:7	1	LLLD
18	Casa Pia	4	0	0	4	-11	0:11	0	LLLL