At a glance
The statistical model gives Arsenal a 76% probability to beat Hull City, with the draw at 17% and a Hull City win at 7%.
The model estimates a 51% probability of fewer than 2.5 goals in Arsenal vs Hull City.
The model puts the probability that both Arsenal and Hull City score at 38%.
Arsenal vs Hull City kicks off on Saturday 07 November 2026 at 15:00.
Arsenal vs Hull City prediction: a strong home edge at the Emirates
Welcome to Extratips for the Premier League meeting between Arsenal and Hull City on Saturday, November 7, 2026. Kick-off is set for 15:00 at Emirates Stadium in London. Arsenal arrive second with 21 points from eight matches, while Hull are tenth with 11 points from nine games. Arsenal have won seven league fixtures, whereas Hull have managed two wins, five draws, and two defeats.
The headline odds are clear: Arsenal are priced at 1.1400 to win, the draw is 8.1000, and Hull are 18.0000. Those numbers point firmly toward the hosts. Recent head-to-head meetings also favour Arsenal, who have eight wins and two draws in the available record. Their last five meetings were: Arsenal 2-0 Hull, Hull 1-4 Arsenal, Hull 0-4 Arsenal, Arsenal 0-0 Hull, and Hull 1-3 Arsenal.
Arsenal’s main concern is team news. Bukayo Saka and William Saliba are reported out, while several other players remain doubtful. Hull also have a long injury list, including Matt Targett, Eliot Matazo, Darko Gyabi, and Charlie Hughes. That could limit the visitors’ options even further.
The most likely script is Arsenal controlling the ball and winning without conceding. A 1-0 or 2-0 scoreline looks more likely than a high-scoring contest. The home side’s quality should decide the match, but Hull’s compact shape may keep the margin modest. Arsenal to win, both teams not to score, and under 2.5 goals form the final, logically consistent set of selections.
Arsenal vs Hull City Predictions & Analysis
Our prediction model gives Arsenal a 76% win probability, Hull City 7%, and the draw 17%.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
BTTS leans toward 'No' at 62%, suggesting a clean sheet is likely on at least one side.
Goals Prediction
Goal expectations lean toward Under 2.5 at 51%, indicating a lower-scoring affair is expected.
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly. How our predictions work
Who do you think will win?
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Arsenal vs Hull City: frequently asked questions
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly.
Our picks
Arsenal to win
The model gives Arsenal a 76.4% probability of a home win. Arsenal sit second with 21 points and have won seven of eight league matches, while Hull have 11 points from nine games. Arsenal also lead the recent head-to-head record, with eight wins and two draws in the available record. The 1.1400 home price reflects a strong Emirates advantage, despite absences including Bukayo Saka and William Saliba.
Both teams to score: No
The model gives Both Teams To Score: No a 62.5% probability. Arsenal’s defensive level and Hull’s uneven attack point toward a controlled home win, while the 1.6100 odds also make No the shorter market choice. Arsenal have kept Hull under pressure in recent meetings, and Hull’s recent form of three draws and two losses suggests limited attacking confidence.
Under 2.5 total goals
The model gives Under 2.5 a 51.0% probability. Arsenal are clear favourites, but Hull may defend deep and keep the score tight, creating a plausible 1-0 or 2-0 result. The model’s narrow preference fits the expected tactical pattern: Arsenal control possession, Hull protect their shape, and the visitors struggle to create clear chances. No exact 2.5-goal bookmaker price was supplied, so no odds are quoted.
Our picks
Accumulator odds
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*Odds available at time of writing.








