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At a glance
The statistical model gives Deportivo Maldonado a 49% probability to win away against Atlético Progreso, with the draw at 27% and a Atlético Progreso win at 24%.
The model estimates a 58% probability of fewer than 2.5 goals in Atlético Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado.
The model puts the probability that both Atlético Progreso and Deportivo Maldonado score at 47%.
Atlético Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 14:00.
Atlético Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado Match Preview
Atlético Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado live streaming starts on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 14:00 at Parque Abraham Paladino in Primera Division, Uruguay. Extratips.com provides livescore, H2H information for Atlético Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado as well as in-depth stats about each team like lineups, standings, predictions and professional betting tips.
Atlético Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado Predictions & Analysis
Our prediction model gives Atlético Progreso a 24% win probability, Deportivo Maldonado 49%, and the draw 27%.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
BTTS leans toward 'No' at 53%, suggesting a clean sheet is likely on at least one side.
Goals Prediction
Goal expectations lean toward Under 2.5 at 58%, indicating a lower-scoring affair is expected.
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly. How our predictions work
Who do you think will win?
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Atlético Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado: frequently asked questions
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly.
Full Time Result
24%
Home
Fair odd 4.19
27%
Draw
Fair odd 3.70
49%
Away
Fair odd 2.04
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 68%
Under 32%
Over 2.5 Goals
Over 42%
Under 58%
Over 3.5 Goals
Over 21%
Under 79%
Both Teams To Score
Yes 47%
No 53%
First Half Winner
20%
Home
43%
Draw
37%
Away
Half Time / Full Time
HT \ FT
Home
Draw
Away
Home
12%
5%
3%
Draw
9%
17%
17%
Away
2%
5%
30%
Correct Score
Home goals (rows) × Away goals (columns)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
0
9.8
13.7
9.7
4.6
1
8.5
12.4
9.2
4.0
2
3.9
5.8
4.1
1.8
3
1.2
1.8
1.4
0.7
4
5
6
7
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
Atlético Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado
Atlético Progreso1
Deportivo Maldonado0
18 Jul 26FT!
Atlético Progreso1Deportivo Maldonado0Group 1
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | DIFF | GLS | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +9 | 12:3 | 16 | WWDWL | |
| 2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 7:5 | 11 | LWDDW | |
| 3 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +1 | 4:3 | 10 | WLDDD | |
| 4 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5:5 | 9 | DWLDW | |
| 5 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4:4 | 9 | DLDDW | |
| 6 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 6:10 | 9 | LWWLL | |
| 7 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6:9 | 6 | WLDDD | |
| 8 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 5:10 | 5 | LLDDL |
Group 2
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | DIFF | GLS | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 12:4 | 15 | WWWDW | |
| 2 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8:8 | 13 | WLDWL | |
| 3 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 12:6 | 12 | DLDWW | |
| 4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 11:11 | 12 | LWWLW | |
| 5 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8:11 | 8 | DWLDL | |
| 6 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 6:8 | 6 | DLDWL | |
| 7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 6:11 | 6 | LWLLW | |
| 8 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -4 | 5:9 | 4 | DLDDD |
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