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Arsenal vs Bayer Leverkusen: Champions League Round of 16 Second Leg Preview on Extratips
Welcome to Extratips, your go-to spot for sharp match predictions! We're diving into the blockbuster Arsenal vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen clash on March 17, 2026, at 20:00. This Champions League last-16 second leg at the Emirates follows a tense 1-1 draw in Germany, where Kai Havertz nailed a late penalty against his old club.
Arsenal head home as favorites. Odds scream it: Home win at 1.29 (77% chance), Draw 5.20-5.80 (18-19%), Away 8.90-10.50 (10%). Bookies see Arsenal advancing easy.[odds]
Standings buzz: Arsenal top the Premier League chase, Leverkusen sit second in Bundesliga. Gunners fight on four fronts; Leverkusen eye upset glory.
Head-to-head: Tight history. Leverkusen 1-1 Arsenal (Mar 11, 2026), Arsenal 4-1 Leverkusen (2002), Leverkusen 1-1 Arsenal (2002). Draws dominate lately; Arsenal unbeaten.
Recent form: Arsenal's last 5 homes: 4 wins, 1 draw. Leverkusen's last 5 aways: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss.
Arsenal strengths: Deadly attack (13-game scoring run), set-piece edge, Emirates fortress. Weaknesses: Occasional drab displays, set-piece leaks. Leverkusen strengths: Home scoring streak (18/19), Grimaldo's crosses. Weaknesses: Away jitters, penalty woes.
Key factors: No big injuries noted. Arteta's subs like Madueke sparked life. Leverkusen rued VAR call.
Storylines: 1. Havertz revenge arc—fans cheered him, now he haunts. Thrilling! 2. Emirates magic vs Leverkusen grit. 3. Arteta's quadruple hunt.
Scenarios: High: Arsenal 2-0 win (home power). Medium: 1-1, pens drama. Low: Leverkusen shock.
Arsenal edge it at home. Expect goals, Gunners through![odds]
Who do you think will win?
Total votes: 125
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Our picks
Won1x21.2900
Arsenal to win
Arsenal are massive favorites at 1.29 odds with 77% implied probability, backed by home form and 1-1 first leg. Emirates fortress seals it against Leverkusen's away struggles.
WonBoth Teams To Score1.7500
Both Teams To Score - No
BTTS No at 1.75 offers value (57% chance). Arsenal kept clean sheets lately; Leverkusen struggled to score away beyond Andrich's set-piece.
LostOver/Under1.6100
Over 2.5 Goals
Over 2.5 at 1.61 (62% probability) fits Arsenal's attack (23 goals in 13) and first-leg goals. Home firepower pushes total over despite BTTS No via Arsenal shutout.
Our picks
Accumulator odds
Total Odds
3.63
Potential Winnings
$131.73
Arsenal to win
1x2 / Home
Both Teams To Score - No
Both Teams To Score / No
Over 2.5 Goals
Over/Under / Over
#ad *Odds available at time of writing.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Arsenal
Bayer 04 Leverkusen1
Arsenal1
11 Mar 26FT!
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07 Aug 24FT!
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26 Feb 02FT!
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18 Feb 02FT!
Bayer 04 Leverkusen1Arsenal1| # | Team | P | W | D | L | DIFF | GLS | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +19 | 23:4 | 24 | WWWWW | |
| 2 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +14 | 22:8 | 21 | WWWLW | |
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | +12 | 20:8 | 18 | WWWLW | |
| 4 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 17:7 | 17 | WWWLW | |
| 5 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +8 | 22:14 | 16 | WWWLD | |
| 6 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +7 | 17:10 | 16 | WWLWD | |
| 7 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +6 | 17:11 | 16 | WWLWD | |
| 8 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +6 | 15:9 | 16 | WLWLW | |
| 9 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | +9 | 21:12 | 15 | LWLWL | |
| 10 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | +8 | 15:7 | 15 | WLLLW | |
| 11 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +10 | 21:11 | 14 | DLDWL | |
| 12 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +10 | 17:7 | 14 | DWDLW | |
| 13 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +4 | 14:10 | 13 | DWWWD | |
| 14 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 17:15 | 13 | LDWWW | |
| 15 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10:10 | 13 | LLWWW | |
| 16 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 13:14 | 12 | WLDWW | |
| 17 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 19:17 | 11 | LLDWL | |
| 18 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 10:14 | 11 | WWWLD | |
| 19 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 15:17 | 10 | WWLLD | |
| 20 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 9:11 | 10 | LDLLW | |
| 21 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -6 | 8:14 | 10 | DLWDW | |
| 22 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -8 | 13:21 | 10 | LWLLD | |
| 23 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 14:15 | 9 | WWDLL | |
| 24 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 10:12 | 9 | WLWWL | |
| 25 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -3 | 11:14 | 9 | LLWWL | |
| 26 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 8:11 | 9 | WLLDW | |
| 27 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -9 | 8:17 | 9 | WLLWL | |
| 28 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 16:16 | 8 | LLLWD | |
| 29 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 9:14 | 8 | LWDDL | |
| 30 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 9:15 | 8 | LDLWD | |
| 31 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -9 | 12:21 | 8 | LDWWL | |
| 32 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -13 | 8:21 | 6 | LWWLL | |
| 33 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -11 | 10:21 | 4 | LLLLD | |
| 34 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -14 | 5:19 | 3 | LLLDL | |
| 35 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -13 | 5:18 | 1 | LLLLL | |
| 36 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -15 | 7:22 | 1 | LLLLL |
