The model gives Home a 71.6% probability, and the odds also point strongly to Benfica. The home side is the clear favorite, with a huge gap in quality, squad depth, and likely control of the game. The match-up also fits a one-sided cup-style pattern, where the stronger side should dictate play from the start.

The model gives No a 55.2% probability, which makes it the top outcome. Benfica’s control at home should limit Academico Viseu’s chances, and the odds support a clean sheet lean. If Benfica score early, the away side may spend most of the match defending deep.

The model gives Over 2.5 a 52.3% probability, so this is the preferred goal line call. Benfica are expected to push hard at home, and their attacking edge can lift the total even if the visitors stay quiet. A 2-0, 3-0, or 3-1 type game fits the price and the match script.