At a glance
The statistical model gives Inter a 46% probability to win away against Bologna, with the draw at 26% and a Bologna win at 27%.
The model estimates a 53% probability of fewer than 2.5 goals in Bologna vs Inter.
The model puts the probability that both Bologna and Inter score at 47%.
Bologna vs Inter kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 16:00.
Bologna vs Inter: Serie A Match Preview and Predictions
Welcome to Extratips for a keenly fought Serie A contest at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara on 17 October 2026. Bologna enter the game bottom of the early table with two points from five matches, while Inter are near the summit with 13 points. That gap gives the visitors confidence, but Bologna's home crowd should demand a response.
Inter have won the latest league meeting 3-1, yet the last five direct matches include two draws and a Bologna win. The recent sequence was 2-2, Bologna 1-0 Inter, 1-1, Inter 3-1 Bologna, and 3-3. Goals have arrived in this fixture, but the current form points toward greater caution.
The main prices favour Inter at 1.5700, with the draw at 4.2000 and Bologna at 5.0000. Bologna's poor start has included only three goals, and Emil Holm faces four to six months out after hamstring surgery. Jens Odgaard is also recovering from a thigh problem. Inter must manage Curtis Jones' adductor injury, though Hakan Calhanoglu, Pio Esposito, and Marcus Thuram are available.
Key angles
- Inter's title push meets Bologna's urgent fight for points.
- Bologna's defensive discipline may be tested without a full-strength right side.
- The head-to-head record warns against expecting an easy away win.
Our model leans to Inter, a clean sheet, and fewer than three goals. A 0-1 or 0-2 away win looks most plausible, while a 1-1 draw remains a live alternative. The Nerazzurri have the stronger form and squad depth, but Bologna's San Luca spirit can still make this a stubborn afternoon.
Bologna vs Inter Predictions & Analysis
Our prediction model gives Bologna a 27% win probability, Inter 46%, and the draw 26%.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
BTTS leans toward 'No' at 53%, suggesting a clean sheet is likely on at least one side.
Goals Prediction
Goal expectations lean toward Under 2.5 at 53%, indicating a lower-scoring affair is expected.
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly. How our predictions work
Who do you think will win?
Total votes: 72
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Bologna vs Inter: frequently asked questions
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly.
Our picks
Inter to win.
The model gives Inter a 46.2% probability of winning, the highest 1X2 outcome. Inter sit near the top with 13 points from five matches, while Bologna are bottom with two. Inter also won the latest league meeting 3-1, although the recent series remains competitive. The 1.5700 away price reflects strong market support.
Both teams not to score.
The model gives Both Teams To Score: No a 52.4% probability. Bologna have scored only three goals in five league games and face an Inter side with a stronger defensive record. The 2.1000 price supports a tight match, despite the latest five head-to-head meetings producing mixed scoring patterns.
Under 2.5 goals.
The model gives Under 2.5 a 52.7% probability, narrowly making it the preferred total-goals outcome. Bologna's early attack has managed just three goals in five matches, while Inter's control and away strength could limit chances. The 2.2100 price points to a close, lower-scoring contest.
Our picks
Accumulator odds
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*Odds available at time of writing.









