At a glance
The statistical model gives Bologna a 45% probability to beat Monza, with the draw at 27% and a Monza win at 29%.
The model estimates a 52% probability of more than 2.5 goals in Bologna vs Monza.
The model puts the probability that both Bologna and Monza score at 56%.
Bologna vs Monza kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 14:00.
Bologna vs Monza prediction: Serie A preview and tips
Welcome to Extratips for the Bologna vs Monza match prediction. The game starts at 14:00 on 31 October 2026 at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara. Bologna recently won 2-0 at Cagliari, while Monza arrive with a mixed campaign and five defeats from eight league games.
The latest available table places Bologna 13th with eight points and Monza 15th with seven. That small gap makes this a vital six-pointer. Bologna have home advantage, but injuries matter: Orsolini, Holm and Piccoli are listed as unavailable or doubtful. Monza may also miss Pessina, Ziólkowski and Touré.
Recent head-to-head meetings favor Bologna, with four wins, one Monza win and two draws. The clearest storyline is Bologna's stronger record against Monza versus their limited attacking depth. Monza's 15 goals show threat, but 18 conceded points to a fragile back line.
The model leans toward a home win at 44.1%, with Both Teams To Score at 56.6% and Over 2.5 goals at 52.4%. A 2-1 Bologna win fits those signals. Another possibility is a tight 1-1 draw, while a Monza upset remains a lower-probability route. Bologna should control the ball, but Monza's counterattack can keep the match lively.
Bologna vs Monza Predictions & Analysis
Our prediction model gives Bologna a 45% win probability, Monza 29%, and the draw 27%.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
BTTS leans toward 'Yes' at 56%, suggesting both teams are expected to score.
Goals Prediction
Goal expectations lean toward Over 2.5 at 52%, indicating a higher-scoring match is expected.
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly. How our predictions work
Who do you think will win?
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Bologna vs Monza: frequently asked questions
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly.
Our picks
Bologna to win
The model gives Home a 44.1% probability, the highest 1X2 outcome. Bologna recently beat Cagliari 2-0, while Monza have struggled with five defeats in eight league matches. Bologna also lead the recent head-to-head record, although missing Orsolini and Piccoli could make this a tight home win. No bookmaker odds were supplied.
Both teams to score: Yes
The model gives Yes a 56.6% probability. Monza have scored 15 goals in eight league games but conceded 18, while Bologna have shown enough attacking threat despite only eight goals scored. Their recent meetings also suggest a competitive contest, and Bologna's defensive absences increase the chance of a Monza reply. No bookmaker odds were supplied.
Over 2.5 goals
The model gives Over 2.5 a 52.4% probability. Monza's matches have produced 33 goals across eight league games, and their record shows both scoring ability and defensive gaps. Bologna's home advantage should create pressure, while injuries in both squads may affect defensive stability. No bookmaker odds were supplied.








