Aston Villa to win
Odds at 1.60 show 62.5% chance. Villa's form and away record beat Burnley's struggle. Logical pick with their edge.
Welcome to Extratips, your go-to spot for Premier League previews and smart bets. We're diving into Burnley vs Aston Villa on May 10, 2026, at 1:00 PM. Turf Moor hosts this key clash in the 2025/26 season.
Aston Villa lead the odds at 1.60 to win, with a 62.5% chance. Draw sits at 3.90 (25.64%), and Burnley at 5.50 (18.18%). Bookies see Villa dominating. Both teams to score? Yes at 1.75 (57.14%). Over 2.5 goals? 1.72 (57.9%).
Burnley fight relegation from 18th, 28 points. Villa chase Europe in 5th, 58 points. Villa need wins; Burnley must scrap.
Head-to-head: Last 5 – Villa 2-1, Draw 1-1, Burnley 1-0, Villa 3-0, Draw 0-0. Villa edge recent ties.
Burnley home: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses. Villa away: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss.
Burnley strengths: Tough at home, set-pieces. Weaknesses: Leak goals, poor attack. Example: Lost 3-1 last home.
Villa strengths: Quick counters, solid defense. Weaknesses: Away slips. Example: Beat Spurs 2-0 away.
Key factors: Burnley miss key striker injured. Villa's star fit. Late-season push.
Unique angles: 1. Villa's away surge – exciting underdog hunt. 2. Burnley's survival scrap – drama high. 3. Goal fest potential – bettors love it.
Comparison: Villa better form, attack. Burnley grit, but weaker squad.
Scenarios: 1. Villa win 2-1 (high). 2. Draw 1-1 (medium). 3. Burnley shock (low).
Villa take it, but goals flow. Bet smart!
Total votes: 72
Odds at 1.60 show 62.5% chance. Villa's form and away record beat Burnley's struggle. Logical pick with their edge.
57.14% probability at 1.75 odds. Burnley scores at home; Villa concedes on road. Fits Villa win scenario.
57.9% chance at 1.72. High-scoring trends in H2H and recent games support this with Villa attack.
Our picks
*Odds available at time of writing.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | DIFF | GLS | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | +44 | 71:27 | 85 | WWWWW | |
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | +42 | 77:35 | 78 | LDWWD | |
| 3 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | +19 | 69:50 | 71 | WWDWW | |
| 4 | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | +7 | 56:49 | 65 | WWDLL | |
| 5 | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | +10 | 63:53 | 60 | DLDLW | |
| 6 | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | +4 | 58:54 | 57 | DDWWD | |
| 7 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | -6 | 42:48 | 54 | WWDDL | |
| 8 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | +6 | 52:46 | 53 | LLWLW | |
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | +3 | 55:52 | 53 | DDLWL | |
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | +6 | 58:52 | 52 | LWDLL | |
| 11 | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | -4 | 47:51 | 52 | WDLLW | |
| 12 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | -2 | 53:55 | 49 | LWDWL | |
| 13 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | -3 | 47:50 | 49 | LLDDL | |
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | -7 | 49:56 | 47 | LWDWD | |
| 15 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | -10 | 41:51 | 45 | LDLDL | |
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | -3 | 48:51 | 44 | DLDWW | |
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | -9 | 48:57 | 41 | WLDWW | |
| 18 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | -19 | 46:65 | 39 | WLLLW | |
| 19 | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | -37 | 38:75 | 22 | DLDLL | |
| 20 | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | -41 | 27:68 | 20 | DDLDL |