At a glance
The statistical model gives Celtic a 42% probability to beat Beşiktaş, with the draw at 21% and a Beşiktaş win at 37%.
The model estimates a 65% probability of more than 2.5 goals in Celtic vs Beşiktaş.
The model puts the probability that both Celtic and Beşiktaş score at 65%.
Celtic vs Beşiktaş kicks off on Thursday 05 November 2026 at 20:00.
Celtic vs Beşiktaş prediction: Europa League preview
Welcome to Extratips for the Celtic vs Beşiktaş match prediction. The game starts at 20:00 on 5 November 2026 at Celtic Park in Glasgow. UEFA lists this as a key league-phase meeting, with both clubs needing a strong result.
Form and match outlook
Celtic’s latest five include a 2-2 draw with Dundee United, a 2-1 win at Hibernian, a 1-2 home loss to Celta Vigo, a 7-1 win over Hearts, and a 1-4 defeat at Benfica. Beşiktaş arrive after beating İstanbul Başakşehir 2-0, drawing 2-2 with Crystal Palace, losing 0-2 at Trabzonspor, winning 3-2 at Hoffenheim, and defeating Kocaelispor 2-1. The listed league-phase table has Celtic 35th with zero points and a -6 goal difference, while Beşiktaş are shown with three points from three matches.
The main prices are Celtic at 3.0000, Beşiktaş at 2.2500, and the draw at 3.6000. They suggest a tight game, despite the model giving Celtic the highest win probability. Celtic’s home energy should matter, but Beşiktaş have shown sharper European form.
Key angles
Celtic’s urgency is clear after three defeats. Beşiktaş offer a dangerous counter-attacking threat. Both teams have conceded regularly, making goals the strongest theme. A lively night under the lights looks likely, with Celtic edging a 2-1 thriller.
Celtic vs Beşiktaş Predictions & Analysis
Our prediction model gives Celtic a 42% win probability, Beşiktaş 37%, and the draw 21%.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
BTTS leans toward 'Yes' at 65%, suggesting both teams are expected to score.
Goals Prediction
Goal expectations lean toward Over 2.5 at 65%, indicating a higher-scoring match is expected.
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly. How our predictions work
Who do you think will win?
Total votes: 64
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Celtic vs Beşiktaş: frequently asked questions
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly.
Our picks
Celtic to win
The model gives Home a 42.8% probability, ahead of Beşiktaş at 35.5% and the draw at 21.8%. Celtic have home advantage at Celtic Park and recently beat Hibernian 2-1 while also scoring seven against Hearts. However, the market lists Celtic at 3.0000, so this is a narrow home edge rather than a clear favorite. Beşiktaş are in stronger recent European form, but Celtic’s need for points and home support can decide a close game.
Both teams to score: Yes
The model gives Yes a 65.3% probability. The recent form points to an open contest: Celtic’s last five listed matches included goals from both sides in three games, while Beşiktaş saw both teams score in three of their last five. The exact Yes price is 1.5300, matching the expected attacking pattern. Celtic’s defensive record has been vulnerable in Europe, while Beşiktaş have scored in their recent wins at Hoffenheim and against Kocaelispor.
Over 2.5 goals
The model gives Over 2.5 a 66.4% probability. Celtic’s recent results include 2-2, 2-1, 1-2 and 7-1, while Beşiktaş’s recent run includes 2-2 and 3-2. The available odds make Over 2.5 1.6000, and both teams have shown attacking threat alongside defensive gaps. A 2-1 Celtic win fits all three selections and reflects the likely pace of this Europa League meeting.
Our picks
Accumulator odds
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*Odds available at time of writing.








