EU
At a glance
The statistical model gives Crystal Palace a 38% probability to beat Nottingham Forest, with the draw at 26% and a Nottingham Forest win at 36%.
The model estimates a 52% probability of more than 2.5 goals in Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest.
The model puts the probability that both Crystal Palace and Nottingham Forest score at 54%.
Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 13:00.
Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest prediction
Welcome to Extratips for the Premier League meeting at Selhurst Park on Sunday, October 11, 2026, kicking off at 13:00. The market makes this a tight contest: Palace are priced at 2.52 to win, Forest at 2.60 and the draw at 3.35. The model gives Palace the edge with 39.5%, against 34.6% for Forest and 25.9% for a draw.
Forest sit 13th, while Palace are 15th; the available table data does not confirm their exact points totals. Forest's last five league matches brought one win, two draws and two defeats. Palace's recent run has also been mixed, with two wins and three defeats in their last five. Four of the last five league meetings ended 1-1, with Forest winning the other 1-0 in October 2024. Palace's home advantage matters, but injuries could shape the game: Axel Disasi is suspended, while Jean-Philippe Mateta and Chadi Riad are listed among Palace absentees. Forest defender Nikola Milenkovic was reported likely to return.
This points to a lively but balanced match. Palace should press early, while Forest may look for space in transition. Both teams scoring is priced at 1.75, and Over 2.5 is available at 2.01. A 2-1 Palace win is the standout scenario, though another 1-1 draw remains a serious threat.
Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest Predictions & Analysis
Our prediction model gives Crystal Palace a 38% win probability, Nottingham Forest 36%, and the draw 26%.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
BTTS leans toward 'Yes' at 54%, suggesting both teams are expected to score.
Goals Prediction
Goal expectations lean toward Over 2.5 at 52%, indicating a higher-scoring match is expected.
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly. How our predictions work
Who do you think will win?
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Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest: frequently asked questions
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly.
Our picks
Won1x22.52
Crystal Palace to win
The model gives Home a 39.5% probability, narrowly ahead of Away at 34.6% and Draw at 25.9%. Palace have home advantage at Selhurst Park, while the available form points to an inconsistent Forest side. Recent head-to-head meetings have often been close, with four of the last five league games ending 1-1, so the home edge is modest. The listed Home odds range from 2.41 to 2.62, with 2.52 available in the supplied prices.
WonBoth Teams To Score1.75
Both teams to score: Yes
The model gives Yes a 54.6% probability. Four of the last five league meetings finished 1-1, showing a strong scoring pattern in this fixture. Palace have conceded in several recent matches, while Forest remain capable of scoring away from home. The supplied Yes odds are 1.75, compared with 2.00 for No, supporting the view that both attacks can find a goal.
WonOver/Under2.01
Over 2.5 total goals
The model gives Over 2.5 a 51.4% probability, making it the narrow top outcome. Both teams have shown defensive uncertainty, and a 2-1 result would fit the model's Home and Both Teams To Score selections. The supplied Over 2.5 odds range from 1.98 to 2.03, with 2.01 available, while recent head-to-head results create some risk because many were low-scoring draws.
Our picks
Accumulator odds
Total Odds
8.86
Potential Winnings
$393.20
Crystal Palace to win
1x2 / Home
Both teams to score: Yes
Both Teams To Score / Yes
Over 2.5 total goals
Over/Under / Over 2.5
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*Odds available at time of writing.
Full Time Result
38%
Home
Fair odd 2.64
26%
Draw
Fair odd 3.82
36%
Away
Fair odd 2.78
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 75%
Under 25%
Over 2.5 Goals
Over 52%
Under 48%
Over 3.5 Goals
Over 30%
Under 70%
Both Teams To Score
Yes 54%
No 46%
First Half Winner
33%
Home
42%
Draw
25%
Away
Half Time / Full Time
HT \ FT
Home
Draw
Away
Home
27%
5%
2%
Draw
15%
15%
10%
Away
3%
6%
16%
Correct Score
Home goals (rows) × Away goals (columns)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
0
7.4
8.9
6.0
2.7
1
8.8
11.5
7.8
3.5
2
5.9
8.4
5.8
2.4
3
2.9
3.7
2.5
1.3
4
5
6
7
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No head-to-head matches found
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | DIFF | GLS | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | +12 | 19:7 | 21 | WWWWW | |
| 2 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | +6 | 11:5 | 18 | WWLWW | |
| 3 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +18 | 23:5 | 16 | WWWWD | |
| 4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 17:13 | 13 | WWLDL | |
| 5 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 9:8 | 12 | WLWDW | |
| 6 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +5 | 13:8 | 10 | LDWDD | |
| 7 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 9:6 | 10 | DLDWD | |
| 8 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +1 | 8:7 | 10 | LDWDD | |
| 9 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 8:7 | 9 | LDLDD | |
| 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 11:15 | 9 | LWLWL | |
| 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 10:14 | 8 | LLWLD | |
| 12 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 7:11 | 8 | WDWLD | |
| 13 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10:10 | 7 | DDDLD | |
| 14 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -8 | 9:17 | 7 | LWDLW | |
| 15 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 9:13 | 6 | WLLDD | |
| 16 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6:10 | 6 | WDLDD | |
| 17 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -8 | 6:14 | 6 | LWWLL | |
| 18 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 7:10 | 5 | WLDDL | |
| 19 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 5:9 | 5 | LLLWD | |
| 20 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 6:14 | 4 | LLLLD |
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