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At a glance
The statistical model gives Deportivo Alavés a 41% probability to beat Valencia, with the draw at 28% and a Valencia win at 31%.
The model estimates a 51% probability of fewer than 2.5 goals in Deportivo Alavés vs Valencia.
The model puts the probability that both Deportivo Alavés and Valencia score at 54%.
Deportivo Alavés vs Valencia kicks off on Tuesday 15 September 2026 at 18:00.
Deportivo Alavés vs Valencia Preview
Welcome to Extratips for this La Liga clash at Estadio de Mendizorroza on September 15, 2026. Alavés host Valencia in a match that looks tight, tense, and built on fine margins.
The top market hints at a narrow away edge, but the goal data leans conservative. Valencia’s win price of 3.7500 stands out, while BTTS Yes at 1.9500 and Under 2.5 at 1.6100 shape the same story: a close game, likely decided by one moment.
Alavés will want to use home energy and start fast. Valencia have the slightly better numbers, but not by much. That mix points to a scrappy battle in midfield, with set pieces and second balls possibly deciding it.
Possible angles include Valencia’s small edge in quality, Alavés’ home push, and the low-score profile. A 1-1 draw, a 0-1 away win, or a 1-0 home shock all fit the script.
Conclusion: this feels like a match where patience matters most, and one goal could change everything.
Deportivo Alavés vs Valencia Predictions & Analysis
Our prediction model gives Deportivo Alavés a 41% win probability, Valencia 31%, and the draw 28%.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
BTTS leans toward 'Yes' at 54%, suggesting both teams are expected to score.
Goals Prediction
Goal expectations lean toward Under 2.5 at 51%, indicating a lower-scoring affair is expected.
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly. How our predictions work
Who do you think will win?
Total votes: 99
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Deportivo Alavés vs Valencia: frequently asked questions
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly.
Our picks
Won1x23.7500
Valencia to win
The model gives Away a 37.3% probability, which is the top outcome in 1X2. The odds also offer a fair edge at 3.7500. With the away side slightly stronger on paper and the matchup projected to be tight, Valencia have the best chance to take the points.
LostBoth Teams To Score1.9500
Both teams to score - Yes
The model gives Yes a 52.7% probability, so goals at both ends are the likeliest BTTS outcome. Recent form trends and a balanced head-to-head profile support a game where each side can find a way through, even if chances are limited.
WonOver/Under1.6100
Under 2.5 goals
The model gives Under 2.5 a 53.4% probability, making it the preferred goal line call. The odds at 1.6100 also point to a low-scoring match, and the form and head-to-head context suggest a cagey contest with few clear chances.
Our picks
Accumulator odds
Total Odds
11.77
Potential Winnings
$538.66
Valencia to win
1x2 / Away
Both teams to score - Yes
Both Teams To Score / Yes
Under 2.5 goals
Over/Under / Under 2.5
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*Odds available at time of writing.
1
Value Pick
@ 2.17 Fair odd 2.09 · dafabet
Value pick - the model rates this outcome more likely than the bookmaker.
Stake
0.95
Full Time Result
41%
Home
Fair odd 2.41
28%
Draw
Fair odd 3.62
31%
Away
Fair odd 3.23
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 73%
Under 27%
Over 2.5 Goals
Over 49%
Under 51%
Over 3.5 Goals
Over 28%
Under 72%
Both Teams To Score
Yes 54%
No 46%
First Half Winner
30%
Home
49%
Draw
21%
Away
Half Time / Full Time
HT \ FT
Home
Draw
Away
Home
23%
6%
2%
Draw
16%
20%
11%
Away
3%
5%
15%
Correct Score
Home goals (rows) × Away goals (columns)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
0
7.9
8.4
4.8
2.0
1
10.2
12.8
7.3
2.8
2
6.8
8.8
5.6
2.1
3
3.1
4.1
2.6
1.2
4
5
6
7
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
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Deportivo Alavés2
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13 Feb 22FT!
Deportivo Alavés2Valencia1| # | Team | P | W | D | L | DIFF | GLS | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | +24 | 31:7 | 21 | WWWWW | |
| 2 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +9 | 16:7 | 16 | WWWLW | |
| 3 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 9:7 | 16 | DWWWL | |
| 4 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +10 | 18:8 | 15 | LWWLW | |
| 5 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 10:9 | 13 | LWWDL | |
| 6 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 11:6 | 11 | DLLWW | |
| 7 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +2 | 10:8 | 10 | DLDWW | |
| 8 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 9:13 | 10 | WLWDW | |
| 9 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 13:12 | 8 | WWLLL | |
| 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 7:6 | 8 | DDWWL | |
| 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 4:7 | 8 | WLDDL | |
| 12 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 11:16 | 8 | DWLWL | |
| 13 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -7 | 6:13 | 8 | DLLLW | |
| 14 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 8:6 | 7 | WDDDL | |
| 15 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 10:10 | 7 | LLWDL | |
| 16 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -10 | 11:21 | 7 | LLWLW | |
| 17 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 8:12 | 5 | LLDWD | |
| 18 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 11:17 | 5 | WLDLL | |
| 19 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 4:13 | 4 | LWLLL | |
| 20 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -9 | 3:12 | 3 | LLDDL |
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