At a glance
The statistical model gives Elversberg a 41% probability to beat FC Augsburg, with the draw at 24% and a FC Augsburg win at 35%.
The model estimates a 64% probability of more than 2.5 goals in Elversberg vs FC Augsburg.
The model puts the probability that both Elversberg and FC Augsburg score at 64%.
Elversberg vs FC Augsburg kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 13:30.
Elversberg vs FC Augsburg: Bundesliga Match Preview and Predictions
Welcome to Extratips for the meeting at URSAPHARM-Arena an der Kaiserlinde on 17 October 2026. Elversberg and Augsburg are both chasing a strong start, with seven points each in the latest available table. Augsburg sat sixth after five matches, while Elversberg were ninth, separated by goal difference and league position.
The market gives Elversberg a small edge at 2.40, with Augsburg priced at 2.60. Goals look likely too: both teams have shown attacking intent, while the model rates both teams scoring at 64.3% and Over 2.5 at 64.0%. Elversberg had eight goals in four matches, while Augsburg had 11. Their defences had allowed seven and six respectively, leaving room for another open contest.
Augsburg's recent league record was slightly stronger over five games, but Elversberg's home setting could level the contest. The latest available head-to-head result was Augsburg's 3-1 win in 2015, though that meeting offers limited guidance today. Squad updates listed three possible Elversberg absences and five for Augsburg, which could affect depth and late-game energy.
Expect an energetic Bundesliga clash. Elversberg may edge it, but the clearest angle is goals at both ends, with Over 2.5 also favoured. A 2-1 home win is the standout scoreline.
Elversberg vs FC Augsburg Predictions & Analysis
Our prediction model gives Elversberg a 41% win probability, FC Augsburg 35%, and the draw 24%.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
BTTS leans toward 'Yes' at 64%, suggesting both teams are expected to score.
Goals Prediction
Goal expectations lean toward Over 2.5 at 64%, indicating a higher-scoring match is expected.
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly. How our predictions work
Who do you think will win?
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Elversberg vs FC Augsburg: frequently asked questions
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly.
Our picks
Elversberg to win
The model gives Home a 41.1% probability, narrowly ahead of Away at 34.7%. Elversberg have home advantage and were level with Augsburg on seven points in the latest available standings. The 2.40 home price also makes them slight market favourites. Recent form points to a close game, but Elversberg's attacking threat at URSAPHARM-Arena supports a narrow home victory.
Both teams to score
The model gives Yes a 64.3% probability, while the listed odds are 1.40. Elversberg had scored eight goals in four league matches, and Augsburg had scored 11, showing strong attacking output from both sides. Their defensive records were less convincing, with Elversberg conceding seven and Augsburg six. The available head-to-head record includes Augsburg's 3-1 win in 2015, and the overall profile points toward goals at both ends.
Over 2.5 goals
The model gives Over 2.5 a 64.0% probability. The odds list does not provide a direct 2.5-goal line, so no matching price is available. Both teams had produced lively league numbers: Elversberg's four matches brought 15 total goals, while Augsburg's brought 17. Combined with the 64.3% model probability for both teams scoring, a three-goal game is the stronger outcome.
Our picks
Accumulator odds
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*Odds available at time of writing.








