At a glance
The statistical model gives Everton a 42% probability to beat Ipswich Town, with the draw at 26% and a Ipswich Town win at 31%.
The model estimates a 51% probability of more than 2.5 goals in Everton vs Ipswich Town.
The model puts the probability that both Everton and Ipswich Town score at 55%.
Everton vs Ipswich Town kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 14:00.
Everton vs Ipswich Town Prediction & Betting Tips – Extratips
Welcome to Extratips and a fresh look at Everton vs Ipswich Town in the Premier League. The game kicks off at Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool, on 19 September 2026 at 14:00.
Everton arrive in solid shape, sitting around the top half after three rounds with 5 points and a positive goal difference, showing a balanced start at both ends of the pitch. Ipswich, back in the top flight, have 3 points from three games and a –4 goal difference, which tells the story of an attack that can score but a defense that still looks fragile.
Bookmakers lean toward the Toffees. Home win odds hover between 1.75 and 1.82, while the Draw is around 3.65–3.84 and Ipswich away success stands at 4.15–4.50, signaling clear faith in Everton at Goodison. BTTS Yes is priced near 1.75 against 2.00 for No, and the main goal line sits at 2.5, with Over around 1.79–1.80 and Under close to 2.02–2.03.
In the table, Everton’s position and extra points give them a psychological edge. They know a home win can push them toward the European spots. Ipswich, mid‑lower in the standings, are chasing stability and will be desperate to avoid another away defeat.
Head‑to‑Head and recent form
These clubs have a rich history. Over the long run, Everton have more wins overall, but Ipswich have enjoyed some strong spells, especially in the early 2000s. Looking at the last five competitive meetings:
- 24 Feb 2001: Ipswich 2–0 Everton
- 13 Oct 2001: Ipswich 0–0 Everton
- 02 Feb 2002: Everton 1–2 Ipswich
- 19 Oct 2024: Ipswich 0–2 Everton
- 03 May 2025: Everton 2–2 Ipswich
Recent games show a shift. Everton took a 2–0 win away in 2024 and then shared a 2–2 thriller at home in 2025, suggesting the gap in quality has narrowed but with Everton now slightly on top.
At home, Everton’s last five league matches include several wins, a couple of draws, and only the odd defeat. They score in most of these and usually keep games under control, rarely getting blown away. Ipswich’s last five away fixtures are more mixed: one or two wins, some heavy losses, and frequent goals conceded. Their back line often struggles against sides who press high and move the ball quickly.
Strengths, weaknesses and key factors
Everton strengths:
- Strong midfield engine, able to control tempo and recycle possession.
- Reliable pressing structure at home, forcing errors in the opposition half.
- Set‑piece threat, with good delivery and aerial power.
Everton weaknesses:
- At times wasteful in front of goal, needing several chances to score.
- Can switch off late, inviting pressure in the last 15 minutes.
- Full‑backs push high, leaving space on the counter.
Ipswich strengths:
- Energetic front line, capable of quick transitions and surprise breaks.
- Willingness to press, especially early in each half.
- Good spirit and work rate, even when chasing the game.
Ipswich weaknesses:
- Defensive organization, especially when facing crosses and cut‑backs.
- Away‑day nerves, with several recent matches featuring early goals conceded.
- Limited depth, which shows when they face injuries or fatigue.
Team news and tactical tweaks will matter. Everton are likely to stick with their 4‑2‑3‑1 or 4‑3‑3 shape, using wide players to stretch Ipswich’s back four. Ipswich may respond with a compact 4‑5‑1, trying to clog the middle and break through their quick forwards. Any missing center‑backs or holding midfielders for Ipswich would further tilt things toward Everton’s attackers, while an absent Everton striker could push this match toward a tighter scoreline.
Storylines to watch
- Everton’s push toward Europe – A home win keeps their momentum and builds belief after a positive start. Fans will expect three points.
- Ipswich’s away test – Surviving at Hill Dickinson is a big benchmark. A result here would say a lot about their Premier League readiness.
- Battle of high press vs calm build‑up – Everton’s structured possession against Ipswich’s intense pressing could create a fascinating tactical clash.
Potential betting angles
Based on all the data and our model:
- Everton to win.
- Both teams to score.
- Under 2.5 goals.
- Everton to win and BTTS Yes.
- Everton to score first.
Match comparison and likely scenarios
Everton look more balanced, with better defensive numbers and home consistency. Ipswich carry attacking threat but suffer from shaky defending and patchy away form. Both teams can score; only one defends with real structure.
Possible scenarios:
- High likelihood: Everton control most of the game and win 2–0 or 2–1.
- Medium likelihood: Ipswich grab an early goal, but Everton respond for a 1–1 or narrow 2–1.
- Low likelihood: Ipswich produce a shock away win, exploiting counters in a 1–2 or 1–3 scoreline.
Overall, expect Everton to edge a competitive match, with Ipswich dangerous enough to keep things tense but not quite solid enough to fully turn the tide.
Everton vs Ipswich Town Predictions & Analysis
Our prediction model gives Everton a 42% win probability, Ipswich Town 31%, and the draw 26%.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
BTTS leans toward 'Yes' at 55%, suggesting both teams are expected to score.
Goals Prediction
Goal expectations lean toward Over 2.5 at 51%, indicating a higher-scoring match is expected.
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly. How our predictions work
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Everton vs Ipswich Town: frequently asked questions
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly.
Our picks
Everton to win at home
Our model makes Everton the slight favorite here, giving the Home win a 41.2% chance, ahead of 32.5% for Ipswich and 26.3% for the draw. Everton come into this Hill Dickinson clash sitting around mid‑table with 5 points from 3 games and a positive goal difference, while Ipswich are lower down with 3 points and a –4 goal swing, which hints at defensive issues. Head‑to‑head also leans towards Everton in recent years, with a 2‑2 draw at Goodison in May 2025 and a 2‑0 away win in October 2024 showing they can unlock this Ipswich back line. At home, Everton’s recent league form has been solid, with a mix of tight wins and draws and only the odd defeat, while Ipswich’s away record in the last five includes more losses than wins and several games where they shipped multiple goals. The match odds back this picture, with Home priced as low as 1.75–1.82, compared to 4.15–4.50 for Ipswich and around 3.65–3.84 for the draw, signaling clear bookmaker support for a home victory. Combining our model’s edge, Everton’s stronger defensive numbers, and Ipswich’s shaky away form, a narrow home win looks the most realistic outcome.
Both teams to score: Yes
Our model expects an open game, giving BTTS Yes a 54.1% probability, slightly higher than the 45.9% for No, so we lean toward both sides finding the net. Everton have scored in all their league matches so far, hitting five goals in three games, while Ipswich have four goals in the same span, despite their defensive problems. Their recent direct meetings also point toward goals at both ends: the 2‑2 draw at Goodison in 2025 and Everton’s 2‑0 win at Portman Road in 2024 featured plenty of chances, and older fixtures between these clubs often produced scorelines like 2‑1 and 2‑0 rather than cagey stalemates. Everton’s home games tend to be lively, with their last five at Goodison showing a pattern of them scoring regularly but occasionally leaving gaps, while Ipswich’s recent away matches feature them pushing forward, scoring in most outings but conceding heavily. The market agrees with our model, with BTTS Yes trading around 1.75, shorter than 2.00 for No, which reflects expectations of both attacks getting on the scoreboard. Given Everton’s strong front line, Ipswich’s need for points, and their leaky defense, a 2‑1 or 3‑1 type scoreline feels very plausible and fits a BTTS Yes angle.
Under 2.5 total goals
Our model slightly favors a tighter scoreline, giving Under 2.5 goals a 50.3% chance against 49.7% for Over, so we edge toward a lower‑scoring contest even with BTTS in play. Everton’s early season numbers show a balance between attack and defense: five scored and three conceded across three matches suggests they can manage games rather than getting drawn into shootouts. Ipswich, despite conceding eight goals so far, often approach away fixtures more cautiously, especially against stronger mid‑table sides, which can lead to compact shapes and fewer clear chances. The recent 2‑2 draw in 2025 nudges toward the higher side of the line, but their 2‑0 meeting in 2024 shows this fixture can stay under comfortably when one side controls territory and tempo. Over/Under odds around the main 2.5 line are quite balanced, with Over 2.5 near 1.79–1.80 and Under 2.5 around 2.02–2.03, reflecting the fine margins and supporting our model’s near‑coin‑flip stance. A 2‑0 or tight 2‑1 Everton win fits both our Home and BTTS Yes calls while still keeping the overall goal tally right on the edge, so siding with Under 2.5 at this price has reasonable support from form, head‑to‑head, and the model’s slight lean. As always, football can surprise, so stake sensibly and enjoy the match.
Our picks
Accumulator odds
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*Odds available at time of writing.









