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At a glance
The statistical model gives AFC Bournemouth a 37% probability to win away against Ipswich Town, with the draw at 28% and a Ipswich Town win at 35%.
The model estimates a 52% probability of fewer than 2.5 goals in Ipswich Town vs AFC Bournemouth.
The model puts the probability that both Ipswich Town and AFC Bournemouth score at 52%.
Ipswich Town vs AFC Bournemouth kicks off on Sunday 08 November 2026 at 14:00.
Ipswich Town vs AFC Bournemouth Prediction
Welcome to Extratips for the Premier League clash at Portman Road on Sunday, 8 November 2026, with kick-off at 14:00. Bournemouth arrive seventh with 12 points from nine games, while Ipswich sit 13th on 11 points. The Cherries have won their last three league matches, including a striking 3-0 success at Manchester United. Ipswich are unbeaten in their last two, drawing 1-1 with Nottingham Forest and 2-2 at Hull City.
Form, Odds and Key Trends
The shortest price is Bournemouth at 1.9500, showing respect for their sharp recent run. Both teams to score is priced at 1.6100, while Under 2.5 goals sits at 2.1000. Those numbers suggest a close game, with a narrow away win or low-scoring draw possible.
The last five meetings were 2-2, 2-2, 1-1, 1-2 Bournemouth, and 1-2 Bournemouth. Goals have been common, but the margins stayed tight. Ipswich's recent home league record is one win, one draw and three losses across their last five listed home matches. Bournemouth's last five away league matches show three wins and two defeats.
Bournemouth's main strengths are their counter-attacking pace, improving confidence and defensive discipline. Their weaknesses are the possible absence of Alex Toth and Julian Araujo, plus Alex Scott's fitness concern. Ipswich offer energy, home pressure and a direct threat, but their -4 goal difference exposes defensive gaps. Sasa Lukic is doubtful for the hosts.
One intriguing angle is Bournemouth's momentum against Ipswich's home advantage. Another is the clash between Bournemouth's recent clean sheets and Ipswich's strong record of finding the net. A final storyline is the tight head-to-head history, where small moments have decided the outcome.
Match Scenarios
- Medium likelihood: Bournemouth edge a competitive contest, 1-2.
- Medium likelihood: The teams cancel each other out in a 1-1 draw.
- Low likelihood: Ipswich turn early Portman Road pressure into a 2-1 home win.
The best overall reading is a narrow Bournemouth result, with both attacks capable of contributing and the total staying below three goals.
Ipswich Town vs AFC Bournemouth Predictions & Analysis
Our prediction model gives Ipswich Town a 35% win probability, AFC Bournemouth 37%, and the draw 28%.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
BTTS leans toward 'Yes' at 52%, suggesting both teams are expected to score.
Goals Prediction
Goal expectations lean toward Under 2.5 at 52%, indicating a lower-scoring affair is expected.
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly. How our predictions work
Who do you think will win?
Total votes: 98
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Ipswich Town vs AFC Bournemouth: frequently asked questions
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly.
Our picks
1x21.9500
AFC Bournemouth to win
The model gives Bournemouth a 37.1% probability of victory, narrowly ahead of Ipswich at 35.0%. Bournemouth sit seventh with 12 points, while Ipswich are 13th with 11. The visitors have won their last three league matches, including a 3-0 victory at Manchester United, and lead the recent head-to-head record with two wins in the last two Premier League meetings. The 1.9500 away price also reflects market confidence, although Ipswich remain a serious home threat.
Both Teams To Score1.6100
Both teams to score: Yes
The model gives Both Teams To Score a 52.5% probability. Ipswich have scored in four of their last five league games, while Bournemouth have scored at least twice in each of their last three league wins. Ipswich's recent home draw with Nottingham Forest ended 1-1, and the last five head-to-head meetings produced goals from both sides in four matches. The 1.6100 price supports an open contest, despite Bournemouth's recent clean sheets.
Over/Under2.1000
Under 2.5 goals
The model gives Under 2.5 a 51.8% probability, making it the strongest total-goals outcome. Ipswich's recent league results include two 1-1 draws, while Bournemouth's latest three league wins came with clean sheets. The head-to-head series has often been tight, with four draws in the last five meetings. The 2.1000 under price offers a clear contrast with the BTTS prediction, pointing toward a possible 1-1 or 1-2 scoreline rather than a high-scoring game.
Our picks
Accumulator odds
Total Odds
6.59
Potential Winnings
$279.65
AFC Bournemouth to win
1x2 / Away
Both teams to score: Yes
Both Teams To Score / Yes
Under 2.5 goals
Over/Under / Under 2.5
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*Odds available at time of writing.
Full Time Result
35%
Home
Fair odd 2.86
28%
Draw
Fair odd 3.59
37%
Away
Fair odd 2.69
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 72%
Under 28%
Over 2.5 Goals
Over 48%
Under 52%
Over 3.5 Goals
Over 27%
Under 73%
Both Teams To Score
Yes 52%
No 48%
First Half Winner
33%
Home
41%
Draw
27%
Away
Half Time / Full Time
HT \ FT
Home
Draw
Away
Home
23%
6%
3%
Draw
13%
14%
13%
Away
3%
6%
19%
Correct Score
Home goals (rows) × Away goals (columns)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
0
8.5
10.0
6.0
2.7
1
9.3
12.5
8.3
3.4
2
5.5
7.6
5.5
2.5
3
2.6
3.2
2.3
1.1
4
5
6
7
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
No head-to-head matches found
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | DIFF | GLS | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | +9 | 14:5 | 24 | WWWWL | |
| 2 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +10 | 20:10 | 21 | LLWWW | |
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +17 | 24:7 | 19 | WLWWW | |
| 4 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 19:15 | 16 | WLWWL | |
| 5 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 11:9 | 15 | LWWLW | |
| 6 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | +7 | 16:9 | 14 | WDLDW | |
| 7 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9:9 | 13 | WLLDW | |
| 8 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 14:13 | 12 | WWWLL | |
| 9 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 10:10 | 12 | WWWDL | |
| 10 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 10:13 | 12 | DWWDW | |
| 11 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 11:10 | 11 | DDLDL | |
| 12 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 9:8 | 11 | LDDLD | |
| 13 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 12:15 | 11 | LWLLW | |
| 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 14:18 | 11 | DDLWL | |
| 15 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 9:11 | 9 | DWWLD | |
| 16 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -7 | 9:16 | 9 | WLLWW | |
| 17 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -5 | 10:15 | 7 | LLDDD | |
| 18 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -12 | 9:21 | 7 | LLLWD | |
| 19 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 6:12 | 6 | LDLLL | |
| 20 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 7:17 | 5 | LDLLL |
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