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At a glance
The statistical model gives Juventus a 53% probability to beat Lazio, with the draw at 25% and a Lazio win at 22%.
The model estimates a 52% probability of fewer than 2.5 goals in Juventus vs Lazio.
The model puts the probability that both Juventus and Lazio score at 50%.
Juventus vs Lazio kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 18:45.
Juventus vs Lazio: Serie A Match Preview and Predictions
Welcome to Extratips for a major Serie A clash at Juventus Stadium on 18 October 2026, with kick-off at 18:45. Juventus enter the game seventh with 10 points, while Lazio are second on 16 points after six matches. Lazio’s strong start adds pressure, but Juventus have home advantage and a solid defensive base.
The main prices point toward Juventus. Home is quoted at 1.6500, compared with 3.8000 for the draw and 5.2500 for Lazio. The teams have produced tight recent meetings: 2-2, 1-0 Lazio, 1-1, 1-0 Juventus, and 2-1 Lazio. That pattern suggests a competitive contest with little room for error.
Juventus have won three of five league games, while Lazio remain unbeaten with five wins and one draw. Juventus may miss Locatelli, Yildiz, Thuram, and Boga, while Lazio are without Patric. Lazio also face a key fitness concern, with Gudmundsson expected to miss several weeks.
Three storylines stand out. Juventus must slow Lazio’s early title push, while Lazio can prove their away form against a traditional rival. The midfield absences may also decide who controls the tempo. A cagey first half looks likely, followed by a tense finish. The strongest overall angle is a narrow Juventus win, with both sides capable of scoring but fewer than three goals expected.
Juventus vs Lazio Predictions & Analysis
Our prediction model gives Juventus a 53% win probability, Lazio 22%, and the draw 25%.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
BTTS leans toward 'No' at 50%, suggesting a clean sheet is likely on at least one side.
Goals Prediction
Goal expectations lean toward Under 2.5 at 52%, indicating a lower-scoring affair is expected.
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly. How our predictions work
Who do you think will win?
Total votes: 79
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Juventus vs Lazio: frequently asked questions
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly.
Our picks
Lost1x21.6500
Juventus to win
The model gives Home a 55.4% probability, while the listed odds are 1.6500. Juventus have home advantage and a strong defensive record, conceding four goals in five league matches. Lazio are unbeaten and sit near the top, so this should be close, but Juventus remain the preferred result. Recent head-to-head meetings have often been tight, including a 2-2 draw and a 1-0 Juventus win.
LostBoth Teams To Score1.9000
Both teams to score: Yes
The model gives Yes a 50.6% probability, with listed odds of 1.9000. Both teams have shown attacking quality early this season, while their recent meetings include goals from both sides in the 2-2 draw. Juventus may control possession at home, but Lazio's perfect away start gives them a realistic route to scoring. This supports a narrow Juventus win with both teams finding the net.
LostOver/Under1.9000
Under 2.5 goals
The model gives Under 2.5 a 51.3% probability, with listed odds of 1.9000. Juventus have conceded only four goals in five league games, and the head-to-head record shows several low-scoring contests, including 1-0 and 1-1 results. Lazio have also allowed just four goals in six matches. A 2-1 home win fits both the Under 2.5 lean and the expected tactical caution.
Our picks
Accumulator odds
Total Odds
5.96
Potential Winnings
$247.82
Juventus to win
1x2 / Home
Both teams to score: Yes
Both Teams To Score / Yes
Under 2.5 goals
Over/Under / Under 2.5
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*Odds available at time of writing.
1
Value Pick
@ 1.70 Fair odd 1.66 · betfair
Value pick - the model rates this outcome more likely than the bookmaker.
Stake
1.10
Full Time Result
53%
Home
Fair odd 1.88
25%
Draw
Fair odd 4.06
22%
Away
Fair odd 4.52
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 73%
Under 27%
Over 2.5 Goals
Over 48%
Under 52%
Over 3.5 Goals
Over 26%
Under 74%
Both Teams To Score
Yes 50%
No 50%
First Half Winner
37%
Home
45%
Draw
18%
Away
Half Time / Full Time
HT \ FT
Home
Draw
Away
Home
31%
4%
2%
Draw
19%
16%
9%
Away
2%
5%
11%
Correct Score
Home goals (rows) × Away goals (columns)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
0
7.5
7.2
3.5
1.1
1
12.0
11.8
5.6
1.8
2
9.9
10.1
4.7
1.4
3
5.1
5.1
2.9
0.7
4
5
6
7
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
No head-to-head matches found
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | DIFF | GLS | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | +15 | 22:7 | 25 | WWWWW | |
| 2 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +13 | 26:13 | 25 | LWWWW | |
| 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | +18 | 28:10 | 24 | WWDWD | |
| 4 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +9 | 21:12 | 21 | WLWWD | |
| 5 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 17:8 | 20 | WWWDL | |
| 6 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +8 | 22:14 | 17 | WDWLW | |
| 7 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +6 | 17:11 | 14 | WDLWD | |
| 8 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 14:13 | 14 | WWWLW | |
| 9 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 11:10 | 14 | LWLDW | |
| 10 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 14:14 | 13 | LWWWD | |
| 11 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 8:13 | 13 | LLLDW | |
| 12 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 16:17 | 11 | DDLWL | |
| 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 8:13 | 10 | WWLWL | |
| 14 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -9 | 10:19 | 9 | LLWLL | |
| 15 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 14:22 | 8 | LLLDL | |
| 16 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -7 | 17:24 | 7 | LLLWL | |
| 17 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 11:21 | 5 | DLLLD | |
| 18 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 5:15 | 5 | DLLLW | |
| 19 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -12 | 11:23 | 5 | LDLLL | |
| 20 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | -13 | 6:19 | 3 | LLWLL |
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