At a glance
The statistical model gives Le Havre a 42% probability to beat Auxerre, with the draw at 29% and a Auxerre win at 29%.
The model estimates a 56% probability of fewer than 2.5 goals in Le Havre vs Auxerre.
The model puts the probability that both Le Havre and Auxerre score at 50%.
Le Havre vs Auxerre kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 15:15.
Le Havre vs Auxerre Prediction: Ligue 1 Preview and Betting Tips
Welcome to Extratips for the Le Havre vs Auxerre match prediction. The game starts on 18 October 2026 at 15:15 at Stade Océane in Le Havre. It carries major weight for the hosts, who sit 18th with two points, while Auxerre are listed around 14th with six points.
Le Havre enter the match without a win in their last five league games. Their recent sequence includes a 0-1 defeat at Lille, a 2-3 loss at Toulouse, a 0-0 draw with Angers, and a 1-2 home defeat by Brest. Auxerre have also been uneven, with a 2-1 win over Brest surrounded by heavy defeats. The latest league meeting ended 1-1, while the previous two were Le Havre wins, 1-0 and 2-1.
The main odds favour Le Havre at 2.3400, ahead of Auxerre at 2.6500 and the draw at 3.3000. That suggests a close contest, not a clear home advantage. The goal markets point toward restraint: Under 2.5 is priced at 1.9500, while Both Teams To Score—No is 2.0500.
Le Havre's home urgency is the key storyline, but injuries could hurt their back line. Timothée Pembélé and Elias Jelert are doubts, while Auxerre's recent defensive record has also raised questions. Expect a tense start, careful midfield play, and few clear chances. A 1-0 home win is the leading scenario, though a 1-1 draw remains a serious threat.
Le Havre vs Auxerre Predictions & Analysis
Our prediction model gives Le Havre a 42% win probability, Auxerre 29%, and the draw 29%.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
BTTS leans toward 'No' at 50%, suggesting a clean sheet is likely on at least one side.
Goals Prediction
Goal expectations lean toward Under 2.5 at 56%, indicating a lower-scoring affair is expected.
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly. How our predictions work
Who do you think will win?
Total votes: 58
TV Channels
Le Havre vs Auxerre: frequently asked questions
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly.
Our picks
Le Havre to win
The model gives Home a 42.2% probability, the highest 1X2 outcome. Le Havre are priced at 2.3400, and their recent head-to-head record is strong, with wins in three of the last four meetings. However, their poor recent form and 18th-place standing make this a narrow home lean rather than a confident call.
Both teams not to score
The model gives No a 50.1% probability, narrowly ahead of Yes. The available No price is 2.0500. Le Havre have scored only four goals in six league matches, while recent meetings include 1-0 and 1-1 results, pointing toward a tight game where one side could fail to score.
Under 2.5 goals
The model gives Under 2.5 a 55.9% probability, making it the strongest total-goals outcome. The quoted price is 1.9500. Le Havre's low scoring output, the recent 1-1 head-to-head draw, and the likely pressure of a relegation battle support a cautious match with two goals or fewer.
Our picks
Accumulator odds
#ad
*Odds available at time of writing.








