At a glance
The statistical model gives Liverpool a 59% probability to beat Fulham, with the draw at 22% and a Fulham win at 18%.
The model estimates a 54% probability of more than 2.5 goals in Liverpool vs Fulham.
The model puts the probability that both Liverpool and Fulham score at 52%.
Liverpool vs Fulham kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 14:00.
Extratips Match Prediction: Liverpool vs Fulham – Premier League Clash at Anfield
Welcome to Extratips and a big Premier League showdown at Anfield. On 12 September 2026, Liverpool host Fulham in a match that could shape both teams’ early-season mood.
Liverpool come in as clear favourites. They sit around 5th place with 5 points from 3 games, scoring freely but still letting chances slip at the back. Fulham, by contrast, are down near 16th–19th, still on 0 points after three losses, and badly need a result to calm the pressure.
Recent meetings have been lively. Fulham stunned Liverpool 3–2 in April 2025, and there was a 2–2 draw at Anfield in the 2024–25 season, part of a longer head‑to‑head that still strongly favours the Reds but shows Fulham can score against them. Liverpool’s last home games and Fulham’s away runs both point towards goals rather than tight, cagey football.
Top odds on the full-time result cluster around 1.42–1.46 for Home, 4.80–5.10 for Draw, and 6.10–6.65 for Away, underlining how strongly the market leans towards a Liverpool win. BTTS Yes sits near 1.61, while Over 3–3.5 goals trades around 1.87–1.95, hinting at a high‑scoring contest.
Key strengths for Liverpool are their attacking depth, pressing intensity, and strong home record. Weaknesses include occasional lapses at the back, vulnerability on counters, and some reliance on star forwards for creativity. Fulham’s strengths lie in set‑pieces, quick breaks, and resilience after falling behind, but they struggle with defensive organisation, dealing with high presses, and maintaining focus late in games.
Injuries, suspensions, and tactical tweaks will matter on the day, especially any changes in Fulham’s back line or Liverpool’s front three. Even without full squad details, both teams’ recent form suggests open football rather than a defensive stalemate.
Interesting storylines include: Liverpool’s push to stay in the top four race, Fulham’s fight to escape an early relegation battle, and the memory of Fulham’s 3–2 upset, which could fuel the hosts’ desire for payback and inspire the visitors’ belief.
From a betting angle, at least five reasonable plays emerge: Liverpool to win, Liverpool -1 on the handicap, Both Teams To Score, Over 2.5 goals, and Liverpool to score over 1.5 team goals. All of these point in a similar direction: a strong Liverpool performance, Fulham threatening at times, and several goals.
Comparing the sides, Liverpool have the stronger squad, better form, and home support. Both teams, though, show defensive issues and a tendency towards open matches, which narrows the gap in some moments but usually not over 90 minutes.
Possible match scenarios include: a high‑scoring Liverpool win (high likelihood), a tight 2–1 or 1–0 home victory (medium), or a shock Fulham draw or win built on counter‑attacks (low). Our model and the odds both point most clearly to Liverpool taking the points in a game with goals at both ends.
In short, expect intensity, chances, and a buzzing Anfield atmosphere – with Liverpool favoured to come out on top.
Conclusion: Liverpool to win, Both Teams To Score, and Over 2.5 goals together form a logical view of this clash, matching our model’s numbers with what we see on the pitch.
Liverpool vs Fulham Predictions & Analysis
Our prediction model gives Liverpool a 59% win probability, Fulham 18%, and the draw 22%.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
BTTS leans toward 'Yes' at 52%, suggesting both teams are expected to score.
Goals Prediction
Goal expectations lean toward Over 2.5 at 54%, indicating a higher-scoring match is expected.
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly. How our predictions work
Who do you think will win?
Total votes: 78
TV Channels
Liverpool vs Fulham: frequently asked questions
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly.
Our picks
Liverpool to win at Anfield
Our model makes Liverpool clear favourites here, giving the Home win a 57.8% chance, while the away win sits at 19.6% and the draw at 22.6%. Liverpool come into this clash in solid early-season shape, sitting around 5th in the Premier League with 5 points from 3 games and a positive goal difference. Fulham, by contrast, are stuck near the bottom with 0 points and a negative goal difference after three defeats, which puts extra pressure on them but also underlines the gap between the sides. Recent head-to-head meetings have been tight but still lean Liverpool’s way; across all competitions the Reds have more than three times as many wins as Fulham, and at Anfield they usually find a way through. Fulham did pull off a famous 3–2 home win in April 2025, but away to Liverpool they have struggled for long spells and often concede multiple goals. Given Liverpool’s stronger squad, attacking depth and home advantage, plus bookmaker odds around 1.42–1.46 on the home win, backing Liverpool to take all three points aligns with both our model and the market.
Both teams to score
Our model expects an open game, giving Yes on Both Teams To Score a 53.5% probability against 46.5% for No. Liverpool’s attack has started the season well, scoring 6 goals in their first 3 league matches, but they have also allowed 4, showing they can be got at when they commit numbers forward. Fulham’s start has been rough, yet they have still found the net in several recent league games and in past meetings with Liverpool; they even beat the Reds 3–2 in April 2025 and scored in a 2–2 draw at Anfield in the 2024–25 season. The wider head-to-head record points to goals at both ends too, with Liverpool averaging close to 2 goals per game and Fulham around 1 over many clashes. Bookmakers reflect this attacking tilt, pricing BTTS Yes at about 1.61 compared to 2.20 for No, which suggests they also expect chances for both sides. With Liverpool likely to push hard at home and Fulham needing points, a scenario where each team scores at least once fits both the stats and the tactical picture.
Over 2.5 total goals
Our model leans towards a lively encounter, giving Over 2.5 goals a 54.4% chance, compared with 45.5% for Under 2.5. Liverpool’s early-season numbers back this up: 6 scored and 4 conceded in 3 league matches, which points to games regularly landing above the 2.5 line. Fulham’s defence has looked shaky, with 4–7 goals against over their first three fixtures and three straight defeats, suggesting they may struggle to contain Liverpool’s attack at Anfield. The recent head-to-head record also shows a trend towards higher scores, including a 3–2 Fulham win and a 2–2 draw in the last couple of seasons, plus several other clashes reaching three goals or more. Bookmaker goal-lines around 3–3.5 goals, with Over priced near 1.95 and Under around 1.90–1.98, signal an expectation of at least three goals and maybe more. Combining our model’s edge on Over 2.5 with Liverpool’s free‑flowing style and Fulham’s need to take risks, a scoreline such as 3–1 or 2–1 to the hosts looks very plausible, making Over 2.5 a consistent choice with the home win and BTTS angles.
Our picks
Accumulator odds
#ad
*Odds available at time of writing.










