The model gives Lille a 52.0% probability of winning, making Home the leading 1X2 outcome. Lille sit second with 13 points from six matches, while Brest are seventh with eight. Lille have also lost only once in six league games. Recent meetings have been tight, including a 1-1 draw in February, but home advantage and the stronger defensive record support Lille. The available Home odds range from 1.60 to 1.72, with 1.66 selected.

The model gives Both Teams To Score — Yes a 51.0% probability. Brest have scored 12 goals in six league matches, while Lille have conceded in their latest head-to-head draw and three of the last five meetings produced goals for both sides. Brest’s recent results include a 5-1 win and a 2-2 draw, suggesting attacking confidence but some defensive risk. The listed Yes price is 1.70.

The model gives Under 2.5 a 50.5% probability, narrowly ahead of Over 2.5 at 49.5%. Lille have conceded only four goals in six matches, and their recent home advantage should encourage a controlled approach. The last meeting ended 1-1, while the latest five head-to-head fixtures produced three draws. Brest’s possible absence of Versini could also reduce their attacking depth. The listed Under 2.5 odds are 2.15.