At a glance
The statistical model gives LOSC Lille a 55% probability to beat Le Havre, with the draw at 25% and a Le Havre win at 20%.
The model estimates a 52% probability of fewer than 2.5 goals in LOSC Lille vs Le Havre.
The model puts the probability that both LOSC Lille and Le Havre score at 48%.
LOSC Lille vs Le Havre kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:15.
Lille vs Le Havre Prediction: Ligue 1 Match Preview
Welcome to Extratips for the Lille vs Le Havre prediction. The match starts on 10 October 2026 at 15:15 at Stade Pierre-Mauroy.
Lille enter as clear favorites. Available standings information places Lille near the top, while Le Havre are battling near the bottom. Lille’s recent league run includes wins over Nice and Toulouse, plus a draw with PSG. Le Havre have struggled to win their recent Ligue 1 games and have not won away in the latest form data.
The last five listed meetings were: Lille 1-1 Le Havre, Le Havre 0-1 Lille, Lille 1-2 Le Havre, Le Havre 0-3 Lille, and Lille 3-0 Le Havre. Lille lead the broader head-to-head record, with five wins from seven meetings. The pattern also points to tight games, as both teams scored in only some of those fixtures.
The key odds are Lille 1.43, Draw 4.55, and Le Havre 6.20. They suggest strong home control, limited belief in an away win, and a smaller draw chance. Lille’s main strengths are home pressure, stronger attacking quality, and better recent results. Le Havre’s best route is a compact block and quick counterattacks, but their away form remains a concern.
Possible storylines include Lille chasing a serious title push, Le Havre fighting for survival, and another low-margin meeting between familiar opponents. A Lille win is highly likely; a Lille clean sheet is medium likelihood; and a match with two or fewer goals is also medium likelihood. The model favors Home at 57.4%, BTTS No at 52.4%, and Under 2.5 at 52.4%.
LOSC Lille vs Le Havre Predictions & Analysis
Our prediction model gives LOSC Lille a 55% win probability, Le Havre 20%, and the draw 25%.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
BTTS leans toward 'No' at 52%, suggesting a clean sheet is likely on at least one side.
Goals Prediction
Goal expectations lean toward Under 2.5 at 52%, indicating a lower-scoring affair is expected.
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly. How our predictions work
Who do you think will win?
Total votes: 90
TV Channels
LOSC Lille vs Le Havre: frequently asked questions
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly.
Our picks
Lille to win
The model gives Lille a 57.4% probability of winning. Lille are listed near the top of Ligue 1, while Le Havre sit much lower and have struggled away from home. Lille have also won three of the last five listed meetings, including a 1-0 away victory in November 2025. The available home price is 1.43, reflecting strong market support.
Both teams to score: No
The model gives Both Teams To Score — No a 52.4% probability. Lille’s defensive edge, Le Havre’s poor away record, and several low-scoring recent meetings support a match where one side may fail to score. The listed odds are 1.90, while the Home/No combination is also priced at 2.37.
Under 2.5 goals
The model gives Under 2.5 goals a 52.4% probability. Lille are favored to control the match, while Le Havre’s away struggles point toward a cautious approach. Recent head-to-head results include 1-0, 1-1, and 0-3, with Lille often keeping Le Havre quiet. The available Under 2.5 odds are 2.23.
Our picks
Accumulator odds
#ad
*Odds available at time of writing.









