When and where is Nacional vs Alverca played?

Nacional vs Alverca kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 14:30 at Estádio da Madeira in Funchal.

What is the head-to-head record between Nacional and Alverca?

Nacional and Alverca have met 2 times in recent seasons: Nacional won 1 of those matches, Alverca won 1 of those matches and 0 of them ended in a draw.

Nacional vs Alverca: Result, H2H, Stats & Highlights

At a glance

The statistical model gives Nacional a 46% probability to beat Alverca, with the draw at 26% and a Alverca win at 28%.

The model estimates a 55% probability of more than 2.5 goals in Nacional vs Alverca.

The model puts the probability that both Nacional and Alverca score at 58%.

Nacional vs Alverca kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 14:30.

Welcome to Extratips: Nacional vs Alverca Preview

Nacional host Alverca at Estádio da Madeira on 12 September 2026, and the model expects a tight but open game. The home side gets a small edge in the 1X2 market, but BTTS and Over 2.5 both look live, which points to chances at both ends.

The top prices show a clear balance: Home 2.35, Draw 3.10, and Away 2.54. That tells us the market sees little between them. Nacional will want to use home comfort early, while Alverca should not travel just to sit back. The best angle is a match that stays close, then stretches after the first goal.

Both teams arrive with motivation to steal a fast start in Liga Portugal. The key battle is simple: control the middle, then finish the few big chances that come along. If the tempo stays high, this one can easily go over the line and give both attacks room to work.

Nacional vs Alverca Predictions & Analysis

Our prediction model gives Nacional a 46% win probability, Alverca 28%, and the draw 26%.

Both Teams to Score Prediction

BTTS leans toward 'Yes' at 58%, suggesting both teams are expected to score.

Goals Prediction

Goal expectations lean toward Over 2.5 at 55%, indicating a higher-scoring match is expected.

Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly. How our predictions work

Who do you think will win?

Total votes: 70

TV Channels

Nacional vs Alverca: frequently asked questions

Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly.

Our picks

Lost1x22.3500

Nacional to win

The model gives Home a 46.4% probability, the highest in the 1X2 market. Nacional also have the edge of playing at Estádio da Madeira, while the odds are shorter on the home side than the away side. With the match priced close to even, the home advantage and slight model lean point to Nacional.

WonBoth Teams To Score1.8000

Both teams to score: Yes

The model gives Yes a 57.8% probability, so BTTS is the top call. The numbers suggest a game where both sides can find chances, and the tight 1X2 pricing supports a competitive match rather than a one-sided one. That fits a lively contest with goals at both ends.

WonOver/Under1.9700

Over 2.5 goals

The model gives Over 2.5 a 54.6% probability, making it the preferred goal line. The market is also close, which leaves room for a match that opens up after the first goal. A 2-1 or 2-2 type game fits the model and the odds profile well.

Our picks

Accumulator odds

Stake

Total Odds

8.33

Potential Winnings

$366.66

Nacional to win

1x2 / Home

2.3500

Both teams to score: Yes

Both Teams To Score / Yes

1.8000

Over 2.5 goals

Over/Under / Over 2.5

1.9700

Bet on

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*Odds available at time of writing.

Full Time Result

46%

Home

Fair odd 2.16

26%

Draw

Fair odd 3.92

28%

Away

Fair odd 3.55

Over 1.5 Goals

Over 78%

Under 22%

Over 2.5 Goals

Over 55%

Under 45%

Over 3.5 Goals

Over 32%

Under 68%

Both Teams To Score

Yes 58%

No 42%

First Half Winner

30%

Home

48%

Draw

22%

Away

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT

Home

Draw

Away

Home

23%

5%

2%

Draw

16%

20%

12%

Away

3%

5%

14%

Correct Score

Home goals (rows) × Away goals (columns)

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

0

6.7

6.8

4.2

1.7

1

9.1

11.6

7.0

2.7

2

7.2

9.6

5.9

2.4

3

3.9

5.0

3.2

1.2

4

5

6

7

bet365

EU

1

2.80+16.67%

35.71%win

X

3.40+6.25%

29.41%win

2

2.45-14.63%

40.82%win

10Bet

EU

1

2.620.00%

38.17%win

Stopped

X

3.25-1.52%

30.77%win

Stopped

2

2.620.00%

38.17%win

Stopped

1xbet

EU

1

2.89+3.58%

34.6%win

X

3.28-0.91%

30.49%win

2

2.63-2.23%

38.02%win

888Sport

EU

1

2.63+5.20%

38.02%win

X

3.100.00%

32.26%win

2

2.630.00%

38.02%win

Betfair

EU

1

2.70+2.66%

37.04%win

X

3.10-6.06%

32.26%win

2

2.50-3.85%

40%win

Betsson

EU

1

2.750.00%

36.36%win

X

3.200.00%

31.25%win

2

2.450.00%

40.82%win

BetVictor

EU

1

2.70+3.85%

37.04%win

X

3.200.00%

31.25%win

2

2.45-2.00%

40.82%win

bwin

EU

1

2.87+10.38%

34.84%win

X

3.00-9.09%

33.33%win

2

2.45-3.92%

40.82%win

Cashpoint

EU

1

2.86+12.16%

34.97%win

X

3.20-1.54%

31.25%win

2

2.48-5.70%

40.32%win

CloudBet

EU

1

3.15+18.87%

31.75%win

X

2.95-7.81%

33.9%win

2

2.40-5.88%

41.67%win

Coral

EU

1

2.80+6.87%

35.71%win

X

3.300.00%

30.3%win

2

2.50-3.85%

40%win

Dafabet

EU

1

2.650.00%

37.74%win

X

3.35+1.52%

29.85%win

2

2.75+1.85%

36.36%win

Interwetten

EU

1

2.80+7.69%

35.71%win

X

3.30+1.54%

30.3%win

2

2.50-7.41%

40%win

Ladbrokes

EU

1

2.80+6.87%

35.71%win

X

3.25-1.52%

30.77%win

2

2.50-3.85%

40%win

Macauslot

EU

1

2.55+7.59%

39.22%win

X

3.330.00%

30.03%win

2

2.32-6.45%

43.1%win

MansionBet

EU

1

2.90+18.37%

34.48%win

X

3.05-1.61%

32.79%win

2

2.35-7.84%

42.55%win

Marathonbet

EU

1

2.78+4.51%

35.97%win

X

3.15-2.17%

31.75%win

2

2.53-2.32%

39.53%win

MelBet

EU

1

3.12+13.87%

32%win

X

3.12-3.70%

32%win

2

2.42-7.98%

41.32%win

Pinnacle

EU

1

2.89+7.04%

34.6%win

X

3.27+0.31%

30.58%win

2

2.62+0.38%

38.17%win

Sbo

EU

1

2.65+8.16%

37.74%win

X

3.05-0.65%

32.79%win

2

2.47-4.26%

40.49%win

Unibet

EU

1

2.550.00%

39.22%win

X

3.35+1.52%

29.85%win

2

2.700.00%

37.04%win

WilliamHill

EU

1

2.75+10.00%

36.36%win

X

3.00-3.23%

33.33%win

2

2.50-4.58%

40%win

Bookmaker	1	X	2
bet365	2.80 35.71%win	3.40 29.41%win	2.45 40.82%win
10Bet	2.62 38.17%win	3.25 30.77%win	2.62 38.17%win
1xbet	2.89 34.6%win	3.28 30.49%win	2.63 38.02%win
888Sport	2.63 38.02%win	3.10 32.26%win	2.63 38.02%win
Betfair	2.70 37.04%win	3.10 32.26%win	2.50 40%win
Betsson	2.75 36.36%win	3.20 31.25%win	2.45 40.82%win
BetVictor	2.70 37.04%win	3.20 31.25%win	2.45 40.82%win
bwin	2.87 34.84%win	3.00 33.33%win	2.45 40.82%win
Cashpoint	2.86 34.97%win	3.20 31.25%win	2.48 40.32%win
CloudBet	3.15 31.75%win	2.95 33.9%win	2.40 41.67%win
Coral	2.80 35.71%win	3.30 30.3%win	2.50 40%win
Dafabet	2.65 37.74%win	3.35 29.85%win	2.75 36.36%win
Interwetten	2.80 35.71%win	3.30 30.3%win	2.50 40%win
Ladbrokes	2.80 35.71%win	3.25 30.77%win	2.50 40%win
Macauslot	2.55 39.22%win	3.33 30.03%win	2.32 43.1%win
MansionBet	2.90 34.48%win	3.05 32.79%win	2.35 42.55%win
Marathonbet	2.78 35.97%win	3.15 31.75%win	2.53 39.53%win
MelBet	3.12 32%win	3.12 32%win	2.42 41.32%win
Pinnacle	2.89 34.6%win	3.27 30.58%win	2.62 38.17%win
Sbo	2.65 37.74%win	3.05 32.79%win	2.47 40.49%win
Unibet	2.55 39.22%win	3.35 29.85%win	2.70 37.04%win
WilliamHill	2.75 36.36%win	3.00 33.33%win	2.50 40%win

18 Apr 26FT!

Nacional1

Alverca0

07 Dec 25FT!

Alverca1

Nacional0

#	Team	P	W	D	L	DIFF	GLS	Pts	Last 5
1	Porto	7	7	0	0	+15	18:3	21	WWWWW
2	Benfica	7	5	1	1	+15	22:7	16	LWWWW
3	Sporting CP	7	4	3	0	+9	17:8	15	DDWWW
4	Santa Clara	7	4	3	0	+7	11:4	15	DWWDW
5	Arouca	7	3	2	2	+3	10:7	11	DLDWL
6	Sporting Braga	6	3	2	1	+2	7:5	11	DWLWW
7	Academico Viseu	7	3	2	2	0	9:9	11	WWWLD
8	Estrela Amadora	7	2	4	1	0	14:14	10	LDWDW
9	Gil Vicente	6	2	2	2	0	5:5	8	DLLDW
10	Alverca	7	2	2	3	-2	9:11	8	WWLDL
11	Marítimo	7	2	2	3	-4	8:12	8	DLLLD
12	Moreirense	7	2	2	3	-6	8:14	8	DWLLW
13	Famalicão	7	1	4	2	+2	9:7	7	WDDDL
14	Vitória Guimarães	7	1	2	4	-3	5:8	5	DLDLW
15	Nacional	7	1	1	5	-8	7:15	4	LLLLL
16	Rio Ave	7	1	1	5	-10	5:15	4	LDLLW
17	Casa Pia	7	1	1	5	-13	3:16	4	WLDLL
18	Estoril	7	0	2	5	-7	3:10	2	LLDLL