EU
At a glance
The statistical model gives Nacional a 56% probability to beat Atlético Progreso, with the draw at 26% and a Atlético Progreso win at 18%.
The model estimates a 60% probability of fewer than 2.5 goals in Nacional vs Atlético Progreso.
The model puts the probability that both Nacional and Atlético Progreso score at 44%.
Nacional vs Atlético Progreso kicks off on Sunday 02 August 2026 at 21:30.
Nacional vs Atlético Progreso Match Preview
Nacional vs Atlético Progreso live streaming starts on Sunday 02 August 2026 at 21:30 at Estadio Gran Parque Central in Primera Division, Uruguay. Extratips.com provides livescore, H2H information for Nacional vs Atlético Progreso as well as in-depth stats about each team like lineups, standings, predictions and professional betting tips.
Nacional vs Atlético Progreso Predictions & Analysis
Our prediction model gives Nacional a 56% win probability, Atlético Progreso 18%, and the draw 26%.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
BTTS leans toward 'No' at 56%, suggesting a clean sheet is likely on at least one side.
Goals Prediction
Goal expectations lean toward Under 2.5 at 60%, indicating a lower-scoring affair is expected.
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly. How our predictions work
Who do you think will win?
Total votes: 98
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Nacional vs Atlético Progreso: frequently asked questions
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly.
Full Time Result
56%
Home
Fair odd 1.77
26%
Draw
Fair odd 3.90
18%
Away
Fair odd 5.56
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 67%
Under 33%
Over 2.5 Goals
Over 41%
Under 60%
Over 3.5 Goals
Over 21%
Under 79%
Both Teams To Score
Yes 44%
No 56%
First Half Winner
40%
Home
45%
Draw
15%
Away
Half Time / Full Time
HT \ FT
Home
Draw
Away
Home
34%
5%
1%
Draw
21%
17%
7%
Away
3%
4%
9%
Correct Score
Home goals (rows) × Away goals (columns)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
0
9.6
7.6
2.8
1
15.4
11.9
4.3
1.1
2
12.1
9.6
3.7
0.9
3
5.5
4.9
2.1
4
5
6
7
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
No head-to-head matches found
Group 1
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | DIFF | GLS | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +9 | 12:3 | 16 | WWDWL | |
| 2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 7:5 | 11 | LWDDW | |
| 3 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +1 | 4:3 | 10 | WLDDD | |
| 4 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5:5 | 9 | DWLDW | |
| 5 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4:4 | 9 | DLDDW | |
| 6 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 6:10 | 9 | LWWLL | |
| 7 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6:9 | 6 | WLDDD | |
| 8 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 5:10 | 5 | LLDDL |
Group 2
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | DIFF | GLS | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 12:4 | 15 | WWWDW | |
| 2 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8:8 | 13 | WLDWL | |
| 3 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 12:6 | 12 | DLDWW | |
| 4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 11:11 | 12 | LWWLW | |
| 5 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8:11 | 8 | DWLDL | |
| 6 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 6:8 | 6 | DLDWL | |
| 7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 6:11 | 6 | LWLLW | |
| 8 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -4 | 5:9 | 4 | DLDDD |
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