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New Zealand vs Belgium Preview: World Cup 2026 Betting Tips and Match Prediction
Welcome to Extratips. New Zealand meet Belgium on 27 June 2026 at BC Place Stadium in Canada, a neutral World Cup stage with very different expectations on both sides. Belgium come in as the clear favourite, while New Zealand need a sharp, disciplined display to stay alive in the contest.
Belgium’s market edge is clear, with Away at 1.2100, Draw at 5.4000, and Home at 10.0000. The model also leans toward a tighter game than the price on the away win suggests, with No in BTTS and Over 2.5 both in play. That mix points to Belgium control, but not necessarily a wild scoreline.
There is no reliable current table data or recent head-to-head record provided here, so the focus stays on the match odds and the model. The strongest angle is Belgium’s quality gap, plus New Zealand’s likely need to stay compact and hope for moments on the break. A likely script is Belgium on the front foot, New Zealand digging in, and the game opening up if the first goal comes early.
Top betting reads
- Away win is the main call, backed by the model’s 67.0% away probability.
- BTTS: No looks sensible, with the model giving it 52.2%.
- Over 2.5 is also live, as the model prices it at 55.1%.
Potential match storylines
- Belgium take control early and force New Zealand deep.
- New Zealand defend well for a long stretch, but struggle to create enough chances.
- If Belgium score first, the game could open and move toward a comfortable away win.
Match angle
Belgium have the stronger names, the better depth, and the clearer path to three points. New Zealand need a near-perfect defensive effort and set-piece danger to shift the balance.
New Zealand vs Belgium Predictions & Analysis
Our prediction model gives New Zealand a 12% win probability, Belgium 69%, and the draw 19%.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
BTTS leans toward 'No' at 54%, suggesting a clean sheet is likely on at least one side.
Goals Prediction
Goal expectations lean toward Over 2.5 at 54%, indicating a higher-scoring match is expected.
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only — bet responsibly.
Who do you think will win?
Total votes: 70
TV Channels
Our picks
Won1x21.2100
Belgium to win
Our model gives Away a 67.0% probability, which supports Belgium as the clear pick. The odds also show strong market backing at 1.2100, and Belgium’s quality edge should matter on a neutral pitch. New Zealand would likely need a low-block game and rare chances, while Belgium should have the better control and chance volume.
LostBoth Teams To Score1.5300
No
The model gives No a 52.2% probability, so it slightly favours one side failing to score. That fits a match where Belgium can dominate territory and New Zealand may spend long spells defending. The 1.5300 price also points to the same lean, especially if Belgium score first and manage the game well.
WonOver/Under1.6100
Over 2.5 goals
Our model gives Over 2.5 a 55.1% probability, making it the top goal-line call. Belgium’s attacking edge and New Zealand’s likely deep shape can still lead to a game with a few clear chances. If Belgium get an early goal, the match can stretch and push past the line.
Our picks
Accumulator odds
Total Odds
2.98
Potential Winnings
$99.03
Belgium to win
1x2 / Away
No
Both Teams To Score / No
Over 2.5 goals
Over/Under / Over 2.5
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*Odds available at time of writing.
Full Time Result
12%
Home
Fair odd 8.37
19%
Draw
Fair odd 5.17
69%
Away
Fair odd 1.46
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 77%
Under 23%
Over 2.5 Goals
Over 54%
Under 46%
Over 3.5 Goals
Over 33%
Under 67%
Both Teams To Score
Yes 46%
No 54%
Correct Score
Home goals (rows) × Away goals (columns)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
0
6.4
12.3
12.3
8.5
1
4.4
8.8
9.1
6.5
2
1.6
3.2
3.5
2.5
3
0.8
0.9
0.7
4
5
6
7
No head-to-head matches found
Standings are not available yet