EU
At a glance
The statistical model gives Olympique Lyonnais a 53% probability to beat Crystal Palace, with the draw at 22% and a Crystal Palace win at 25%.
The model estimates a 65% probability of more than 2.5 goals in Olympique Lyonnais vs Crystal Palace.
The model puts the probability that both Olympique Lyonnais and Crystal Palace score at 62%.
Olympique Lyonnais vs Crystal Palace kicks off on Thursday 15 October 2026 at 16:45.
Lyon vs Crystal Palace: Europa League Prediction
Welcome to Extratips for a lively Europa League clash at Groupama Stadium. Lyon host Crystal Palace on 15 October 2026 at 16:45, with both clubs starting the league phase with victories. Lyon beat Anderlecht 2-1, while Palace swept aside Lech Poznań 4-0. UEFA lists both teams among the early winners, with Lyon 11th on three points and Palace second on three points after the opening round.
The top prices point to a competitive night: Lyon are 2.0600 to win, Palace are 3.0000, and the draw is 3.1800. Both teams to score is priced at 1.5700, while Over 2.5 goals is 1.6100. Palace won the only previous meeting, a 2-0 friendly in 2023, so there is little reliable competitive history between them.
Key storylines
The standout angle is Palace coach Pierre Sage returning to Lyon, where he previously managed. Lyon's home crowd should demand control, but Palace arrive with confidence and attacking belief. Palace's 4-0 win also gives them the sharper goal difference, while Lyon must turn promising form into European authority.
A likely script sees Lyon press early and Palace threaten on the break. The higher-risk version is an open game with goals at both ends. A tighter alternative is a patient first half before Lyon's home advantage tells. Our model leans toward a 2-1 Lyon win, with both teams scoring and at least three goals. The best-supported selections are Home, Yes, and Over 2.5. These picks fit one possible outcome, but football remains unpredictable.
Olympique Lyonnais vs Crystal Palace Predictions & Analysis
Our prediction model gives Olympique Lyonnais a 53% win probability, Crystal Palace 25%, and the draw 22%.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
BTTS leans toward 'Yes' at 62%, suggesting both teams are expected to score.
Goals Prediction
Goal expectations lean toward Over 2.5 at 65%, indicating a higher-scoring match is expected.
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly. How our predictions work
Who do you think will win?
Total votes: 68
TV Channels
Olympique Lyonnais vs Crystal Palace: frequently asked questions
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly.
Our picks
Won1x22.0600
Lyon to win.
The model gives Home a 53.5% probability. Lyon opened with a 2-1 win at Anderlecht and now have home advantage. Palace also won 4-0 against Lech Poznań, so this should be close, but Lyon's stronger home setting and the 2.06 home price support a narrow victory. The teams have met once, with Palace winning 2-0 in a 2023 friendly, though that result has limited competitive value.
WonBoth Teams To Score1.5700
Both teams to score: Yes.
The model gives Yes a 61.6% probability. Both sides began this Europa League campaign with wins, and Palace scored four against Lech while Lyon found the net twice at Anderlecht. The 1.57 price also points toward an open contest. Lyon's home attack should create chances, while Palace's pace in transition gives them a clear route to a goal.
WonOver/Under1.6100
Over 2.5 goals.
The model gives Over 2.5 a 64.9% probability. Palace's 4-0 opening victory and Lyon's 2-1 success suggest a lively attacking game. The 1.61 odds reflect strong market support, while the projected 2-1 home win also reaches three goals. Both teams have motivation after winning Matchday 1, which may encourage an ambitious approach.
Our picks
Accumulator odds
Total Odds
5.21
Potential Winnings
$210.35
Lyon to win.
1x2 / Home
Both teams to score: Yes.
Both Teams To Score / Yes
Over 2.5 goals.
Over/Under / Over 2.5
#ad
*Odds available at time of writing.
Full Time Result
53%
Home
Fair odd 1.89
22%
Draw
Fair odd 4.59
25%
Away
Fair odd 3.94
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 84%
Under 16%
Over 2.5 Goals
Over 65%
Under 35%
Over 3.5 Goals
Over 43%
Under 57%
Both Teams To Score
Yes 62%
No 38%
First Half Winner
42%
Home
37%
Draw
21%
Away
Half Time / Full Time
HT \ FT
Home
Draw
Away
Home
36%
4%
2%
Draw
18%
12%
7%
Away
3%
5%
13%
Correct Score
Home goals (rows) × Away goals (columns)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
0
3.8
4.7
3.0
1.6
1
7.1
9.4
6.3
2.7
2
6.9
9.4
6.3
2.8
3
5.1
5.9
4.0
1.8
4
5
6
7
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
No head-to-head matches found
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | DIFF | GLS | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 10:2 | 9 | WWW | |
| 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 8:0 | 9 | WWW | |
| 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 8:1 | 9 | WWW | |
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 9:3 | 9 | WWW | |
| 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 4:1 | 9 | WWW | |
| 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 8:1 | 7 | WDW | |
| 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +6 | 9:3 | 7 | DWW | |
| 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 9:5 | 7 | DWW | |
| 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4:2 | 7 | DWW | |
| 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 6:2 | 6 | WWL | |
| 11 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5:4 | 6 | LWW | |
| 12 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 5:6 | 6 | LWW | |
| 13 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1 | 4:3 | 5 | DWD | |
| 14 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 8:3 | 4 | WDL | |
| 15 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 8:5 | 4 | DLW | |
| 16 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 5:3 | 4 | LDW | |
| 17 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 4 | WDL | |
| 18 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 3:4 | 4 | LWD | |
| 19 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1:3 | 4 | WLD | |
| 20 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 5:8 | 4 | WDL | |
| 21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 3:6 | 4 | DLW | |
| 22 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 4:3 | 3 | WLL | |
| 23 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5:5 | 3 | WLL | |
| 24 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 4:5 | 3 | LWL | |
| 25 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3:4 | 3 | WLL | |
| 26 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3:4 | 3 | LLW | |
| 27 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 4:6 | 3 | LWL | |
| 28 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 4:7 | 3 | LLW | |
| 29 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 2:7 | 1 | DLL | |
| 30 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 1:6 | 1 | LLD | |
| 31 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -7 | 2:9 | 1 | LDL | |
| 32 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -8 | 1:9 | 1 | DLL | |
| 33 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 2:7 | 0 | LLL | |
| 34 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 1:6 | 0 | LLL | |
| 35 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -6 | 3:9 | 0 | LLL | |
| 36 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -9 | 2:11 | 0 | LLL |
November 5, 2026
NEC Nijmegen vs Omonia Nicosia
NEC Nijmegen
Omonia Nicosia
17:45
NEC NijmegenOmonia NicosiaAC Milan vs Ferencvárosi
AC Milan
Ferencvárosi
17:45
AC MilanFerencvárosiCrystal Palace vs TSG Hoffenheim
Crystal Palace
TSG Hoffenheim
17:45
Crystal PalaceTSG HoffenheimLillestrøm vs Viktoria Plzeň
Lillestrøm
Viktoria Plzeň
17:45
LillestrømViktoria PlzeňLevski Sofia vs Jagiellonia Białystok
Levski Sofia
Jagiellonia Białystok
17:45
Levski SofiaJagiellonia BiałystokSparta Praha vs AFC Bournemouth
Sparta Praha
AFC Bournemouth
17:45
Sparta PrahaAFC BournemouthRennes vs Olympiacos F.C.
Rennes
Olympiacos F.C.
17:45
RennesOlympiacos F.C.Real Sociedad vs Olympique Lyonnais
Real Sociedad
Olympique Lyonnais
17:45
Real SociedadOlympique LyonnaisAnderlecht vs Salzburg
Anderlecht
Salzburg
17:45
AnderlechtSalzburgAZ Alkmaar vs Juventus
AZ Alkmaar
Juventus
20:00
AZ AlkmaarJuventus