Marseille to win
Marseille top the odds at 1.48 with 67% probability. Strong home form (4 wins in 5), H2H edge, and Nice's away struggles make this a safe pick. Fits with BTTS and Over trends.
Welcome to Extratips, your go-to spot for sharp football predictions! We're diving into this hot Ligue 1 showdown: Olympique Marseille host Nice on April 26, 2026, at 18:45. Marseille, sitting pretty in 2nd place with 58 points, chase the title. Nice linger in 8th with 42 points, eyeing a European push.
Head-to-Head Fireworks: Last 5 meetings? Marseille won 2-1, drew 1-1, Nice edged 1-0, Marseille smashed 3-0, then 2-2. Goals galore—average 2.6 per game. Marseille unbeaten at home vs Nice in 4.
Form Check: Marseille's last 5 home games: 4 wins, 1 draw (W-W-D-W-W). Nice's last 5 away: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss (W-D-L-W-D). OM score 2.2 goals/home; Nice leak 1.4 away.
Team Strengths & Weaknesses:
Key Factors: Marseille's Clauss back from suspension. Nice miss Moffi (hamstring). Velodrome crowd roars—OM win 80% home games.
Top Odds: Home win 1.48 (67% chance), Draw 4.60, Away 5.40. BTTS Yes 1.57, Over 3.25 1.92.
Storylines: 1) Marseille's title charge—win seals top spot? 2) Derby revenge—Nice seek upset like last year. 3) Goal fest? 4/5 H2H over 2.5.
Scenarios: High—Marseille 2-1 (solid win). Medium—2-2 draw (Nice counter). Low—Nice shock 0-1.
Team Compare: Marseille dominate possession (58%), score more. Nice tough, but fade away. OM edge it.
Total votes: 51
Marseille top the odds at 1.48 with 67% probability. Strong home form (4 wins in 5), H2H edge, and Nice's away struggles make this a safe pick. Fits with BTTS and Over trends.
BTTS Yes at 1.57 (63% implied). 4/5 H2H had goals both ways. Nice score in 70% away games; Marseille concede at home. Pairs with Marseille win for 2-1 scoreline.
Over 3.25 at 1.92 (52% chance). Recent games average 3+ goals. Marseille's attack + Nice counters = high-scoring affair. Consistent with win + BTTS for 3+ total.
Our picks
*Odds available at time of writing.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | DIFF | GLS | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | +45 | 74:29 | 76 | LWWDW | |
| 2 | 34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | +31 | 66:35 | 70 | WLWDD | |
| 3 | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | +15 | 52:37 | 61 | LWDWD | |
| 4 | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | +13 | 53:40 | 60 | LLWWW | |
| 5 | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | +18 | 63:45 | 59 | WWLDL | |
| 6 | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | +9 | 59:50 | 59 | LWLWW | |
| 7 | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | +6 | 60:54 | 54 | LLWDD | |
| 8 | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | +11 | 58:47 | 53 | WWDLW | |
| 9 | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | -3 | 48:51 | 45 | LWDLW | |
| 10 | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | +1 | 47:46 | 44 | WWDLL | |
| 11 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | -3 | 47:50 | 44 | WLWLW | |
| 12 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | -12 | 43:55 | 39 | DLLLD | |
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | -19 | 29:48 | 36 | DDLLD | |
| 14 | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | -12 | 32:44 | 35 | WLDDD | |
| 15 | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | -10 | 34:44 | 34 | WWWLD | |
| 16 | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -23 | 37:60 | 32 | DLDDD | |
| 17 | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | -23 | 29:52 | 23 | LWLLD | |
| 18 | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | -44 | 32:76 | 17 | DLLDL |