At a glance
The statistical model gives Osasuna a 49% probability to beat Racing Santander, with the draw at 24% and a Racing Santander win at 27%.
The model estimates a 55% probability of more than 2.5 goals in Osasuna vs Racing Santander.
The model puts the probability that both Osasuna and Racing Santander score at 57%.
Osasuna vs Racing Santander kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 12:00.
Osasuna vs Racing Santander: La Liga Prediction and Betting Preview
Welcome to Extratips for the clash at El Sadar on 18 October 2026. Kick-off is at 12:00 in Pamplona, with both sides seeking breathing room near the bottom half.
Osasuna sit 13th with eight points, while Racing are 16th with seven. The hosts are priced at 1.9300 to win, compared with 3.7000 for the draw and 3.3500 for Racing. The goals market also leans open: Over 2.5 is 1.6500, while Both Teams To Score — Yes is 1.6600.
Recent figures explain that view. Racing have scored 13 but conceded 23 in eight league games. Osasuna have scored eight and allowed 18. Their latest meeting ended 2-0 to Osasuna in July, although the wider rivalry has been mixed, with Racing holding the historical edge. The last five listed meetings are Racing 0-1 Osasuna, Osasuna 2-0 Racing, Racing 2-0 Osasuna, Osasuna 0-2 Racing, and Racing 2-4 Osasuna.
Osasuna bring the stronger home platform, but injuries to Barja, Del Castillo, Moro and Oroz could reduce their creativity. Racing have fewer confirmed absences and may attack the spaces behind the hosts’ full-backs. That creates an intriguing battle: Osasuna’s home pressure against Racing’s counter-attacking threat.
The likeliest script is a tight first half before the game opens. Osasuna should edge it, but Racing can score. A 2-1 home win is the standout conclusion.
Osasuna vs Racing Santander Predictions & Analysis
Our prediction model gives Osasuna a 49% win probability, Racing Santander 27%, and the draw 24%.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
BTTS leans toward 'Yes' at 57%, suggesting both teams are expected to score.
Goals Prediction
Goal expectations lean toward Over 2.5 at 55%, indicating a higher-scoring match is expected.
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly. How our predictions work
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Osasuna vs Racing Santander: frequently asked questions
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly.
Our picks
Osasuna to win.
The model gives Home a 49.5% probability, while the best listed price is 1.9300. Osasuna have home advantage and recently beat Racing Santander 2-0 in July. The standings are close, with Osasuna 13th on 8 points and Racing 16th on 7, so this is a key opportunity for the hosts to pull clear. Osasuna’s stronger home setting and Racing’s defensive record support a narrow home win, despite several Osasuna injuries.
Both teams to score: Yes.
The model gives Yes a 56.1% probability, supported by the listed 1.6600 odds. Racing have scored 13 goals but conceded 23 in eight matches, while Osasuna have allowed 18. Their recent head-to-head meetings have included open games, and both teams need points near the bottom half. Osasuna can win, but Racing’s attacking threat makes a clean sheet less likely.
Over 2.5 total goals.
The model gives Over 2.5 a 55.5% probability, with the listed 1.6500 price implying strong market support. Racing’s 13:23 goal record points to lively matches, while Osasuna’s 8:18 record also shows defensive vulnerability. A 2-1 Osasuna win fits the home-edge, both-teams-to-score outlook and sends the game beyond 2.5 goals.
Our picks
Accumulator odds
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*Odds available at time of writing.








