At a glance
The statistical model gives Parma a 36% probability to beat Udinese, with the draw at 29% and a Udinese win at 35%.
The model estimates a 57% probability of fewer than 2.5 goals in Parma vs Udinese.
The model puts the probability that both Parma and Udinese score at 50%.
Parma vs Udinese kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 17:30.
Parma vs Udinese Prediction: Serie A Preview and Betting Tips
Welcome to Extratips for the Parma vs Udinese match preview. The game starts on 28 October 2026 at 17:30 at Stadio Ennio Tardini in Parma.
Form and Match Picture
The early table shows Udinese 16th and Parma 19th, with both teams on four points after seven matches. Udinese have one win, one draw and five defeats, while Parma have the same record. Recent results underline the struggle: Parma lost 0-3 to Torino, and Udinese fell 0-3 to Lecce. Parma have scored only four league goals, compared with Udinese's nine, but both defences have looked vulnerable.
The top three prices are Udinese at 2.4000, the draw at 3.2000, and Parma at 3.0000. They suggest a very even game, with a slight market lean toward the visitors. Still, our model gives Parma the highest win probability at 36.4%.
Publicly available results show a cautious head-to-head picture, including Parma's 1-0 win at Udinese. The last five direct results and detailed home-away splits were not fully available, so no unverified list is added. Injuries, suspensions and tactical changes also remain unconfirmed.
Key Angles
- Parma's home advantage may matter in a relegation-pressure battle.
- Udinese create more scoring threat, but their defence has conceded 16 goals.
- Both sides have strong reasons to avoid an open start.
A low-tempo first half looks likely. Parma could edge it through set pieces or a late counter. The most likely scenarios are a narrow Parma win, rated medium, or a low-scoring draw, also rated medium. A high-scoring game looks less likely.
Final Verdict
Parma have the model's narrow edge, but this should be a tense, scrappy contest. Under 2.5 goals is the clearest statistical angle, with Parma's home support tipping the result toward a 1-0 victory.
Parma vs Udinese Predictions & Analysis
Our prediction model gives Parma a 36% win probability, Udinese 35%, and the draw 29%.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
BTTS leans toward 'No' at 50%, suggesting a clean sheet is likely on at least one side.
Goals Prediction
Goal expectations lean toward Under 2.5 at 57%, indicating a lower-scoring affair is expected.
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly. How our predictions work
Who do you think will win?
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Parma vs Udinese: frequently asked questions
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly.
Our picks
Parma to win
The model gives Home a 36.4% probability, narrowly ahead of Away at 34.6% and Draw at 28.9%. Parma are listed 19th with four points, while Udinese are 16th with four points, so both sides need a result. Parma's home setting and the market price of 3.0000 support a tight home edge, though recent form remains a concern.
Both teams to score: No
The model gives No a 50.5% probability, just above Yes at 49.5%. Parma have scored only four goals in seven league matches, while Udinese have conceded 16. The recent numbers point to a cautious contest, and the available No odds are 1.9000. A 1-0 Parma win fits this selection.
Under 2.5 goals
The model gives Under 2.5 a 57.0% probability, compared with 43.0% for Over 2.5. Parma's seven matches have produced four goals for and 13 against, while Udinese have scored nine and conceded 16. The market offers 1.9500, and the low-scoring pattern supports a narrow result such as 1-0 or 1-1.
Our picks
Accumulator odds
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*Odds available at time of writing.








