EU
At a glance
The statistical model gives RB Leipzig a 43% probability to beat PSV, with the draw at 22% and a PSV win at 35%.
The model estimates a 71% probability of more than 2.5 goals in RB Leipzig vs PSV.
The model puts the probability that both RB Leipzig and PSV score at 69%.
RB Leipzig vs PSV kicks off on Tuesday 13 October 2026 at 19:00.
RB Leipzig vs PSV Prediction: Champions League Preview
Welcome to Extratips for a lively Champions League night at the Red Bull Arena. RB Leipzig host PSV on 13 October 2026, with both teams needing a strong league-phase result. Leipzig began with a 4-1 defeat and sit 32nd on zero points, while PSV drew 1-1 and hold 20th place with one point.
The market favours Leipzig at 1.9500, ahead of PSV at 3.2000 and the draw at 4.0000. Goal markets also point to action: both teams to score is priced at 1.3600, while Over 2.5 stands at 1.4000.
Leipzig’s domestic form is mixed, with two wins and two losses from four matches. Their attacking output is promising, but the back line remains vulnerable. PSV bring European experience after winning a third straight Dutch title, yet injuries to Jerdy Schouten and Ricardo Pepi could weaken their spine. Leipzig also have concerns, including Christoph Baumgartner and Marc Guiu.
The last five meetings are not available in the supplied records, so no reliable head-to-head pattern should be claimed. Still, the likely script is clear: Leipzig press high, PSV look for quick breaks, and both sides should find openings. A home win with goals at both ends is the preferred conclusion.
RB Leipzig vs PSV Predictions & Analysis
Our prediction model gives RB Leipzig a 43% win probability, PSV 35%, and the draw 22%.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
BTTS leans toward 'Yes' at 69%, suggesting both teams are expected to score.
Goals Prediction
Goal expectations lean toward Over 2.5 at 71%, indicating a higher-scoring match is expected.
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly. How our predictions work
Who do you think will win?
Total votes: 69
TV Channels
Latest News For RB Leipzig vs PSV
Leipzig vs. PSV Eindhoven begins at 20:00 [GMT+1] on Tuesday, October 13, at the Red Bull Arena.
RB Leipzig vs PSV: frequently asked questions
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly.
Our picks
Won1x21.9500
RB Leipzig to win.
The model gives Home a 44.3% probability, the highest 1X2 outcome. Leipzig have home advantage and stronger attacking numbers, while PSV arrive with key concerns around their midfield and striker depth. The 1.9500 price also makes Leipzig the clear market favourite. A 3-1 home win is a reasonable match script, though PSV should create chances.
LostBoth Teams To Score1.3600
Both teams to score: Yes.
The model gives Yes a 68.8% probability. Leipzig’s recent European defeat included four goals conceded, while PSV drew 1-1 in their opening Champions League match. The available 1.3600 odds reflect strong support for goals at both ends, especially with Leipzig expected to attack and PSV still carrying threat in transition.
LostOver/Under1.4000
Over 2.5 goals.
The model gives Over 2.5 a 70.6% probability. Leipzig’s recent league record shows nine goals scored and five conceded across four matches, while both clubs have defensive absences and tactical questions. The 1.4000 odds support an open game, with 3-1 or 2-1 among the most logical scorelines.
Our picks
Accumulator odds
Total Odds
3.71
Potential Winnings
$135.64
RB Leipzig to win.
1x2 / Home
Both teams to score: Yes.
Both Teams To Score / Yes
Over 2.5 goals.
Over/Under / Over 2.5
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*Odds available at time of writing.
1
Value Pick
@ 1.97 Fair odd 1.90 · cloudbet
Value pick - the model rates this outcome more likely than the bookmaker.
Stake
1.06
Full Time Result
43%
Home
Fair odd 2.35
22%
Draw
Fair odd 4.55
35%
Away
Fair odd 2.83
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 88%
Under 12%
Over 2.5 Goals
Over 71%
Under 29%
Over 3.5 Goals
Over 49%
Under 51%
Both Teams To Score
Yes 69%
No 31%
First Half Winner
33%
Home
32%
Draw
35%
Away
Half Time / Full Time
HT \ FT
Home
Draw
Away
Home
25%
6%
3%
Draw
15%
9%
9%
Away
3%
5%
24%
Correct Score
Home goals (rows) × Away goals (columns)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
0
2.9
4.4
3.8
2.7
1
4.7
8.6
7.5
3.7
2
4.3
8.3
7.4
4.4
3
3.9
4.6
4.2
2.5
4
5
6
7
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
No head-to-head matches found
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | DIFF | GLS | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +9 | 14:5 | 9 | WWW | |
| 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +9 | 12:3 | 9 | WWW | |
| 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 12:7 | 9 | WWW | |
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 10:5 | 9 | WWW | |
| 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 7:4 | 9 | WWW | |
| 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 7:2 | 7 | DWW | |
| 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 6:2 | 7 | DWW | |
| 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 11:6 | 6 | LWW | |
| 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 10:5 | 6 | WLW | |
| 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 9:5 | 6 | WLW | |
| 11 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 9:6 | 6 | WWL | |
| 12 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 7:4 | 6 | LWW | |
| 13 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5:4 | 6 | WLW | |
| 14 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +5 | 10:5 | 5 | DDW | |
| 15 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 8:5 | 4 | WLD | |
| 16 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4:3 | 4 | DWL | |
| 17 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4:3 | 4 | LWD | |
| 18 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 4 | WLD | |
| 19 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8:8 | 3 | LWL | |
| 20 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 5:6 | 3 | WLL | |
| 21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 5:6 | 3 | LLW | |
| 22 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 5:7 | 3 | WLL | |
| 23 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 6:9 | 3 | WLL | |
| 24 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 6:9 | 3 | WLL | |
| 25 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3:6 | 3 | LWL | |
| 26 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 4:8 | 3 | LWL | |
| 27 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 3:7 | 3 | LLW | |
| 28 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 4:9 | 3 | LWL | |
| 29 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3:8 | 3 | LLW | |
| 30 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3:8 | 3 | LWL | |
| 31 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -6 | 3:9 | 2 | DLD | |
| 32 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 4:7 | 1 | DLL | |
| 33 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 5:9 | 1 | LDL | |
| 34 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 2:6 | 0 | LLL | |
| 35 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -6 | 4:10 | 0 | LLL | |
| 36 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -12 | 1:13 | 0 | LLL |
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Leipzig vs. PSV Eindhoven begins at 20:00 [GMT+1] on Tuesday, October 13, at the Red Bull Arena.