RB Leipzig to win
Leipzig's superior form, 4th place, and H2H dominance (unbeaten in 4) make them favorites at 2.00 odds (50% probability). Freiburg's home record is decent but yields to top sides.
Welcome to Extratips, your go-to spot for top football predictions! Today, we dive into SC Freiburg vs RB Leipzig, a key Bundesliga 2025/2026 matchup on May 16 at 13:30. Freiburg hosts at the Europa-Park Stadion, where both teams fight for European spots.
Odds Snapshot
RB Leipzig leads as favorites at 2.00 (50% chance). Freiburg sits at 3.10 (32%), draw at 3.90. Both teams to score 'Yes' is 1.50 (67% likely). Over 3.5 goals at 2.29, under at 1.64. Leipzig's edge shows in odds.
Standings & Motivation
Freiburg: 7th, 48 points. Pushing for Europe. Leipzig: 4th, 58 points. Eyeing top-four finish.
Head-to-Head (Last 5)
Leipzig 3-1 Freiburg (2025), Draw 1-1, Freiburg 2-1 Leipzig, Leipzig 4-0 Freiburg, Freiburg 0-2 Leipzig. Leipzig unbeaten in 4, often high-scoring.
Recent Form
Freiburg home (L5): W-D-L-W-D (2W, 2D, 1L). Leipzig away (L5): W-W-D-W-L (3W, 1D, 1L).
Freiburg Strengths: Solid home defense, quick counters. Weaknesses: Struggle vs top attacks. Example: Clean sheet vs Bayern.
Leipzig Strengths: Deadly attack, fast breaks. Weaknesses: Defensive slips. Example: 3-2 win over Dortmund.
Key Factors: No major injuries reported. Freiburg's new 4-3-3 tactic boosts midfield. Leipzig misses key midfielder (suspended).
Storylines: 1. Freiburg's home magic vs Leipzig's road warriors—can underdogs upset? 2. Goal fest brewing from H2H trends. 3. Battle for Europe adds fire.
Team Compare: Freiburg grinds at home; Leipzig explodes with pace. Both score freely, but Leipzig sharper finishers.
Scenarios: High—Leipzig wins 2-1 (60%). Medium—Draw 2-2 (25%). Low—Freiburg shocks 1-0 (15%).
Total votes: 45
Leipzig's superior form, 4th place, and H2H dominance (unbeaten in 4) make them favorites at 2.00 odds (50% probability). Freiburg's home record is decent but yields to top sides.
Last 5 H2H saw BTTS in 3/5. Both teams score in 70% recent games. Strong odds at 1.50 reflect 67% chance, fitting attacking styles.
H2H averages 3+ goals. Leipzig's away games hit over 3.5 in 60% L5. Freiburg leaky at back. Value at 2.29 despite 44% implied prob, aligns with BTTS and Leipzig win.
Our picks
*Odds available at time of writing.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | DIFF | GLS | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | +86 | 122:36 | 89 | WWDWW | |
| 2 | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | +36 | 70:34 | 73 | WWLWL | |
| 3 | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | +19 | 66:47 | 65 | LWLWW | |
| 4 | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | +22 | 71:49 | 62 | DWDDL | |
| 5 | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | +13 | 65:52 | 61 | LWDWW | |
| 6 | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | +21 | 68:47 | 59 | DLWWL | |
| 7 | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | -6 | 51:57 | 47 | WLDLW | |
| 8 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | -4 | 61:65 | 44 | DLLDL | |
| 9 | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | -16 | 45:61 | 43 | LWWDW | |
| 10 | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | -9 | 44:53 | 40 | WLWLD | |
| 11 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | -14 | 44:58 | 39 | WWDLL | |
| 12 | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | -11 | 42:53 | 38 | WLWDD | |
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | -14 | 40:54 | 38 | DWWLL | |
| 14 | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -14 | 49:63 | 32 | LLDLD | |
| 15 | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | -23 | 37:60 | 32 | LLLDW | |
| 16 | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | -24 | 45:69 | 29 | WLDDW | |
| 17 | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | -31 | 41:72 | 26 | LWDWL | |
| 18 | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | -31 | 29:60 | 26 | LLLLD |