Ajax to win
Ajax favored at 2.00 odds (50% implied probability) due to dominant H2H record and stronger away form. Heerenveen struggles against top teams.
Welcome to Extratips, your go-to spot for top football predictions! We're diving into the exciting Eredivisie matchup between SC Heerenveen and Ajax on May 17, 2026, at 12:30 at Abe Lenstra Stadion.
Ajax enter as favorites with 2.00 odds for an away win, reflecting their strong form. Heerenveen sits at 3.10, while a draw pays 4.00. Bookies see Ajax winning 50% of the time. Both teams to score 'Yes' is at 1.40 (71% chance), and Under 3.5 goals at 1.86 edges out.
In standings, Ajax chase the title in 2nd with 68 points. Heerenveen hold 7th on 45 points, pushing for Europe. Motivation is high for Ajax; Heerenveen wants a strong finish.
Head-to-head (last 5): Ajax 3-1 Heerenveen, Heerenveen 1-1 Ajax, Ajax 2-0 Heerenveen, Heerenveen 0-2 Ajax, Ajax 4-0 Heerenveen. Ajax unbeaten, dominating lately.
Heerenveen last 5 home: W-D-L-W-D (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss). Ajax last 5 away: W-W-D-W-L (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss).
Heerenveen strengths: Solid home defense, quick counters. Weaknesses: Weak vs top attacks, injuries to key mids. Ajax strengths: Deadly attack, possession play. Weaknesses: Occasional away slips, suspension risks.
Key factors: Ajax miss a star forward (doubtful), Heerenveen full squad. Weather fine, crowd boosts home side.
Unique angles: 1. Ajax's revenge after last draw—fuels fire. 2. Heerenveen's home magic vs giants. 3. Title race pressure on Ajax.
Heerenveen grinds at home but Ajax's class shines. Similarities: Both score freely. Differences: Ajax's experience trumps.
Scenarios: 1. Ajax win 2-1 (high likelihood). 2. Draw 1-1 (medium). 3. Heerenveen upset 1-0 (low).
Expect goals, Ajax edge. Bet smart! #Eredivisie #HeerenveenAjax
Total votes: 103
Ajax favored at 2.00 odds (50% implied probability) due to dominant H2H record and stronger away form. Heerenveen struggles against top teams.
BTTS Yes at 1.40 offers value (71% probability). Both sides score in recent games; Ajax attacks strong, Heerenveen counters well at home.
Under 3.5 at 1.86 (53.5% chance) fits tight H2H patterns and recent forms. Matches often low-scoring despite BTTS, aligning with Ajax control.
Our picks
*Odds available at time of writing.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | DIFF | GLS | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | +56 | 101:45 | 84 | WWDWW | |
| 2 | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | +26 | 70:44 | 65 | WDWWD | |
| 3 | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | +24 | 77:53 | 59 | WLDDD | |
| 4 | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | +19 | 59:40 | 58 | LWDDW | |
| 5 | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | +21 | 62:41 | 56 | DLDWW | |
| 6 | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | +13 | 55:42 | 53 | WWWLW | |
| 7 | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | +7 | 58:51 | 52 | DDDDW | |
| 8 | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | +4 | 57:53 | 51 | DLWWL | |
| 9 | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | +4 | 49:45 | 48 | WWLLD | |
| 10 | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | -22 | 40:62 | 43 | LLDLL | |
| 11 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | -14 | 49:63 | 39 | LWLLD | |
| 12 | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | +1 | 54:53 | 38 | LLDDD | |
| 13 | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | -13 | 43:56 | 38 | WDWWD | |
| 14 | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | -6 | 49:55 | 37 | WWDWL | |
| 15 | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | -27 | 44:71 | 37 | LLWLD | |
| 16 | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | -20 | 35:55 | 32 | LDLWL | |
| 17 | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | -23 | 35:58 | 29 | DWLLD | |
| 18 | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | -50 | 35:85 | 19 | LLLLL |