EU
At a glance
The statistical model gives Sporting CP a 46% probability to win away against Shakhtar Donetsk, with the draw at 26% and a Shakhtar Donetsk win at 28%.
The model estimates a 50% probability of more than 2.5 goals in Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP.
The model puts the probability that both Shakhtar Donetsk and Sporting CP score at 52%.
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP kicks off on Tuesday 03 November 2026 at 17:45.
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP: Champions League Prediction
Welcome to Extratips for a neutral-venue European night at Stamford Bridge. Shakhtar Donetsk face Sporting CP on 3 November 2026, with kickoff listed at 17:45. The official match listings place this as league-phase Matchday 4 in London.
Shakhtar sit 11th with four points after three games, following a 1-1 draw with PSV, a 3-1 win over AEK Athens, and a 0-1 loss at Inter. Sporting also have six points from three matches: wins over Galatasaray and Lens came before a thrilling 2-3 defeat against LASK. That recent pattern makes both teams capable of scoring, yet neither looks fully secure at the back.
Sporting are the market favourites at 1.9100, while the draw is 3.7000 and Shakhtar are 3.7500. Both teams to score is priced at 1.6100, but the model gives Yes only 50.6%. Under 2.5 goals has a narrow model edge at 51.4%, so a cagey first half could shape the night.
There are no verified injury or suspension updates in the available information. No confirmed recent head-to-head results are listed, so historic meetings should not drive the call. The key angle is Sporting's away momentum against Shakhtar's disciplined European response. Expect a tactical battle, with Sporting's pace in transition testing Shakhtar and the Ukrainian side relying on quick breaks. Sporting have the stronger win case, but a close score remains the likeliest conclusion.
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP Predictions & Analysis
Our prediction model gives Shakhtar Donetsk a 28% win probability, Sporting CP 46%, and the draw 26%.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
BTTS leans toward 'Yes' at 52%, suggesting both teams are expected to score.
Goals Prediction
Goal expectations lean toward Over 2.5 at 50%, indicating a higher-scoring match is expected.
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly. How our predictions work
Who do you think will win?
Total votes: 92
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Latest News For Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP
FC Shakhtar Donetsk vs. Sporting CP begins at 18:45 [GMT+1] on Tuesday, November 3, at Stamford Bridge.
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP: frequently asked questions
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly.
Our picks
1x21.9100
Sporting CP to win.
The model gives Sporting CP a 42.4% probability of winning, the highest 1X2 outcome. Sporting have won two of their first three league-phase matches, including a 2-0 away victory at Lens, while Shakhtar have one win, one draw, and one loss. The 1.9100 away price also reflects Sporting's stronger recent European results. With both sides close in the table, Sporting's sharper attack gives them the edge.
Both Teams To Score1.6100
Both teams to score: Yes.
The model gives Both Teams To Score — Yes a 50.6% probability. Shakhtar have scored in two of their three Champions League matches, while Sporting have scored in all three, including a 2-3 home defeat by LASK. The 1.6100 Yes price points to goals at both ends, although the near-even model split suggests limited margin. A 1-2 Sporting win fits the main match script.
Over/Under2.1500
Under 2.5 total goals.
The model gives Under 2.5 a 51.4% probability, making it the preferred total-goals outcome. Shakhtar's recent Champions League scores were 1-1, 3-1, and 0-1, while Sporting's were 3-1, 2-0, and 2-3. Their combined form suggests a tight contest more often than a high-scoring game, with 1-1 or 1-2 the likeliest scorelines. The listed Under 2.5 odds are 2.1500.
Our picks
Accumulator odds
Total Odds
6.61
Potential Winnings
$280.57
Sporting CP to win.
1x2 / Away
Both teams to score: Yes.
Both Teams To Score / Yes
Under 2.5 total goals.
Over/Under / Under 2.5
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*Odds available at time of writing.
Full Time Result
28%
Home
Fair odd 3.59
26%
Draw
Fair odd 3.81
46%
Away
Fair odd 2.18
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 75%
Under 25%
Over 2.5 Goals
Over 50%
Under 50%
Over 3.5 Goals
Over 28%
Under 72%
Both Teams To Score
Yes 52%
No 48%
First Half Winner
25%
Home
44%
Draw
31%
Away
Half Time / Full Time
HT \ FT
Home
Draw
Away
Home
17%
5%
3%
Draw
14%
16%
13%
Away
2%
5%
25%
Correct Score
Home goals (rows) × Away goals (columns)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
0
7.3
10.2
7.8
4.4
1
8.0
12.5
9.0
4.3
2
4.3
6.7
5.1
2.7
3
2.0
2.3
1.8
1.2
4
5
6
7
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
No head-to-head matches found
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | DIFF | GLS | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +9 | 14:5 | 9 | WWW | |
| 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +9 | 12:3 | 9 | WWW | |
| 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 12:7 | 9 | WWW | |
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 10:5 | 9 | WWW | |
| 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 7:4 | 9 | WWW | |
| 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 7:2 | 7 | DWW | |
| 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 6:2 | 7 | DWW | |
| 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 11:6 | 6 | LWW | |
| 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 10:5 | 6 | WLW | |
| 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 9:5 | 6 | WLW | |
| 11 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 9:6 | 6 | WWL | |
| 12 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 7:4 | 6 | LWW | |
| 13 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5:4 | 6 | WLW | |
| 14 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +5 | 10:5 | 5 | DDW | |
| 15 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 8:5 | 4 | WLD | |
| 16 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4:3 | 4 | DWL | |
| 17 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4:3 | 4 | LWD | |
| 18 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 4 | WLD | |
| 19 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8:8 | 3 | LWL | |
| 20 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 5:6 | 3 | WLL | |
| 21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 5:6 | 3 | LLW | |
| 22 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 5:7 | 3 | WLL | |
| 23 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 6:9 | 3 | WLL | |
| 24 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 6:9 | 3 | WLL | |
| 25 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3:6 | 3 | LWL | |
| 26 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 4:8 | 3 | LWL | |
| 27 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 3:7 | 3 | LLW | |
| 28 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 4:9 | 3 | LWL | |
| 29 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3:8 | 3 | LLW | |
| 30 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3:8 | 3 | LWL | |
| 31 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -6 | 3:9 | 2 | DLD | |
| 32 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 4:7 | 1 | DLL | |
| 33 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 5:9 | 1 | LDL | |
| 34 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 2:6 | 0 | LLL | |
| 35 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -6 | 4:10 | 0 | LLL | |
| 36 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -12 | 1:13 | 0 | LLL |
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FC Shakhtar Donetsk vs. Sporting CP begins at 18:45 [GMT+1] on Tuesday, November 3, at Stamford Bridge.