EU
At a glance
The statistical model gives Sparta Praha a 51% probability to beat AFC Bournemouth, with the draw at 20% and a AFC Bournemouth win at 28%.
The model estimates a 59% probability of more than 2.5 goals in Sparta Praha vs AFC Bournemouth.
The model puts the probability that both Sparta Praha and AFC Bournemouth score at 52%.
Sparta Praha vs AFC Bournemouth kicks off on Thursday 05 November 2026 at 17:45.
Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth: Europa League Prediction
Welcome to Extratips for a lively Europa League night in Prague. Sparta Praha host AFC Bournemouth on 5 November 2026 at 17:45, with the match listed at a neutral venue, TC Strahov. UEFA listings instead show epet ARENA, so the venue should be checked before kick-off.
Match outlook
The market strongly favours Bournemouth at 1.5500, while the draw is 4.0000 and Sparta are 5.2500. Those prices point to an away edge, yet our model disagrees and rates a Sparta win at 51.5%. It also gives Both Teams To Score a 52.1% chance and Over 2.5 goals 59.2%.
Sparta's recent European results include a 4-1 win at Ararat-Armenia, a 1-1 draw with Lillestrom, and a 1-0 defeat at Olympiacos. Their 5-3 friendly win shows attacking spark, but defensive gaps remain. Bournemouth's higher market rating suggests greater squad depth and transition threat.
No reliable standings, injury list, complete last-five venue form, or verified previous meetings were available. Therefore, claims about exact positions, points, head-to-head patterns, and absences should not be treated as confirmed.
Key angles
- Sparta's home energy against Bournemouth's counter-attacking pace.
- A market-versus-model clash: the odds favour Bournemouth, but the model backs Sparta.
- Sparta's recent open games make goals the main supporting angle.
Likely scenarios
- High: Both teams score, with at least three goals.
- Medium: Sparta win a tight, high-energy contest.
- Medium: Bournemouth's quality produces an away result despite Sparta's pressure.
The best-aligned selections are Sparta to win, Both Teams To Score, and Over 2.5 goals. Football remains unpredictable, so these are measured predictions rather than guarantees.
Sparta Praha vs AFC Bournemouth Predictions & Analysis
Our prediction model gives Sparta Praha a 51% win probability, AFC Bournemouth 28%, and the draw 20%.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
BTTS leans toward 'Yes' at 52%, suggesting both teams are expected to score.
Goals Prediction
Goal expectations lean toward Over 2.5 at 59%, indicating a higher-scoring match is expected.
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly. How our predictions work
Who do you think will win?
Total votes: 89
TV Channels
Sparta Praha vs AFC Bournemouth: frequently asked questions
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly.
Our picks
1x25.2500
Sparta Praha to win
The model gives Home a 51.5% probability, despite the listed 5.2500 odds. Sparta's recent European form includes a 4-1 win at Ararat-Armenia, while home advantage in Prague can lift their intensity. Bournemouth are stronger on paper, but the model sees Sparta's pressing and local setting as decisive. No verified standings or prior meetings were available, so those factors cannot be assessed reliably.
Both Teams To Score1.6600
Both teams to score: Yes
The model gives Yes a 52.1% probability, supported by Sparta's recent 5-3 friendly win and Bournemouth's attacking quality. Sparta also conceded in their 1-1 draw with Lillestrom and allowed three goals against Vysocina Jihlava. The 1.6600 odds indicate that both attacks are expected to create chances, although no verified head-to-head record was available.
Over/Under1.6100
Over 2.5 goals
The model gives Over 2.5 a 59.2% probability, while the listed odds are 1.6100. Sparta's recent matches have included open scorelines, including 5-3 and 4-1, and Bournemouth bring a proven attacking threat. With both teams expected to score, three or more goals is a logical match pattern. Verified standings and a complete recent form record were unavailable.
Our picks
Accumulator odds
Total Odds
14.03
Potential Winnings
$651.56
Sparta Praha to win
1x2 / Home
Both teams to score: Yes
Both Teams To Score / Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Over/Under / Over 2.5
#ad
*Odds available at time of writing.
Full Time Result
51%
Home
Fair odd 1.94
20%
Draw
Fair odd 4.94
28%
Away
Fair odd 3.53
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 79%
Under 21%
Over 2.5 Goals
Over 59%
Under 41%
Over 3.5 Goals
Over 37%
Under 63%
Both Teams To Score
Yes 52%
No 48%
First Half Winner
49%
Home
34%
Draw
17%
Away
Half Time / Full Time
HT \ FT
Home
Draw
Away
Home
46%
4%
1%
Draw
19%
9%
5%
Away
3%
4%
9%
Correct Score
Home goals (rows) × Away goals (columns)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
0
5.8
7.5
5.0
2.7
1
7.3
8.7
6.0
2.2
2
6.4
7.8
4.3
1.6
3
5.5
5.1
3.0
1.1
4
5
6
7
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
No head-to-head matches found
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | DIFF | GLS | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 10:2 | 9 | WWW | |
| 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 8:0 | 9 | WWW | |
| 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 8:1 | 9 | WWW | |
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 9:3 | 9 | WWW | |
| 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 4:1 | 9 | WWW | |
| 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 8:1 | 7 | WDW | |
| 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +6 | 9:3 | 7 | DWW | |
| 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 9:5 | 7 | DWW | |
| 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4:2 | 7 | DWW | |
| 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 6:2 | 6 | WWL | |
| 11 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5:4 | 6 | LWW | |
| 12 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 5:6 | 6 | LWW | |
| 13 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1 | 4:3 | 5 | DWD | |
| 14 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 8:3 | 4 | WDL | |
| 15 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 8:5 | 4 | DLW | |
| 16 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 5:3 | 4 | LDW | |
| 17 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 4 | WDL | |
| 18 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 3:4 | 4 | LWD | |
| 19 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1:3 | 4 | WLD | |
| 20 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 5:8 | 4 | WDL | |
| 21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 3:6 | 4 | DLW | |
| 22 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 4:3 | 3 | WLL | |
| 23 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5:5 | 3 | WLL | |
| 24 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 4:5 | 3 | LWL | |
| 25 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3:4 | 3 | WLL | |
| 26 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3:4 | 3 | LLW | |
| 27 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 4:6 | 3 | LWL | |
| 28 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 4:7 | 3 | LLW | |
| 29 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 2:7 | 1 | DLL | |
| 30 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 1:6 | 1 | LLD | |
| 31 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -7 | 2:9 | 1 | LDL | |
| 32 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -8 | 1:9 | 1 | DLL | |
| 33 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 2:7 | 0 | LLL | |
| 34 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 1:6 | 0 | LLL | |
| 35 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -6 | 3:9 | 0 | LLL | |
| 36 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -9 | 2:11 | 0 | LLL |
November 4, 2026
Rennes vs Olympiacos F.C.
Rennes
Olympiacos F.C.
15:30
RennesOlympiacos F.C.November 5, 2026
NEC Nijmegen vs Omonia Nicosia
NEC Nijmegen
Omonia Nicosia
17:45
NEC NijmegenOmonia NicosiaAC Milan vs Ferencvárosi
AC Milan
Ferencvárosi
17:45
AC MilanFerencvárosiCrystal Palace vs TSG Hoffenheim
Crystal Palace
TSG Hoffenheim
17:45
Crystal PalaceTSG HoffenheimLillestrøm vs Viktoria Plzeň
Lillestrøm
Viktoria Plzeň
17:45
LillestrømViktoria PlzeňLevski Sofia vs Jagiellonia Białystok
Levski Sofia
Jagiellonia Białystok
17:45
Levski SofiaJagiellonia BiałystokSparta Praha vs AFC Bournemouth
Sparta Praha
AFC Bournemouth
17:45
Sparta PrahaAFC BournemouthReal Sociedad vs Olympique Lyonnais
Real Sociedad
Olympique Lyonnais
17:45
Real SociedadOlympique LyonnaisAnderlecht vs Salzburg
Anderlecht
Salzburg
17:45
AnderlechtSalzburgAZ Alkmaar vs Juventus
AZ Alkmaar
Juventus
20:00
AZ AlkmaarJuventus