Borussia Mönchengladbach vs St. Pauli: Bundesliga Showdown on Extratips
Welcome to Extratips! We're breaking down one of this weekend's most intriguing Bundesliga clashes.
Match Overview
Borussia Mönchengladbach hosts St. Pauli on March 13, 2026 in a crucial Bundesliga battle. The hosts currently sit in 12th place, while the visitors occupy 16th position. This is a tight matchup between two teams fighting to improve their league standings.
Key Odds to Watch
The betting markets paint an interesting picture. St. Pauli Team Total Goals Over 0.5 sits at 1.53, suggesting the away side is expected to score. The Both Teams to Score odds of 2.60 for Over 2.5 & Yes indicates a competitive match. Meanwhile, Under 2.5 & No scores 2.10, showing real uncertainty about goal output.
Recent Form and Head-to-Head
These teams know each other well. In their last five meetings, Mönchengladbach won two matches while St. Pauli won two, with one draw. Overall, Mönchengladbach hold a slight edge with 5 wins to St. Pauli's 4 wins in 13 meetings.
Mönchengladbach have been stronger at home recently, averaging 1.89 goals per match against St. Pauli's 0.89 goals per match in their head-to-head record. However, St. Pauli showed resilience, winning two away games recently.
Squad Availability
Both teams face significant injury concerns. Mönchengladbach are missing Kota Takai, Hugo Bolin, Rocco Reitz (suspended), Nathan N'Goumou, Robin Hack, and Tim Kleindienst. St. Pauli have eight unavailable players, including key defenders Simon Spari, David Nemeth, and Karol Mets. These absences could affect both teams' tactical flexibility.
What Could Decide This Match?
Mönchengladbach's shooting efficiency is notable. They convert 10% of shots on target, better than St. Pauli's 7% conversion rate. However, both sides take similar shot volumes—around 10 per match.
The over/under dynamics are crucial. 71% of recent Mönchengladbach matches exceeded 23.5 total shots, suggesting an open, attacking contest. Fouls and offsides should be plentiful, with 71% of games seeing over 2.5 offsides for Mönchengladbach and 86% for St. Pauli.
One storyline worth watching: St. Pauli's improved away form versus Mönchengladbach's home comfort. The home side has drawn 43% of matches, while St. Pauli have drawn just 14%. This suggests Mönchengladbach might sit deeper defensively, creating space for St. Pauli's counter-attacks.
Another angle involves goal timing. Mönchengladbach won either the first or second half in 63.65% of recent matches. If they grab an early lead, they could control the game. But St. Pauli's pressing could create second-half opportunities against a tiring defense.
Who do you think will win?
Total votes: 82
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Our picks
St. Pauli to score
Despite sitting 16th, St. Pauli won two recent away matches and averaged 1.2 goals conceded per match in their last five games. The odds of 2.50 for St. Pauli to score first reflect genuine attacking potential. With Mönchengladbach missing key defenders, the visitors' pressing game could generate scoring chances early. This prediction aligns with the overall expectation of goals in the match.
Under 2.5 goals
While both teams average 10 shots per match, conversion rates remain low. St. Pauli convert just 7% of shots while Mönchengladbach convert 10%. The odds of 2.10 for Under 2.5 & No (meaning no both teams to score) suggest a tight, defensive encounter. St. Pauli's eight injuries could limit their attacking output, and Mönchengladbach's recent form shows defensive solidity. A 1-0 or 1-1 result is highly plausible.
Mönchengladbach to win
Mönchengladbach's 1.89 goals per match average against St. Pauli significantly exceeds the visitors' 0.89. The handicap result of -1 at 3.75 offers value given home advantage and St. Pauli's defensive injuries. While St. Pauli are in better form away, the hosts' superior attacking efficiency and home record justify backing them. A 2-1 or 2-0 victory fits the expected outcome profile.
Our picks
Accumulator odds
*Odds available at time of writing.

