EU
At a glance
The statistical model gives Beşiktaş a 44% probability to win away against TSG Hoffenheim, with the draw at 22% and a TSG Hoffenheim win at 35%.
The model estimates a 65% probability of more than 2.5 goals in TSG Hoffenheim vs Beşiktaş.
The model puts the probability that both TSG Hoffenheim and Beşiktaş score at 64%.
TSG Hoffenheim vs Beşiktaş kicks off on Thursday 15 October 2026 at 19:00.
Hoffenheim vs Beşiktaş Prediction: Europa League Preview
Welcome to Extratips for the Europa League meeting between Hoffenheim and Beşiktaş. The match begins on 15 October 2026 at 19:00 at the PreZero Arena in Germany. Beşiktaş arrive with momentum after beating Marseille 4-1, while Hoffenheim opened with a 2-0 defeat against OFI Crete.
Form, Odds and Key Angles
The top listed prices are Hoffenheim at 1.9200, Beşiktaş at 3.5000, and the draw at 4.0200. They show a clear gap between market expectation and the model, which gives Beşiktaş the highest win chance at 44.9%. It also rates Both Teams To Score at 63.8% and Over 2.5 goals at 66.1%.
Beşiktaş sit second in the wider European table with nine points, while Hoffenheim are listed 14th with three points. No verified last-five head-to-head record, full recent home-away form, or confirmed injury report is available in the supplied information, so those areas should not be overstated.
Match Storylines
Hoffenheim must repair a shaky European start in front of their home crowd. Beşiktaş, meanwhile, can play with belief after their four-goal opening display. The main tactical question is whether Hoffenheim's response creates space for Beşiktaş's forwards.
A high-tempo game looks likely, with both teams finding the net. The most likely scenario is a narrow Beşiktaş win, such as 2-1. A 2-2 draw is a medium-risk alternative, while a low-scoring Hoffenheim win appears less likely. The best aligned picks are Beşiktaş to win, Both Teams To Score, and Over 2.5 goals.
TSG Hoffenheim vs Beşiktaş Predictions & Analysis
Our prediction model gives TSG Hoffenheim a 35% win probability, Beşiktaş 44%, and the draw 22%.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
BTTS leans toward 'Yes' at 64%, suggesting both teams are expected to score.
Goals Prediction
Goal expectations lean toward Over 2.5 at 65%, indicating a higher-scoring match is expected.
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly. How our predictions work
Who do you think will win?
Total votes: 74
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TSG Hoffenheim vs Beşiktaş: frequently asked questions
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly.
Our picks
Won1x23.5000
Beşiktaş to win
The model gives Beşiktaş a 44.9% probability of winning, compared with 34.0% for Hoffenheim and 21.1% for a draw. Beşiktaş began the Europa League with a 4-1 win over Marseille, while Hoffenheim lost 2-0 to OFI Crete. The available market price of 3.5000 also reflects an away-win scenario, although home advantage keeps this contest close.
WonBoth Teams To Score1.4400
Both teams to score: Yes
The model gives Both Teams To Score — Yes a 63.8% probability. Hoffenheim need a response after their opening defeat, while Beşiktaş showed strong attacking form in a 4-1 win over Marseille. The listed Yes price of 1.4400 supports an open match, with both sides likely to create chances.
WonOver/Under
Over 2.5 goals
The model gives Over 2.5 a 66.1% probability. The expected game pattern combines Hoffenheim's need to attack at home with Beşiktaş's early European confidence and strong scoring output. Both Teams To Score is also rated positively at 63.8%, making three or more goals a logical outcome.
Our picks
Accumulator odds
Total Odds
5.04
Potential Winnings
$202.00
Beşiktaş to win
1x2 / Away
Both teams to score: Yes
Both Teams To Score / Yes
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*Odds available at time of writing.
Full Time Result
35%
Home
Fair odd 2.87
22%
Draw
Fair odd 4.63
44%
Away
Fair odd 2.30
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 84%
Under 16%
Over 2.5 Goals
Over 65%
Under 35%
Over 3.5 Goals
Over 44%
Under 56%
Both Teams To Score
Yes 64%
No 36%
First Half Winner
27%
Home
35%
Draw
38%
Away
Half Time / Full Time
HT \ FT
Home
Draw
Away
Home
18%
4%
4%
Draw
10%
12%
14%
Away
3%
5%
30%
Correct Score
Home goals (rows) × Away goals (columns)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
0
3.7
6.7
5.7
3.3
1
5.3
8.9
8.5
5.0
2
4.4
7.3
6.5
4.1
3
2.4
4.1
3.9
2.2
4
5
6
7
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
No head-to-head matches found
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | DIFF | GLS | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 10:2 | 9 | WWW | |
| 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 8:0 | 9 | WWW | |
| 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 8:1 | 9 | WWW | |
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 9:3 | 9 | WWW | |
| 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 4:1 | 9 | WWW | |
| 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 8:1 | 7 | WDW | |
| 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +6 | 9:3 | 7 | DWW | |
| 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 9:5 | 7 | DWW | |
| 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4:2 | 7 | DWW | |
| 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 6:2 | 6 | WWL | |
| 11 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5:4 | 6 | LWW | |
| 12 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 5:6 | 6 | LWW | |
| 13 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1 | 4:3 | 5 | DWD | |
| 14 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 8:3 | 4 | WDL | |
| 15 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 8:5 | 4 | DLW | |
| 16 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 5:3 | 4 | LDW | |
| 17 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 4 | WDL | |
| 18 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 3:4 | 4 | LWD | |
| 19 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1:3 | 4 | WLD | |
| 20 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 5:8 | 4 | WDL | |
| 21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 3:6 | 4 | DLW | |
| 22 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 4:3 | 3 | WLL | |
| 23 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5:5 | 3 | WLL | |
| 24 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 4:5 | 3 | LWL | |
| 25 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3:4 | 3 | WLL | |
| 26 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3:4 | 3 | LLW | |
| 27 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 4:6 | 3 | LWL | |
| 28 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 4:7 | 3 | LLW | |
| 29 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 2:7 | 1 | DLL | |
| 30 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 1:6 | 1 | LLD | |
| 31 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -7 | 2:9 | 1 | LDL | |
| 32 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -8 | 1:9 | 1 | DLL | |
| 33 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 2:7 | 0 | LLL | |
| 34 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 1:6 | 0 | LLL | |
| 35 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -6 | 3:9 | 0 | LLL | |
| 36 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -9 | 2:11 | 0 | LLL |
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