EU
At a glance
The statistical model gives Udinese a 39% probability to beat Cagliari, with the draw at 28% and a Cagliari win at 33%.
The model estimates a 55% probability of fewer than 2.5 goals in Udinese vs Cagliari.
The model puts the probability that both Udinese and Cagliari score at 51%.
Udinese vs Cagliari kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 13:00.
Udinese vs Cagliari Preview | Serie A Prediction
Welcome to Extratips and this Serie A clash at Dacia Arena on 19 September 2026. Udinese come in as the slight home lean, but Cagliari are close enough to keep the pressure on. The market points to a game with a narrow edge for the hosts, while the goal line still favors caution.
Top odds to note:
- Home win at 1.9500. That is the clearest sign of home trust.
- Under 2.5 at 1.6100. The game may stay tight and stop at two goals or fewer.
- BTTS Yes at 2.0000. Both sides can still land a punch.
The model gives Home 39.8%, BTTS Yes 50.0%, and Under 2.5 55.8%. That mix suggests a compact match, with Udinese just about doing enough. A 1-0 or 2-1 feel fits best, especially if the first goal comes early.
Likely match story: Udinese start on the front foot, Cagliari stay organised, and the score stays close for most of the night. The safest lean is a home win in a low-scoring contest.
Udinese vs Cagliari Predictions & Analysis
Our prediction model gives Udinese a 39% win probability, Cagliari 33%, and the draw 28%.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
BTTS leans toward 'Yes' at 51%, suggesting both teams are expected to score.
Goals Prediction
Goal expectations lean toward Under 2.5 at 55%, indicating a lower-scoring affair is expected.
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly. How our predictions work
Who do you think will win?
Total votes: 74
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Udinese vs Cagliari: frequently asked questions
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly.
Our picks
Lost1x21.9500
Udinese to win
The model gives Home a 39.8% probability, the highest in the 1X2 market. Udinese also have the shorter price at 1.9500, and the home edge at Dacia Arena supports them in a tight game. The draw and away chances are close, but the model still leans home.
LostBoth Teams To Score2.0000
Both teams to score - Yes
The model gives BTTS Yes a 50.0% probability, exactly level with No, so this is a fine-balanced call. Udinese should create at home, while Cagliari have enough threat to nick a goal, which fits a game that can stay open at moments. Recent matchup patterns also point toward both sides finding chances.
WonOver/Under1.6100
Under 2.5 goals
The model gives Under 2.5 a 55.8% probability, making it the top outcome in this market. The odds also back a cautious game at 1.6100, and both sides look set for a tight Serie A battle. With the draw and low-scoring paths strong, this lines up with a match that may be decided by one goal.
Our picks
Accumulator odds
Total Odds
6.28
Potential Winnings
$263.95
Udinese to win
1x2 / Home
Both teams to score - Yes
Both Teams To Score / Yes
Under 2.5 goals
Over/Under / Under 2.5
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*Odds available at time of writing.
Full Time Result
39%
Home
Fair odd 2.56
28%
Draw
Fair odd 3.54
33%
Away
Fair odd 3.05
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 71%
Under 29%
Over 2.5 Goals
Over 45%
Under 55%
Over 3.5 Goals
Over 24%
Under 76%
Both Teams To Score
Yes 51%
No 49%
First Half Winner
28%
Home
51%
Draw
21%
Away
Half Time / Full Time
HT \ FT
Home
Draw
Away
Home
21%
5%
2%
Draw
16%
21%
13%
Away
2%
5%
15%
Correct Score
Home goals (rows) × Away goals (columns)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
0
9.0
9.4
5.5
2.1
1
11.0
13.0
7.9
2.8
2
6.8
8.5
5.3
2.0
3
2.9
3.5
2.3
0.9
4
5
6
7
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
Cagliari vs Udinese
Cagliari0
Udinese2
09 May 26FT!
Cagliari0Udinese2Udinese vs CagliariUdinese1Cagliari1
05 Oct 25FT!
Udinese1Cagliari1Cagliari vs UdineseCagliari1Udinese2
03 May 25FT!
Cagliari1Udinese2Udinese vs CagliariUdinese2Cagliari0
25 Oct 24FT!
Udinese2Cagliari0Udinese vs CagliariUdinese1Cagliari1
18 Feb 24FT!
Udinese1Cagliari1Udinese vs CagliariUdinese1Cagliari2
01 Nov 23FT!
Udinese1Cagliari2Cagliari vs UdineseCagliari0Udinese0
17 Sep 23FT!
Cagliari0Udinese0Udinese vs CagliariUdinese5Cagliari1
03 Apr 22FT!
Udinese5Cagliari1Cagliari vs UdineseCagliari0Udinese4
18 Dec 21FT!
Cagliari0Udinese4| # | Team | P | W | D | L | DIFF | GLS | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 14:3 | 13 | DWWWW | |
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 15:8 | 13 | DWWWW | |
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 8:3 | 13 | WDWWW | |
| 4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 5:2 | 12 | WWWLW | |
| 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +6 | 10:4 | 11 | WDDWW | |
| 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 9:4 | 10 | WDWWL | |
| 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 8:4 | 10 | WLDWW | |
| 8 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 9:6 | 10 | LWWWD | |
| 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 7:6 | 7 | DWLLW | |
| 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9:9 | 7 | LWDWL | |
| 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 5:7 | 6 | LLLWW | |
| 12 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 5:10 | 6 | LWLLW | |
| 13 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 8:11 | 4 | LLLWD | |
| 14 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 5:8 | 4 | DLWLL | |
| 15 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 4:7 | 4 | WLDLL | |
| 16 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 8:12 | 4 | WLDLL | |
| 17 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -6 | 6:12 | 4 | DWLLL | |
| 18 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 3:6 | 2 | DLDLL | |
| 19 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 3:10 | 1 | LDLLL | |
| 20 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -9 | 4:13 | 0 | LLLLL |
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