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United States vs Paraguay Prediction | World Cup 2026 Preview
Welcome to Extratips and our match preview for United States vs Paraguay at SoFi Stadium. The game is set for 13 June 2026 at 01:00 UTC on neutral ground in Inglewood.
- The market leans toward a home win, with the U.S. priced at 1.9000.
- BTTS Yes sits at 2.0500, so goals at both ends are well in play.
- The goal line is tight, and Under 2.5 is the model's top lean.
The model says the U.S. win has a 45.9% chance, while BTTS Yes is 52.8% and Under 2.5 is 50.3%. That points to a close game, with the U.S. just ahead. The clean-sheet prices also hint at a match where Paraguay may struggle to break through.
Form, standings, and recent h2h data are not provided here, so this preview leans mainly on the market view. Even so, the numbers suggest a tight World Cup game, with the U.S. carrying the slight edge and Paraguay still dangerous on the break.
Potential scenarios:
- A narrow U.S. win with both teams scoring.
- A low-scoring draw if Paraguay stays compact.
- A tense match decided by one moment or set piece.
Key angle: the balance between the U.S. home strength and Paraguay's counter threat should shape the night.
United States vs Paraguay Predictions & Analysis
Our prediction model gives United States a 46% win probability, Paraguay 28%, and the draw 26%.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
BTTS leans toward 'Yes' at 53%, suggesting both teams are expected to score.
Goals Prediction
Goal expectations lean toward Under 2.5 at 50%, indicating a lower-scoring affair is expected.
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only — bet responsibly.
Who do you think will win?
Total votes: 96
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Our picks
Won1x21.9000
United States to win
The model gives the Home outcome a 45.9% probability, which is the top pick in 1X2. The odds of 1.9000 also make the U.S. the clear market leader, and the neutral-site setting still leaves them with the stronger profile on paper.
WonBoth Teams To Score2.0500
Both teams to score — Yes
The model gives BTTS Yes a 52.8% probability, so it is the top outcome. The market also keeps it close, and the game setup points to a match where both sides can find chances.
LostOver/Under1.8200
Under 2.5 goals
The model gives Under 2.5 a 50.3% probability, which is just enough to make it the top lean. The goal line odds at 1.8200 support a tight match, and the most likely script is a controlled, low-margin contest.
Our picks
Accumulator odds
Total Odds
7.09
Potential Winnings
$304.45
United States to win
1x2 / Home
Both teams to score — Yes
Both Teams To Score / Yes
Under 2.5 goals
Over/Under / Under 2.5
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*Odds available at time of writing.
Full Time Result
46%
Home
Fair odd 2.18
26%
Draw
Fair odd 3.89
28%
Away
Fair odd 3.53
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 75%
Under 25%
Over 2.5 Goals
Over 50%
Under 50%
Over 3.5 Goals
Over 28%
Under 72%
Both Teams To Score
Yes 53%
No 47%
First Half Winner
35%
Home
45%
Draw
20%
Away
Half Time / Full Time
HT \ FT
Home
Draw
Away
Home
28%
5%
2%
Draw
17%
16%
11%
Away
2%
5%
14%
Correct Score
Home goals (rows) × Away goals (columns)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
0
7.1
7.7
4.5
1.8
1
10.5
12.3
6.9
2.5
2
8.0
8.9
5.2
2.1
3
4.1
4.7
2.8
1.1
4
5
6
7
Last updated 3 days ago
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