Ajax to win
Ajax are the stronger side at home, and the market backs them as the most likely winner. The home price of 1.85 is short enough to show clear trust in their quality.
Welcome to Extratips and our match preview for Ajax vs FC Groningen. This Eredivisie clash kicks off on 21 May 2026 at 16:45. Ajax come in as the clear home side, but the odds also hint at goals, with BTTS Yes at 1.50 and Over 3.0 at 1.92.
Ajax are priced at 1.85 to win, while the draw and Groningen win both sit at 3.90. That tells us the market expects Ajax to control the game, but not in a dead-simple way. The strong BTTS line also suggests Groningen can land a punch. The most likely script is Ajax on top, but with space left open at the back.
Ajax should carry more of the ball and set the tempo. Groningen will likely look for quick breaks and set pieces. If Ajax score early, this could open up fast. If not, the pressure rises and the game may stay closer than expected.
Ajax are still the safer pick, but the goal markets look very live. A home win with both teams scoring feels like the best fit for this one.
Final lean: Ajax to win, in a match with goals.
Total votes: 130
Ajax are the stronger side at home, and the market backs them as the most likely winner. The home price of 1.85 is short enough to show clear trust in their quality.
BTTS Yes is only 1.50, so the market expects chances at both ends. Ajax can score, but Groningen have enough threat to nick one as well.
Over 3.0 at 1.92 offers a fair angle in a game that should stretch once Ajax push forward. The odds also fit a lively match with several scoring moments.
Our picks
*Odds available at time of writing.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | DIFF | GLS | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | +56 | 101:45 | 84 | WWDWW | |
| 2 | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | +26 | 70:44 | 65 | WDWWD | |
| 3 | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | +24 | 77:53 | 59 | WLDDD | |
| 4 | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | +19 | 59:40 | 58 | LWDDW | |
| 5 | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | +21 | 62:41 | 56 | DLDWW | |
| 6 | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | +13 | 55:42 | 53 | WWWLW | |
| 7 | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | +7 | 58:51 | 52 | DDDDW | |
| 8 | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | +4 | 57:53 | 51 | DLWWL | |
| 9 | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | +4 | 49:45 | 48 | WWLLD | |
| 10 | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | -22 | 40:62 | 43 | LLDLL | |
| 11 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | -14 | 49:63 | 39 | LWLLD | |
| 12 | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | +1 | 54:53 | 38 | LLDDD | |
| 13 | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | -13 | 43:56 | 38 | WDWWD | |
| 14 | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | -6 | 49:55 | 37 | WWDWL | |
| 15 | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | -27 | 44:71 | 37 | LLWLD | |
| 16 | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | -20 | 35:55 | 32 | LDLWL | |
| 17 | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | -23 | 35:58 | 29 | DWLLD | |
| 18 | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | -50 | 35:85 | 19 | LLLLL |