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At a glance
The statistical model gives Defensor Sporting a 40% probability to win away against Atlético Progreso, with the draw at 28% and a Atlético Progreso win at 32%.
The model estimates a 58% probability of fewer than 2.5 goals in Atlético Progreso vs Defensor Sporting.
The model puts the probability that both Atlético Progreso and Defensor Sporting score at 49%.
Atlético Progreso vs Defensor Sporting kicks off on Sunday 01 November 2026 at 13:00.
Atlético Progreso vs Defensor Sporting Match Preview
Atlético Progreso vs Defensor Sporting live streaming starts on Sunday 01 November 2026 at 13:00 at Parque Abraham Paladino in Primera Division, Uruguay. Extratips.com provides livescore, H2H information for Atlético Progreso vs Defensor Sporting as well as in-depth stats about each team like lineups, standings, predictions and professional betting tips.
Atlético Progreso vs Defensor Sporting Predictions & Analysis
Our prediction model gives Atlético Progreso a 32% win probability, Defensor Sporting 40%, and the draw 28%.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
BTTS leans toward 'No' at 51%, suggesting a clean sheet is likely on at least one side.
Goals Prediction
Goal expectations lean toward Under 2.5 at 58%, indicating a lower-scoring affair is expected.
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly. How our predictions work
Who do you think will win?
Total votes: 85
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Atlético Progreso vs Defensor Sporting: frequently asked questions
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly.
Full Time Result
32%
Home
Fair odd 3.10
28%
Draw
Fair odd 3.59
40%
Away
Fair odd 2.51
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 68%
Under 32%
Over 2.5 Goals
Over 42%
Under 58%
Over 3.5 Goals
Over 21%
Under 79%
Both Teams To Score
Yes 49%
No 51%
First Half Winner
25%
Home
47%
Draw
29%
Away
Half Time / Full Time
HT \ FT
Home
Draw
Away
Home
18%
5%
3%
Draw
13%
20%
15%
Away
2%
5%
20%
Correct Score
Home goals (rows) × Away goals (columns)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
0
9.7
12.1
7.0
2.8
1
10.7
13.1
8.5
3.6
2
5.7
7.4
4.6
2.2
3
1.8
2.4
1.8
0.5
4
5
6
7
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
Defensor Sporting vs Atlético Progreso
Defensor Sporting1
Atlético Progreso0
27 Apr 26FT!
Defensor Sporting1Atlético Progreso0Atlético Progreso vs Defensor SportingAtlético Progreso2Defensor Sporting3
19 Oct 25FT!
Atlético Progreso2Defensor Sporting3Defensor Sporting vs Atlético ProgresoDefensor Sporting1Atlético Progreso2
20 Apr 25FT!
Defensor Sporting1Atlético Progreso2Defensor Sporting vs Atlético ProgresoDefensor Sporting3Atlético Progreso0
14 Nov 24FT!
Defensor Sporting3Atlético Progreso0Defensor Sporting vs Atlético ProgresoDefensor Sporting1Atlético Progreso1
15 Jun 24FT!
Defensor Sporting1Atlético Progreso1Atlético Progreso vs Defensor SportingAtlético Progreso1Defensor Sporting4
12 May 24FT!
Atlético Progreso1Defensor Sporting4Atlético Progreso vs Defensor SportingAtlético Progreso3Defensor Sporting3
11 Feb 21FT!
Atlético Progreso3Defensor Sporting3Defensor Sporting vs Atlético ProgresoDefensor Sporting2Atlético Progreso1
19 Aug 20FT!
Defensor Sporting2Atlético Progreso1Defensor Sporting vs Atlético ProgresoDefensor Sporting2Atlético Progreso4
05 Dec 19FT!
Defensor Sporting2Atlético Progreso4Atlético Progreso vs Defensor SportingAtlético Progreso3Defensor Sporting1
18 Aug 19FT!
Atlético Progreso3Defensor Sporting1Group 1
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | DIFF | GLS | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +9 | 12:3 | 16 | WWDWL | |
| 2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 7:5 | 11 | LWDDW | |
| 3 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +1 | 4:3 | 10 | WLDDD | |
| 4 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5:5 | 9 | DWLDW | |
| 5 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4:4 | 9 | DLDDW | |
| 6 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 6:10 | 9 | LWWLL | |
| 7 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6:9 | 6 | WLDDD | |
| 8 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 5:10 | 5 | LLDDL |
Group 2
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | DIFF | GLS | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 12:4 | 15 | WWWDW | |
| 2 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8:8 | 13 | WLDWL | |
| 3 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 12:6 | 12 | DLDWW | |
| 4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 11:11 | 12 | LWWLW | |
| 5 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8:11 | 8 | DWLDL | |
| 6 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 6:8 | 6 | DLDWL | |
| 7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 6:11 | 6 | LWLLW | |
| 8 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -4 | 5:9 | 4 | DLDDD |
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