Who will win Cerro Largo vs Atlético Progreso?

The statistical model gives Cerro Largo a 41% probability to beat Atlético Progreso, with the draw at 29% and a Atlético Progreso win at 29%.

When and where is Cerro Largo vs Atlético Progreso played?

Cerro Largo vs Atlético Progreso kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 23:00 at Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla in Melo.

Will both teams score in Cerro Largo vs Atlético Progreso?

The model puts the probability that both Cerro Largo and Atlético Progreso score at 46%.

What is the head-to-head record between Cerro Largo and Atlético Progreso?

Cerro Largo and Atlético Progreso have met 10 times in recent seasons: Cerro Largo won 8 of those matches, Atlético Progreso won 0 of those matches and 2 of them ended in a draw.

Cerro Largo vs Atlético Progreso: Predictions, H2H & Betting Tips

Match Predictions

BestUnder 3.5 · 81%

Full Time Result

Home 41%Draw 29%Away 29%

Both Teams To Score

Yes 46%No 54%

Over 1.5 Goals

Over 65%Under 35%

Over 2.5 Goals

Over 39%Under 61%

Over 3.5 Goals

Over 19%Under 81%

First Half Winner

Home 30%Draw 50%Away 21%

Fair odd · Home2.42

Fair odd · Draw3.40

Fair odd · Away3.42

Bet at bet365

Betting partner · #ad

Value Pick

Home

1.96

Fair odd: 1.90
Stake: 0.93

Community

Odds

Odds Comparison

EU

1

1.80-5.3%

55.56%win

X

3.30+1.5%

30.3%win

2

4.10+10.8%

24.39%win

EU

1

1.77-13.2%

56.5%win

X

3.42+6.2%

29.24%win

2

4.01+22.3%

24.94%win

EU

1

1.80-10.0%

55.56%win

X

3.60+5.9%

27.78%win

2

4.20+20.0%

23.81%win

EU

1

1.80-7.7%

55.56%win

X

3.40+3.0%

29.41%win

2

4.10+13.9%

24.39%win

EU

1

1.80-12.2%

55.56%win

X

3.40+3.0%

29.41%win

2

4.00+23.1%

25%win

EU

1

1.80-10.0%

55.56%win

X

3.30+3.1%

30.3%win

2

3.90+21.9%

25.64%win

EU

1

1.88-6.9%

53.19%win

X

3.60+5.9%

27.78%win

2

4.20+10.5%

23.81%win

EU

1

1.80-10.0%

55.56%win

X

3.30+3.1%

30.3%win

2

3.90+21.9%

25.64%win

EU

1

1.75-5.4%

57.14%win

X

3.13+1.6%

31.95%win

2

3.47+9.1%

28.82%win

EU

1

1.81-4.2%

55.25%win

X

3.30

30.3%win

2

3.75+8.7%

26.67%win

EU

1

1.75-13.4%

57.14%win

X

3.42+6.2%

29.24%win

2

3.92+22.5%

25.51%win

EU

1

1.96

51.02%win

X

3.26+0.6%

30.67%win

2

3.46-0.6%

28.9%win

EU

1

1.75-15.5%

57.14%win

X

3.64+3.7%

27.47%win

2

4.01+18.3%

24.94%win

EU

1

1.79-1.7%

55.87%win

Stopped

X

3.04-2.9%

32.89%win

Stopped

2

3.57-3.0%

28.01%win

Stopped

EU

1

1.81-13.0%

55.25%win

X

3.30

30.3%win

2

3.95+14.5%

25.32%win

EU

1

1.83-10.7%

54.64%win

X

3.40+3.0%

29.41%win

2

4.00+21.2%

25%win

1	X	2
1.80 55.56%win	3.30 30.3%win	4.10 24.39%win
1.77 56.5%win	3.42 29.24%win	4.01 24.94%win
1.80 55.56%win	3.60 27.78%win	4.20 23.81%win
1.80 55.56%win	3.40 29.41%win	4.10 24.39%win
1.80 55.56%win	3.40 29.41%win	4.00 25%win
1.80 55.56%win	3.30 30.3%win	3.90 25.64%win
1.88 53.19%win	3.60 27.78%win	4.20 23.81%win
1.80 55.56%win	3.30 30.3%win	3.90 25.64%win
1.75 57.14%win	3.13 31.95%win	3.47 28.82%win
1.81 55.25%win	3.30 30.3%win	3.75 26.67%win
1.75 57.14%win	3.42 29.24%win	3.92 25.51%win
1.96 51.02%win	3.26 30.67%win	3.46 28.9%win
1.75 57.14%win	3.64 27.47%win	4.01 24.94%win
1.79 55.87%win	3.04 32.89%win	3.57 28.01%win
1.81 55.25%win	3.30 30.3%win	3.95 25.32%win
1.83 54.64%win	3.40 29.41%win	4.00 25%win

Form

Primera Division

Group 1

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF:GA	DIFF	Pts
1	Peñarol W 5D 1L 1	7	5	1	1	12:3	+9	16
2	Cerro Largo W 3D 2L 2	7	3	2	2	7:5	+2	11
3	Racing W 2D 4L 1	7	2	4	1	4:3	+1	10

Group 2

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF:GA	DIFF	Pts
6	Albion W 1D 3L 3	7	1	3	3	6:8	-2	6
7	Atlético Progreso W 2D 0L 5	7	2	0	5	6:11	-5	6
8	Danubio W 0D 4L 3	7	0	4	3	5:9	-4	4

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF:GA	DIFF	Pts
6	Racing W 5D 4L 4	13	5	4	4	18:14	+4	19
7	Atlético Progreso W 6D 1L 6	13	6	1	6	13:15	-2	19
7	Nacional W 7D 1L 7	15	7	1	7	26:21	+5	22
···						···
12	Albion W 4D 1L 8	13	4	1	8	15:20	-5	13
12	Cerro Largo W 5D 2L 8	15	5	2	8	16:19	-3	17
13	Boston River W 5D 2L 8	15	5	2	8	14:20	-6	17
···						···
14	Danubio W 2D 4L 7	13	2	4	7	7:15	-8	10
15	Cerro Largo W 1D 6L 6	13	1	6	6	10:17	-7	9
15	Atlético Progreso W 2D 4L 9	15	2	4	9	12:23	-11	10
16	Central Español W 2D 2L 9	13	2	2	9	8:22	-14	8