PSG to win
PSG at home in Parc des Princes as champs. Odds @1.4200 show 70% chance on Asian Hcp 0.0. Chelsea weak away. Recent H2H even, but PSG need bounce-back after Monaco loss.
Welcome to Extratips, your go-to spot for top football predictions! Tonight's blockbuster is Paris Saint-Germain vs Chelsea in the Champions League 2025/2026 last-16 first leg. Kick-off is at 20:00 at Parc des Princes. PSG, the defending champs, host Chelsea, fresh off their 3-0 Club World Cup final win over PSG last year.
PSG sit 11th after a shaky league phase. They won just one of their last five group games. A 3-1 loss to Monaco last week exposed their woes. Chelsea? 6th place, topped with five UCL wins. But road form is iffy—just one away victory. Recent form: PSG LWDWW, Chelsea WWLDW.
Head-to-head: Even stevens. PSG won 3, Chelsea 2, draws 4 in 9-11 meetings. Chelsea's latest: 3-0 thrashing. PSG lost just once in last eight vs English sides.
Top odds spotlight:
Team news: PSG miss Fabian Ruiz (knee), Quentin Ndjantou (hamstring). Joao Neves doubtful (ankle). Chelsea without Estevao. Stars like Dembele, Kvaratskhelia for PSG; Palmer, Pedro for Blues shine bright.
Key angles: 1) Revenge for PSG after Club World Cup humiliation—fuels fire! 2) Chelsea's away blues vs PSG home fortress. 3) Attack fest? No goalless PSG knockouts ever.
PSG's strengths: Deadly attack (Dembele hot), home roar. Weaknesses: Injury chaos, inconsistency. Chelsea's plus: Solid UCL run, Palmer magic. Minuses: Poor away, leaky backline.
Scenarios:
This tie's alive! Expect goals, drama. Tie hangs on second leg.
Total votes: 56
PSG at home in Parc des Princes as champs. Odds @1.4200 show 70% chance on Asian Hcp 0.0. Chelsea weak away. Recent H2H even, but PSG need bounce-back after Monaco loss.
Chelsea Clean Sheet No is 1.1400 (88% prob), but flips to PSG shutout. 1st half BTS No @1.2500 (80%). PSG defense solid vs English sides lately. Low-scoring opener likely.
Under 2.5 & No BTS @3.1000 (32% prob) fits cautious knockout first leg. PSG no goalless but expect tight game. Both inconsistent, Chelsea road woes point to low goals.
Our picks
*Odds available at time of writing.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | DIFF | GLS | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +19 | 23:4 | 24 | WWWWW | |
| 2 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +14 | 22:8 | 21 | WWWLW | |
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | +12 | 20:8 | 18 | WWWLW | |
| 4 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 17:7 | 17 | WWWLW | |
| 5 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +8 | 22:14 | 16 | WWWLD | |
| 6 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +7 | 17:10 | 16 | WWLWD | |
| 7 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +6 | 17:11 | 16 | WWLWD | |
| 8 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +6 | 15:9 | 16 | WLWLW | |
| 9 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | +9 | 21:12 | 15 | LWLWL | |
| 10 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | +8 | 15:7 | 15 | WLLLW | |
| 11 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +10 | 21:11 | 14 | DLDWL | |
| 12 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +10 | 17:7 | 14 | DWDLW | |
| 13 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +4 | 14:10 | 13 | DWWWD | |
| 14 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 17:15 | 13 | LDWWW | |
| 15 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10:10 | 13 | LLWWW | |
| 16 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 13:14 | 12 | WLDWW | |
| 17 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 19:17 | 11 | LLDWL | |
| 18 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 10:14 | 11 | WWWLD | |
| 19 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 15:17 | 10 | WWLLD | |
| 20 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 9:11 | 10 | LDLLW | |
| 21 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -6 | 8:14 | 10 | DLWDW | |
| 22 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -8 | 13:21 | 10 | LWLLD | |
| 23 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 14:15 | 9 | WWDLL | |
| 24 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 10:12 | 9 | WLWWL | |
| 25 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -3 | 11:14 | 9 | LLWWL | |
| 26 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 8:11 | 9 | WLLDW | |
| 27 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -9 | 8:17 | 9 | WLLWL | |
| 28 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 16:16 | 8 | LLLWD | |
| 29 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 9:14 | 8 | LWDDL | |
| 30 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 9:15 | 8 | LDLWD | |
| 31 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -9 | 12:21 | 8 | LDWWL | |
| 32 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -13 | 8:21 | 6 | LWWLL | |
| 33 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -11 | 10:21 | 4 | LLLLD | |
| 34 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -14 | 5:19 | 3 | LLLDL | |
| 35 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -13 | 5:18 | 1 | LLLLL | |
| 36 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -15 | 7:22 | 1 | LLLLL |