Who will win Danubio vs Peñarol?

The statistical model gives Peñarol a 49% probability to win away against Danubio, with the draw at 30% and a Danubio win at 21%.

When and where is Danubio vs Peñarol played?

Danubio vs Peñarol kicks off on Saturday 05 September 2026 at 18:00 at Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo in Montevideo.

The model puts the probability that both Danubio and Peñarol score at 43%.

Danubio and Peñarol have met 9 times in recent seasons: Danubio won 2 of those matches, Peñarol won 5 of those matches and 2 of them ended in a draw.

BestUnder 3.5 · 82%Lost

Full Time ResultAwayWon

Home 21%Draw 30%Away 49%

Both Teams To ScoreNoWon

Yes 43%No 57%

Over 1.5 GoalsOverWon

Over 64%Under 36%

Over 2.5 GoalsOverLost

Over 37%Under 63%

Over 3.5 GoalsOverLost

Over 18%Under 82%

First Half WinnerAwayLost

Home 20%Draw 48%Away 31%

Fair odd · Home4.78

Fair odd · Draw3.32

Fair odd · Away2.04

Betting partner · #ad

1	X	2
4.50 22.22%win	3.10 32.26%win	1.72 57.9%win
4.85 20.62%win	3.35 29.85%win	1.71 58.48%win
4.73 21.14%win	3.26 30.67%win	1.82 54.95%win
4.75 21.05%win	3.40 29.41%win	1.70 58.82%win
4.70 21.28%win	3.30 30.3%win	1.72 58.14%win
5.00 20%win	3.30 30.3%win	1.73 57.8%win
4.50 22.22%win	3.40 29.41%win	1.71 58.48%win
4.45 22.47%win	3.40 29.41%win	1.72 58.14%win
4.80 20.83%win	3.55 28.17%win	1.74 57.47%win
4.40 22.73%win	3.40 29.41%win	1.70 58.82%win
5.00 20%win	3.50 28.57%win	1.77 56.5%win
4.80 20.83%win	3.25 30.77%win	1.75 57.14%win
4.40 22.73%win	3.40 29.41%win	1.70 58.82%win
4.85 20.62%win	3.28 30.49%win	1.50 66.67%win
4.40 22.73%win	3.35 29.85%win	1.68 59.52%win
4.55 21.98%win	3.30 30.3%win	1.70 58.82%win
4.99 20.04%win	3.36 29.76%win	1.75 57.14%win
4.87 20.53%win	3.62 27.62%win	1.76 56.82%win
4.34 23.04%win	3.07 32.57%win	1.63 61.35%win
5.40 18.52%win	3.40 29.41%win	1.70 58.82%win
4.60 21.74%win	3.30 30.3%win	1.75 57.14%win

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF:GA	DIFF	Pts
1	Peñarol W 5D 1L 1	7	5	1	1	12:3	+9	16
2	Cerro Largo W 3D 2L 2	7	3	2	2	7:5	+2	11

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF:GA	DIFF	Pts
7	Atlético Progreso W 2D 0L 5	7	2	0	5	6:11	-5	6
8	Danubio W 0D 4L 3	7	0	4	3	5:9	-4	4

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF:GA	DIFF	Pts
3	Nacional W 8D 2L 3	13	8	2	3	19:13	+6	26
4	Peñarol W 6D 5L 2	13	6	5	2	17:9	+8	23
4	Peñarol W 8D 3L 4	15	8	3	4	23:16	+7	27
5	Central Español W 7D 3L 5	15	7	3	5	23:22	+1	24
···						···
10	Wanderers W 4D 4L 5	13	4	4	5	14:19	-5	16
11	Danubio W 4D 6L 5	15	4	6	5	17:21	-4	18
11	Boston River W 4D 3L 6	13	4	3	6	15:17	-2	15
···						···
14	Juventud W 4D 3L 8	15	4	3	8	17:22	-5	15
14	Danubio W 2D 4L 7	13	2	4	7	7:15	-8	10
15	Cerro Largo W 1D 6L 6	13	1	6	6	10:17	-7	9