Fiorentina to win
Fiorentina's strong home form (4 wins in last 5) and head-to-head edge make them favorites at 2.05 odds (48.78% implied probability). Genoa struggle away.
Welcome to Extratips, your go-to spot for top football predictions! Today, we dive into Fiorentina vs Genoa, kicking off on May 10, 2026, at 13:00 in Serie A 2025/2026. The Viola host the Grifone in a mid-table battle that could shake up the standings.
Key Match Facts
Fiorentina sit 7th with 52 points, chasing Europe. Genoa hold 12th on 38 points, fighting relegation nerves. Home win odds at 2.05 imply 48.78% chance; draw 3.20 (31.25%); Genoa win 3.60 (27.78%). Bookies fancy Fiorentina, but Genoa can scrap.
Head-to-Head (Last 5)
Recent Form
Fiorentina's last 5 home: WWWDL (4 wins, 1 loss). Genoa's last 5 away: LLWDD (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses).
Team Strengths & Weaknesses
Fiorentina: Strengths - Deadly attack (2.2 goals/home), solid defense. Weaknesses - Sloppy vs counters. Example: 3-2 win over Roma.
Genoa: Strengths - Counter speed, set-pieces. Weaknesses - Poor away scoring (0.8 goals). Example: 1-1 draw at Juventus.
Key Factors
No major injuries reported. Fiorentina's new 4-3-3 tactic boosts midfield. Genoa misses suspended defender Vasquez.
Storylines
Analysis: Fiorentina dominate possession; Genoa hit on break. Similar mid-table grind, but Viola's attack edges it.
Scenarios:
Total votes: 112
Fiorentina's strong home form (4 wins in last 5) and head-to-head edge make them favorites at 2.05 odds (48.78% implied probability). Genoa struggle away.
Fiorentina's tight home defense concedes few (51.28% probability at 1.95 odds). Genoa score poorly away, aligning with clean sheet potential.
Recent H2H low-scoring + Fiorentina control (57.8% probability at 1.73 odds). Expect 2-0 Viola win, under line hits.
Our picks
*Odds available at time of writing.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | DIFF | GLS | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 27 | 6 | 5 | +54 | 89:35 | 87 | DDWWD | |
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | +22 | 58:36 | 76 | WWLDW | |
| 3 | 38 | 23 | 4 | 11 | +28 | 59:31 | 73 | WWWWW | |
| 4 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | +36 | 65:29 | 71 | WWWDW | |
| 5 | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | +18 | 53:35 | 70 | LWLLD | |
| 6 | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | +27 | 61:34 | 69 | DLWDD | |
| 7 | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | +15 | 51:36 | 59 | DLWDL | |
| 8 | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | +3 | 49:46 | 56 | DWWDL | |
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | +1 | 41:40 | 54 | WLLWD | |
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | -3 | 45:48 | 50 | LLWWD | |
| 11 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | -4 | 46:50 | 49 | LLLWD | |
| 12 | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | -19 | 44:63 | 45 | DLWLD | |
| 13 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | -18 | 28:46 | 45 | WLLLW | |
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | -13 | 40:53 | 43 | WWLDW | |
| 15 | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | -9 | 41:50 | 42 | DWDLD | |
| 16 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | -10 | 41:51 | 41 | LLDDL | |
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | -22 | 28:50 | 38 | WWLWD | |
| 18 | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | -25 | 32:57 | 34 | LWWLL | |
| 19 | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | -36 | 25:61 | 21 | LDLDD | |
| 20 | 38 | 2 | 12 | 24 | -45 | 26:71 | 18 | LLLLL |