At a glance
The statistical model gives Everton a 44% probability to win away against Hull City, with the draw at 29% and a Hull City win at 28%.
The model estimates a 56% probability of fewer than 2.5 goals in Hull City vs Everton.
The model puts the probability that both Hull City and Everton score at 50%.
Hull City vs Everton kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 13:00.
Hull City vs Everton prediction: Premier League preview and betting tips
Welcome to Extratips for the latest Hull City vs Everton match prediction. The game starts at 13:00 on 11 October 2026 at MKM Stadium.
Everton arrive seventh with 9 points, while Hull sit eighth with 8 points after five league games. Both sides have made steady starts, so this feels like a close mid-table battle rather than a one-sided contest.
The market gives Everton the edge at 2.03, with the draw at 3.25 and Hull at 3.70. Our model also favors the visitors, although only by a modest margin. It gives Everton a 43.9% away-win chance, compared with 27.5% for Hull and 28.6% for the draw.
Recent form points toward a tight game. Hull’s latest league results include a 1-2 defeat at Newcastle, a 2-2 draw at Chelsea, a 0-0 draw with Aston Villa and a 1-0 win at Coventry. Everton’s recent run includes a 1-0 win over Ipswich, a 0-0 draw at Tottenham and a 2-2 draw with Manchester United.
The historical meetings are mixed. Everton won 4-0 at home in 2017, while Hull earned a 2-2 draw later that year. Everton also edged the 2022 FA Cup meeting 3-2 after extra time. Their earlier league games included a 1-0 Everton win and a 2-2 draw.
The clearest angle is a disciplined, low-scoring away performance. Under 2.5 goals is priced at 1.75, and the model gives it a 56.3% probability. Both teams scoring is less likely, with No rated at 50.4%. A 0-1 Everton win looks plausible, but Hull’s home crowd could make this a stubborn afternoon for the visitors.
Hull City vs Everton Predictions & Analysis
Our prediction model gives Hull City a 28% win probability, Everton 44%, and the draw 29%.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
BTTS leans toward 'No' at 50%, suggesting a clean sheet is likely on at least one side.
Goals Prediction
Goal expectations lean toward Under 2.5 at 56%, indicating a lower-scoring affair is expected.
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly. How our predictions work
Who do you think will win?
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Hull City vs Everton: frequently asked questions
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly.
Our picks
Everton to win
The model gives Everton a 43.9% probability of an away win. Everton sit seventh with nine points, just ahead of Hull in eighth with eight, while the betting market also favors Everton at odds of 2.03. Recent form is close, but Everton’s stronger head-to-head record and away experience slightly tilt the match toward the visitors.
Both teams to score: No
The model gives No a 50.4% probability. The teams have each scored six goals in five league matches, yet their recent games include several clean sheets and low-scoring results. The available No price is 1.90, and Everton’s defensive record plus the model’s Under 2.5 lean support a match in which at least one side fails to score.
Under 2.5 goals
The model gives Under 2.5 a 56.3% probability. Hull’s recent league results include 0-0, 1-0 and 1-2, while Everton have also featured in tight matches such as 0-0 and 1-0. The strongest listed Under 2.5 price is 1.75, and the recent head-to-head results also suggest a cautious contest rather than a goal rush.
Our picks
Accumulator odds
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*Odds available at time of writing.









