The model gives Viktoria Plzeň a 41.5% chance of victory, ahead of Lillestrøm at 35.8% and the draw at 22.7%. The away price is 2.3000, matching the narrow model edge. Lillestrøm sit sixth domestically with 39 points, but their Europa League record is one draw and two defeats, including a 0-6 loss to Real Sociedad. Plzeň also have three Europa League defeats, yet their stronger continental experience and recent 3-2 league win at Jablonec support a tight away advantage. No recent direct meetings were available.

The model gives Both Teams To Score — Yes a 62.3% probability, while the listed odds are 1.5000. Lillestrøm have scored in their recent league wins and drew 1-1 away to Sparta Prague, but they also conceded six against Real Sociedad. Viktoria Plzeň have scored in each of their listed October matches, while conceding in defeats to Ferencváros and Levski Sofia. Those defensive gaps and the need for points make goals at both ends a credible call.

The model gives Over 2.5 a 63.8% probability, close to the listed 1.5700 price. Lillestrøm’s recent European games include a 0-6 defeat and a 1-1 draw, while their domestic results include 3-2 and 2-2 scorelines. Plzeň’s recent European matches ended 1-2, 1-2 and 0-3, showing both a willingness to attack and a vulnerable defence. Combined with the model’s strong goal expectation, at least three goals is the preferred total.