EU
At a glance
The statistical model gives Liverpool a 53% probability to beat Atlético Progreso, with the draw at 27% and a Atlético Progreso win at 20%.
The model estimates a 63% probability of fewer than 2.5 goals in Liverpool vs Atlético Progreso.
The model puts the probability that both Liverpool and Atlético Progreso score at 42%.
Liverpool vs Atlético Progreso kicks off on Saturday 03 October 2026 at 14:00.
Liverpool vs Atlético Progreso Match Preview
Liverpool vs Atlético Progreso live streaming starts on Saturday 03 October 2026 at 14:00 at Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera in Primera Division, Uruguay. Extratips.com provides livescore, H2H information for Liverpool vs Atlético Progreso as well as in-depth stats about each team like lineups, standings, predictions and professional betting tips.
Liverpool vs Atlético Progreso Predictions & Analysis
Our prediction model gives Liverpool a 53% win probability, Atlético Progreso 20%, and the draw 27%.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
BTTS leans toward 'No' at 58%, suggesting a clean sheet is likely on at least one side.
Goals Prediction
Goal expectations lean toward Under 2.5 at 63%, indicating a lower-scoring affair is expected.
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly. How our predictions work
Who do you think will win?
Total votes: 107
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Liverpool vs Atlético Progreso: frequently asked questions
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly.
1
Value Pick
@ 1.75 Fair odd 1.70 · dafabet
Value pick - the model rates this outcome more likely than the bookmaker.
Stake
1.05
Full Time Result
53%
Home
Fair odd 1.89
27%
Draw
Fair odd 3.64
20%
Away
Fair odd 5.08
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 64%
Under 36%
Over 2.5 Goals
Over 37%
Under 63%
Over 3.5 Goals
Over 18%
Under 82%
Both Teams To Score
Yes 42%
No 58%
First Half Winner
37%
Home
49%
Draw
15%
Away
Half Time / Full Time
HT \ FT
Home
Draw
Away
Home
31%
5%
1%
Draw
22%
19%
7%
Away
2%
4%
9%
Correct Score
Home goals (rows) × Away goals (columns)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
0
10.9
8.2
3.2
0.9
1
16.7
12.6
4.6
1.2
2
11.1
9.4
3.6
0.9
3
4.9
3.7
1.7
4
5
6
7
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
Atlético Progreso vs Liverpool
Atlético Progreso3
Liverpool3
31 Mar 26FT!
Atlético Progreso3Liverpool3Liverpool vs Atlético ProgresoLiverpool3Atlético Progreso1
26 Oct 25FT!
Liverpool3Atlético Progreso1Atlético Progreso vs LiverpoolAtlético Progreso0Liverpool2
27 Apr 25FT!
Atlético Progreso0Liverpool2Liverpool vs Atlético ProgresoLiverpool2Atlético Progreso1
03 Nov 24FT!
Liverpool2Atlético Progreso1Atlético Progreso vs LiverpoolAtlético Progreso2Liverpool1
28 Apr 24FT!
Atlético Progreso2Liverpool1Liverpool vs Atlético ProgresoLiverpool0Atlético Progreso1
03 Oct 21FT!
Liverpool0Atlético Progreso1Atlético Progreso vs LiverpoolAtlético Progreso1Liverpool3
04 Jun 21FT!
Atlético Progreso1Liverpool3Atlético Progreso vs LiverpoolAtlético Progreso0Liverpool4
30 Jan 21FT!
Atlético Progreso0Liverpool4Atlético Progreso vs LiverpoolAtlético Progreso1Liverpool2
05 Dec 20FT!
Atlético Progreso1Liverpool2Liverpool vs Atlético ProgresoLiverpool1Atlético Progreso1
08 Mar 20FT!
Liverpool1Atlético Progreso1Group 1
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | DIFF | GLS | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +9 | 12:3 | 16 | WWDWL | |
| 2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 7:5 | 11 | LWDDW | |
| 3 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +1 | 4:3 | 10 | WLDDD | |
| 4 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5:5 | 9 | DWLDW | |
| 5 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4:4 | 9 | DLDDW | |
| 6 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 6:10 | 9 | LWWLL | |
| 7 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6:9 | 6 | WLDDD | |
| 8 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 5:10 | 5 | LLDDL |
Group 2
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | DIFF | GLS | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 12:4 | 15 | WWWDW | |
| 2 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8:8 | 13 | WLDWL | |
| 3 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 12:6 | 12 | DLDWW | |
| 4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 11:11 | 12 | LWWLW | |
| 5 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8:11 | 8 | DWLDL | |
| 6 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 6:8 | 6 | DLDWL | |
| 7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 6:11 | 6 | LWLLW | |
| 8 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -4 | 5:9 | 4 | DLDDD |
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