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At a glance
The statistical model gives Nacional a 52% probability to beat Defensor Sporting, with the draw at 28% and a Defensor Sporting win at 20%.
The model estimates a 63% probability of fewer than 2.5 goals in Nacional vs Defensor Sporting.
The model puts the probability that both Nacional and Defensor Sporting score at 42%.
Nacional vs Defensor Sporting kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 19:30.
Nacional vs Defensor Sporting Match Preview
Nacional vs Defensor Sporting live streaming starts on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 19:30 at Estadio Gran Parque Central in Primera Division, Uruguay. Extratips.com provides livescore, H2H information for Nacional vs Defensor Sporting as well as in-depth stats about each team like lineups, standings, predictions and professional betting tips.
Nacional vs Defensor Sporting Predictions & Analysis
Our prediction model gives Nacional a 52% win probability, Defensor Sporting 20%, and the draw 28%.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
BTTS leans toward 'No' at 58%, suggesting a clean sheet is likely on at least one side.
Goals Prediction
Goal expectations lean toward Under 2.5 at 63%, indicating a lower-scoring affair is expected.
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly. How our predictions work
Who do you think will win?
Total votes: 82
TV Channels
Nacional vs Defensor Sporting: frequently asked questions
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly.
Full Time Result
52%
Home
Fair odd 1.91
28%
Draw
Fair odd 3.54
20%
Away
Fair odd 5.12
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 64%
Under 36%
Over 2.5 Goals
Over 37%
Under 63%
Over 3.5 Goals
Over 18%
Under 82%
Both Teams To Score
Yes 42%
No 58%
First Half Winner
36%
Home
48%
Draw
16%
Away
Half Time / Full Time
HT \ FT
Home
Draw
Away
Home
31%
5%
1%
Draw
19%
19%
9%
Away
2%
4%
9%
Correct Score
Home goals (rows) × Away goals (columns)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
0
11.7
8.4
3.0
0.6
1
16.1
12.8
4.7
1.2
2
10.9
9.5
3.5
0.9
3
4.8
4.0
2.1
4
5
6
7
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
Defensor Sporting vs Nacional
Defensor Sporting2
Nacional1
21 Mar 26FT!
Defensor Sporting2Nacional1Defensor Sporting vs NacionalDefensor Sporting1Nacional1
09 Nov 25FT!
Defensor Sporting1Nacional1Nacional vs Defensor SportingNacional2Defensor Sporting1
18 May 25FT!
Nacional2Defensor Sporting1Nacional vs Defensor SportingNacional1Defensor Sporting1
21 Sep 24FT!
Nacional1Defensor Sporting1Defensor Sporting vs NacionalDefensor Sporting3Nacional3
10 Mar 24FT!
Defensor Sporting3Nacional3Nacional vs Defensor SportingNacional1Defensor Sporting0
04 Dec 23FT!
Nacional1Defensor Sporting0Defensor Sporting vs NacionalDefensor Sporting2Nacional2
07 May 23FT!
Defensor Sporting2Nacional2Nacional vs Defensor SportingNacional1Defensor Sporting1
08 Oct 22FT!
Nacional1Defensor Sporting1Defensor Sporting vs NacionalDefensor Sporting0Nacional1
13 Jun 22FT!
Defensor Sporting0Nacional1Group 1
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | DIFF | GLS | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +9 | 12:3 | 16 | WWDWL | |
| 2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 7:5 | 11 | LWDDW | |
| 3 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +1 | 4:3 | 10 | WLDDD | |
| 4 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5:5 | 9 | DWLDW | |
| 5 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4:4 | 9 | DLDDW | |
| 6 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 6:10 | 9 | LWWLL | |
| 7 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6:9 | 6 | WLDDD | |
| 8 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 5:10 | 5 | LLDDL |
Group 2
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | DIFF | GLS | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 12:4 | 15 | WWWDW | |
| 2 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8:8 | 13 | WLDWL | |
| 3 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 12:6 | 12 | DLDWW | |
| 4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 11:11 | 12 | LWWLW | |
| 5 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8:11 | 8 | DWLDL | |
| 6 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 6:8 | 6 | DLDWL | |
| 7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 6:11 | 6 | LWLLW | |
| 8 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -4 | 5:9 | 4 | DLDDD |
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