Roma to win
Roma boast 60.61% implied probability at 1.65 odds. Strong home form and H2H edge make them clear favorites over Fiorentina.
Welcome to Extratips, your go-to spot for top football predictions! Get ready for Roma vs Fiorentina in Serie A 2025/2026. Kick-off is May 4, 2026, at 18:45. Roma host this key matchup at the Olimpico.
Roma lead the odds at 1.65 to win. Draw sits at 3.60. Fiorentina trails at 5.00. Bookies see Roma with 60% chance. Top picks: Roma win (1.65), Asian Handicap Roma -0.75 (1.87), Draw No Bet Roma (1.25).
Roma fight for the title. Fiorentina chase Europe. Roma top the table on 70 points. Fiorentina sit 6th with 52 points. Hosts need wins to stay ahead. Viola want points to climb.
Head-to-head heats up. Last 5: Roma 2-1, Draw 1-1, Fiorentina 1-0, Roma 3-2, Draw 0-0. Roma unbeaten in 3. They score last often.
Roma's home form rocks: 4 wins, 1 draw in last 5. Fiorentina away: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses.
Roma strengths: Deadly attack, solid defense at home. Paulo Dybala nets 12 goals. Weaknesses: Slow starts. Fiorentina strengths: Quick counters, Beltran magic. Weaknesses: Leak goals away.
Key factors: No big injuries. Roma tactician De Rossi pushes press. Fiorentina's Italiano eyes upset.
Hot angles: 1. Dybala vs Viola backline – fireworks likely. 2. Olimpico roar pushes Giallorossi. 3. Late goals trend from H2H.
Roma dominate attack. Fiorentina fight back. Similar scoring rates, but Roma home edge shines.
Scenarios: Roma clean win (high). Tight 2-1 Roma (medium). Draw (low).
Expect Roma control, goals flow. Giallorossi take it!
Total votes: 102
Roma boast 60.61% implied probability at 1.65 odds. Strong home form and H2H edge make them clear favorites over Fiorentina.
Odds at 1.90 reflect 52% chance. Roma's clean sheet potential (44% Yes at 2.25) pairs with Fiorentina's away struggles for a shutout.
Even 1.92 odds show 52% probability. Fits Roma win with clean sheet – low-scoring affair like recent H2H draws.
Our picks
*Odds available at time of writing.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | DIFF | GLS | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 27 | 6 | 5 | +54 | 89:35 | 87 | DDWWD | |
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | +22 | 58:36 | 76 | WWLDW | |
| 3 | 38 | 23 | 4 | 11 | +28 | 59:31 | 73 | WWWWW | |
| 4 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | +36 | 65:29 | 71 | WWWDW | |
| 5 | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | +18 | 53:35 | 70 | LWLLD | |
| 6 | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | +27 | 61:34 | 69 | DLWDD | |
| 7 | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | +15 | 51:36 | 59 | DLWDL | |
| 8 | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | +3 | 49:46 | 56 | DWWDL | |
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | +1 | 41:40 | 54 | WLLWD | |
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | -3 | 45:48 | 50 | LLWWD | |
| 11 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | -4 | 46:50 | 49 | LLLWD | |
| 12 | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | -19 | 44:63 | 45 | DLWLD | |
| 13 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | -18 | 28:46 | 45 | WLLLW | |
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | -13 | 40:53 | 43 | WWLDW | |
| 15 | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | -9 | 41:50 | 42 | DWDLD | |
| 16 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | -10 | 41:51 | 41 | LLDDL | |
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | -22 | 28:50 | 38 | WWLWD | |
| 18 | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | -25 | 32:57 | 34 | LWWLL | |
| 19 | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | -36 | 25:61 | 21 | LDLDD | |
| 20 | 38 | 2 | 12 | 24 | -45 | 26:71 | 18 | LLLLL |