Deportivo Alavés vs Villarreal CF: La Liga Clash Preview – Can Alavés Shock the Yellow Submarine?
Welcome to Extratips, your go-to spot for sharp match predictions! Friday's La Liga showdown at Mendizorrotza pits struggling Deportivo Alavés (16th, 27 points) against high-flying Villarreal CF (4th, 51-54 points). Kickoff's at 20:00 on March 13, 2026. Alavés fight relegation; Villarreal chase Europe.
Top Odds Spotlight:
- Villarreal +2 Alternative Handicap: 1.07 (93% chance they avoid big loss).[odds]
- Alavés Over 0.5 Team Goals: 1.44 (69% likely to score).[odds]
- Both Teams to Score Yes: 1.80 (56% probability).[odds]
These scream Villarreal control, but goals both ways.
H2H Patterns: Last 5: Villarreal 3-1 Alavés (Jan 2026), Alavés 1-0 Villarreal (Mar 2025), Villarreal 3-0 Alavés (Nov 2024), plus two older wins for each. Villarreal edge recent ties; Alavés tough at home.
Recent Form: Alavés home (last 5): 2W-1D-2L. Villarreal away (last 5): 4W-0D-1L. Alavés leaky (34 conceded); Villarreal score freely (48 goals).
Team Strengths/Weaknesses:
Alavés: Strengths - Boyé's 7 goals, home grit. Weaknesses - 14 losses, defense frail (34 GA). Ex: Lost 3-2 vs Valencia recently.
Villarreal: Strengths - Moleiro's 9 goals, attack fire (48 GF), form hot. Weaknesses - Occasional slips away. Ex: Beat Elche 2-1 last.
Key Factors: No major injuries noted. Alavés need points badly; Villarreal rotate for cups? Weather fine in Vitoria.
Storylines: 1. Boyé vs Moleiro goal duel – top scorers clash! 2. Alavés home magic vs Villarreal's road rampage. 3. Relegation scrap meets title tilt.
Scenarios: High: Villarreal win 1-2 (goals flow). Medium: Draw 1-1 (Alavés dig in). Low: Alavés upset 2-1.
Villarreal's class should shine, but expect both teams scoring in a thriller!
Who do you think will win?
Total votes: 55
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Our picks
Villarreal to win
Villarreal sit 4th with 51 points, 17 wins from 26 games, scoring 48 goals. Alavés languish 16th on 27 points, 14 losses. Recent H2H favors Villarreal 3-1 win. Their +2 handicap at 1.07 implies 93% safety net, pointing to victory.
Both Teams to Score - Yes
Alavés score in 80% home games (Over 0.5 at 1.44, 69% prob). Villarreal concede 31 but score 48. BTTS Yes at 1.80 carries 55.56% implied prob, fits 63% Villarreal BTTS away rate and Alavés home leaks.
Over 2.5 Goals
Villarreal average high goals (47 scored), Alavés concede 34. Recent H2H: 3-1, 1-0, 3-0 often over. Over 2.5 & BTTS at 2.37 aligns with 42% prob, matching Villarreal's 47% Over 1.5 away and Alavés' defensive woes.
Our picks
Accumulator odds
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*Odds available at time of writing.
Standings are not available yet

