Draw
Odds at 3.25 offer value. Both teams evenly matched at 35-38% implied win probs. History shows tight UCL ties often end level. Solid pick for stalemate.
Welcome to Extratips, your go-to spot for top football predictions! Get ready for the thrilling Atlético Madrid vs Arsenal showdown in the Champions League 2025/2026 on April 29 at 19:00. This knockout battle at the Wanda Metropolitano promises fireworks.
Atlético, sitting 2nd in their group with 10 points, fight for a deep run. Arsenal, 3rd on 9 points, need a win to boost morale. Both sides eye the quarters.
Top odds: Arsenal win at 2.60 (38% chance), Draw 3.25 (31%), Atlético 2.80 (36%). Bookies see a tight game, slight edge to visitors.
No direct clashes lately. Atlético's last 5 home: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss. Arsenal's last 5 away: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss. Both solid on the road/home.
Atlético strengths: Rock-solid defense, Griezmann magic, Simeone grit. Weaknesses: Slow starts, injury woes. Arsenal shines with Saka speed, Ødegaard vision, Arteta attack. Weaknesses: Away nerves, set-piece leaks.
Key factors: Atlético miss Morata (doubtful). Arsenal's Rice fit. Simeone may park the bus early.
Storylines: 1. Griezmann vs young Gunners—veteran cunning meets pace. 2. Simeone's mind games vs Arteta's flair. 3. First knockout test for Arsenal's stars.
Atlético grind results at home. Arsenal counter fast. Expect goals, but tight score.
Scenarios:
Total votes: 76
Odds at 3.25 offer value. Both teams evenly matched at 35-38% implied win probs. History shows tight UCL ties often end level. Solid pick for stalemate.
Even odds 1.90 with 52% prob. Atlético home games leak goals lately. Arsenal scores away. Fits draw scenario with 1-1 outcome.
Under 2.5 at 1.66, 60% prob. Simeone defenses shut shop in UCL. Low-scoring draw like 1-1 aligns with BTTS Yes and draw prediction perfectly.
Our picks
*Odds available at time of writing.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | DIFF | GLS | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +19 | 23:4 | 24 | WWWWW | |
| 2 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +14 | 22:8 | 21 | WWWLW | |
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | +12 | 20:8 | 18 | WWWLW | |
| 4 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 17:7 | 17 | WWWLW | |
| 5 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +8 | 22:14 | 16 | WWWLD | |
| 6 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +7 | 17:10 | 16 | WWLWD | |
| 7 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +6 | 17:11 | 16 | WWLWD | |
| 8 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +6 | 15:9 | 16 | WLWLW | |
| 9 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | +9 | 21:12 | 15 | LWLWL | |
| 10 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | +8 | 15:7 | 15 | WLLLW | |
| 11 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +10 | 21:11 | 14 | DLDWL | |
| 12 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +10 | 17:7 | 14 | DWDLW | |
| 13 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +4 | 14:10 | 13 | DWWWD | |
| 14 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 17:15 | 13 | LDWWW | |
| 15 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10:10 | 13 | LLWWW | |
| 16 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 13:14 | 12 | WLDWW | |
| 17 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 19:17 | 11 | LLDWL | |
| 18 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 10:14 | 11 | WWWLD | |
| 19 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 15:17 | 10 | WWLLD | |
| 20 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 9:11 | 10 | LDLLW | |
| 21 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -6 | 8:14 | 10 | DLWDW | |
| 22 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -8 | 13:21 | 10 | LWLLD | |
| 23 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 14:15 | 9 | WWDLL | |
| 24 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 10:12 | 9 | WLWWL | |
| 25 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -3 | 11:14 | 9 | LLWWL | |
| 26 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 8:11 | 9 | WLLDW | |
| 27 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -9 | 8:17 | 9 | WLLWL | |
| 28 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 16:16 | 8 | LLLWD | |
| 29 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 9:14 | 8 | LWDDL | |
| 30 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 9:15 | 8 | LDLWD | |
| 31 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -9 | 12:21 | 8 | LDWWL | |
| 32 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -13 | 8:21 | 6 | LWWLL | |
| 33 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -11 | 10:21 | 4 | LLLLD | |
| 34 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -14 | 5:19 | 3 | LLLDL | |
| 35 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -13 | 5:18 | 1 | LLLLL | |
| 36 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -15 | 7:22 | 1 | LLLLL |