Our model gives Türkiye an 55.1% chance to win, making them clear favourites in this neutral‑venue World Cup clash. The market agrees, with the away win priced at 1.7100, implying around 58–59% probability. Australia often compete well but lack the same attacking depth and individual quality that Türkiye bring through their forward line and creative midfield. With higher win probability from the model and shorter odds from bookmakers, Türkiye to win is the logical call.

Our model rates Both Teams to Score Yes at 60.0%, higher than the 40.0% for No, signalling a strong chance that both sides find the net. The BTTS Yes price of 1.9500 suggests closer to a 51% implied chance, so the model sees extra value on goals at both ends. Türkiye’s attack should create plenty, while Australia’s direct style and set‑piece threat make them likely to at least score once. Combined with an expected open game, BTTS Yes looks very realistic.

The model assigns Over 2.5 goals a 61.5% probability, compared with only 38.5% for the under, clearly favouring a higher‑scoring match. Bookmaker odds around 1.9500 for Over 2.5 imply roughly 51% chance, so the model again sees a stronger likelihood of goals than the line suggests. Since we also expect Türkiye to edge the game and both teams to score, a 2–1 or 3–1 type scoreline fits perfectly with Over 2.5. This makes Over 2.5 goals a consistent and logical prediction.

Conclusion: We expect a lively contest with Türkiye to win, both teams getting on the scoresheet, and at least three goals overall.